Purdue at Nebraska Preview and Prediction
by Pete Fiutak, CollegeFootballNews.com
Purdue (2-5) at Nebraska (4-3)
Saturday, October 28 - 3:30 PM (ET) - FOX Sports 1
Why Purdue Will Win
Is it possible that the real 2023 Purdue has been sort of hiding?
The win at Virginia Tech got totally blown off at the time, but as it turns out, it's a nice victory over a likely bowl team. That 44-19 whomping of Illinois was ignored, too, and why? A loss to a strong Fresno State, a solid Syracuse, and problem against Wisconsin -- who'll probably end up winning the Big Ten West -- Iowa and Ohio State.
Being 2-5 doesn't get you noticed.
But the team that tagged Illinois was effective with the passing game, came up with a decent day defensively, and it only turned the ball over once. It's not a coincidence that the team is 2-0 with three touchdown passes and 0-5 with fewer, but ......
Why Nebraska Will Win
....Nebraska gave up three touchdown passes to Michigan, two to Colorado, and the other four were spread out.
Very, VERY, quietly, Nebraska is now deep in the Big Ten West title hunt. If it wins out and Minnesota loses once more, your Huskers are a 27.5-point dog in Indy in early December -- and the fan base will take that in a heartbeat.
This is hardly a gorgeous brand of football, but 4-1 in the last five games with the lone loss coming to Michigan? Two wins away from going bowling? A defense that's stuffing the run -- only the Wolverines averaged more than 2.2 yards per carry against it -- and an offense that's decent on the ground?
It has been a massive step forward over the last five weeks for the Huskers, and ........
What Will Happen
.....Okay, fine, so the four Nebraska wins weren't exactly against a slew of killers, but who cares? The team is competent and -- for the first time in years -- finding ways to win.
The Huskers are going to have to score in this, though. They can't just win on a war of attrition -- Purdue will throw okay and put a few points on the board. However, it won't run well, Nebraska's D will dominate on third downs, and the pass rush will be solid when it absolutely has to be.
Prediction
Nebraska 23, Purdue 20
Spread
Nebraska is favored at home by 2.5 points. The O/U is set at 39.5 points.