Nebraska at Wisconsin Game Preview and Prediction
by Pete Fiutak, CollegeFootballNews.com
Nebraska (5-5) at Wisconsin (5-5)
Saturday, November 18 - 7:30 PM (ET) - NBC
Why Nebraska Will Win
Wisconsin is awful.
Before it was ineffective, and slightly confusing in the way it tried to run the supposedly new-and-improved offense. Now the whole thing just shut down.
The Badgers used to run for over 200 yards a game like clockwork. Now it's lucky to crack 100 yards. Turnovers aren't a problem, but they're there. The passing game can't connect, there aren't any sustained drives, and overall, the program once known for always being able to rely on the great O line can't even do that.
Now it gets to deal with the Nebraska defense.
The Huskers are getting thrown on a bit too easily in key spots, but that's not a concern here. Even when Wisconsin is able to hit passes, they're not going anywhere.
The Nebraska run defense has been a rock, allowing just over 100 yards to Maryland last week, 249 to Michigan and under 100 against everyone else.
However .......
Why Wisconsin Will Win
......It's probably going to be close, and it'll probably be a one score game. Nebraska still can't win a close one.
The turnovers are back.
They went away for a little while after a rough start, but they kicked back in full force with multiple giveaways in each of the last five games and with 12 in the last three.
Wisconsin really, really, really, really needs the breaks.
The Badger D hasn't been totally terrible. It hasn't come up with a takeaway in four of the last five games, but again, Nebraska will just give them out like Halloween candy.
Go ahead and make this a slugfest. Keep the score low, the game tight, win the mistake battle, and assume the Husker offense that hasn't pushed past 280 yards since a win over Illinois on October 6th isn't about to turn into the Miami Dolphins.
What Will Happen
It's the strangest thing.
Yeah, not having star RB Braelon Allen around hurts, but it's like Wisconsin just forgot how to play football.
Who loses to Indiana and Northwestern?
It isn't hyperbole -- the Badger offense really is awful. It hasn't scored more than 14 points in four of the last five games, and needed a late miracle to put up 25 to get by Illinois late. Nebraska will have plenty of opportunities to win this, and then it'll turn the ball over.
This will make Iowa games look like a sunset over the ocean. It'll be low scoring, it'll be a fight for either O to be effective, and it'll be a one score game.
We all know how that works for Nebraska as it'll wait one more week to become bowl eligibile.
Prediction
Wisconsin 16, Nebraska 13
Spread
Wisconsin is favored at home by 4.5 points. The O/U is set at 37 points.