Corona Virus

Discussion in 'Husker Board' started by Charlie Marlow, Jan 24, 2020.

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  1. VandallHuskerJulie

    VandallHuskerJulie Blackshirt
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    I'll be flying about the same time from PUW -SEA - EPP. I'm not sure if the virus will get me or overdosing on Runzas when I'm back in Omaha. :)
    (Actually I am taking this virus thing very seriously. We got out of China right before the virus blew up and spouse is set to return to China this summer to teach.)
     
    521 VandallHuskerJulie, Feb 26, 2020
    Last edited: Feb 26, 2020
  2. Solana Beach Husker

    Solana Beach Husker Offensive Coordinator
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    CDC chief said 50% of cases are very mild or have no symptoms...ie...not being counted. That seems fair considering 10% of the population gets influenza.. 100 million in china have likely had the chance to get the virus...10% of that would be 10 million infected...we have only had 80k cases which have caused symptoms...80% of these are mildish, 10% severe, 5% critical, 2% lead to deaths. Respiratory and cardiovascular health seems to be a key determinant of survival. Respiratory health in china is abysmal, they might have a million people die from pollution related illnesses in a year. The virus has been transferred throughout eastern china during the new year celebrations so I don't buy that it hasn't expanded...I believe from outbreaks in Western nations that it is easily fought off by the young and middle aged and often undetected until it hits an elderly person with poor health.
     
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  3. Solana Beach Husker

    Solana Beach Husker Offensive Coordinator
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    In america (2017-2018) there were 800k hospitalizations from influenza....60k deaths. That is a 7.5% death rate for hospitalizations from flu. The numbers we are seeing in china are people who were taken to the hospital for treatment out of fear of dying... people with mild or no symptoms are not going anywhere near a containment facility as these are a disaster with thousands being quarantined in close proximity for weeks. 45 million people got the flu in america alone in 2018...and the symptoms from influenza are consistently more dramatic than those from Covid for a majority of those infected. I've never met anyone who had influenza A and merely had a sore throat and rested for a few days. Many thousands have had such symptoms from covid...It is a novel virus...and causes pneumonia...the # 1 killer of the elderly. It is scary and the public should be careful but I also worry for the elderly in china who aren't able to get medicine and food because their party official is corrupt and they can't leave their houses.
     
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  4. planored

    planored Athletic Director
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    Party on
     
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  5. Bugeater

    Bugeater Defensive Coordinator
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  6. mwulf

    mwulf All-American
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    "Is this just like flu because people die of the flu and this is very unusual. It is a little bit different but in some ways it's easier and in some ways it's a little bit tougher" .

    Sure we are in great hands with the guy who only uses the best words (see above) and a guy who would have us just pray away the virus
     
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  7. tpmcg

    tpmcg Offensive Coordinator
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    if you havent caught it, yet - its working!
     
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  8. mwulf

    mwulf All-American
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    Unfortunately teaching in Los Angeles I am in front of hundreds of germ mules daily with poor hygienic habits
     
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  9. Hoosker Du

    Hoosker Du Nebraska Football Hall of Fame
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    I don't know where you are getting your numbers, but they don't appear to be correct.

    Of the 35,682 cases where the virus has run its course..

    32,878 (92%) recovered and were Discharged. 2,804 (8%) resulted in Deaths.

    Of the 46,501 Currently Infected patients..

    38,032 (82%) are in Mild Condition.
    8,469 (18%) Serious or Critical.

    The total that have died so far after contracting the virus represents a mortality rate of 3.4%.

    Again, the mortality rate of those where the virus has run its course (8%) are the more important numbers, because there are large numbers of people where the virus is newly diagnosed and hasn't run its course.

    I would say that the U.S. will be better prepared to respond to the virus, and will lower mortality rates, but no one has existing antibodies, regardless of the country, so we need to take this very seriously. Especially since it's incubation period is so long.
     
  10. Hoosker Du

    Hoosker Du Nebraska Football Hall of Fame
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    One of the more ridiculous posts I've read here. With an incubation period of 2 - 14 days, with somes cases having 20+ day incubation periods, this should be considered a very dangerous virus. People will be infecting many others without knowing it.
     
  11. Hoosker Du

    Hoosker Du Nebraska Football Hall of Fame
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    Bump. Wish you would have been right, but clearly you're not.
     
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  12. tpmcg

    tpmcg Offensive Coordinator
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    good not to overreact.
    be aware and be vigilant.
     
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  13. Baxter48

    Baxter48 All-American
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    The sad part is the media is like chicken little the sky is always falling. No doubt this can be serious but so can the flu so can a tornado or A tsunami. The biggest thing is the media imo needs to be informative but don’t over do it. To much of the time they way over blow it and then the people become complacent.
     
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  14. inWV

    inWV Defensive Coordinator
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    The "media" is almost exclusively a profit driven operation and they have soap to sell. And the fact that a potential health crisis is occurring during a Prez election season complicates matters. Those that are familiar with the biology of the virus are exhibiting appropriate concern. Trump has treated the situation as a complication to his re-election prospects.
    I hope those professionals in the govt are now drawing up contingency plans. Anybody who can do the math can calculate possible death numbers if the virus becomes wide spread. Should we be freaking out? No. Should we accept the open use of anything other than the best factual information available at any point in time concerning this virus? Also no.
     
  15. Charlie Marlow

    Charlie Marlow Assistant Head Coach
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    It will be interesting to see how it all plays out in Korea. Their numbers will be much more reliable than China’s.
     
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  16. Crazyhole

    Crazyhole Sophomore
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    Im just waiting for someone to come out and say that the virus has mutated.
     
  17. leodisflowers

    leodisflowers Graduate Assistant
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    Sounds like Japan is closing all schools for a little bit.
     
  18. Charlie Marlow

    Charlie Marlow Assistant Head Coach
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    As contagious as this is, that could be a really bad deal.

    Could you imagine if they have to cancel the upcoming football season?
     
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  19. Nate004

    Nate004 Senior
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    Silver Lining... Nebraska goes undefeated in 2020!!!
     
  20. Baxter48

    Baxter48 All-American
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    What about March madness?
     
  21. Charlie Marlow

    Charlie Marlow Assistant Head Coach
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    Unless it really starts to break out soon, I think March Madness is safe.

    College World Series is good too since we already have a quarantine zone and UNMC nearby for anyone who gets infected.:D
     
  22. CheeseRunza

    CheeseRunza Walk On
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    Olympic Swim trials are held in June at CHI Health Center in Omaha, I guess we'll see if the center can live up to its name.
     
  23. Charlie Marlow

    Charlie Marlow Assistant Head Coach
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    Good point. I had forgot about that.
     
  24. RedMyMind

    RedMyMind Senior
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    Apparently, South Korea's guy in charge of the coronavirus situation committed suicide. That's not confidence building.
     
  25. dinglefritz

    dinglefritz College Football Hall of Fame
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    Where are you pulling your stats for the flu from? That varies WILDLY from what is listed from the CDC. The CDC says there MIGHT have been up to 60,000 fatalities OVER THE PAST DECADE. They list the approximate number as being between 12,000 and 60,000 OVER THE PAST DECADE. The fatality rate for all cases of influenza is listed at LESS THAN 1/10TH OF ONE PERCENT in the U.S.
     
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  26. Hoosker Du

    Hoosker Du Nebraska Football Hall of Fame
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    If you are listening to that buffoon in the White House, my first advice would be...stop. This is the man that believes wind turbines can cause cancer.

    This has nothing to do with the media, like the orange menace would have you believe. Scientists are saying that this has the potential to be very serious. They will tell you the likelihood that this will spread throughout the U.S., because of its incubation period, and because we don't have antibodies to it, because it is a novel virus.

    When I see a .1 mortality rate vs an 8% (early figures) mortality rate, it makes me very nervous. Those numbers will undoubtedly come down with people getting treatment earlier, but still, an 8% mortality rate is nothing to take lightly. People die from the flu, because it is so widespread and so many contract it each year. If this were to become as widespread, we are talking deaths in the millions.
     
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  27. NorthwoodHusker

    NorthwoodHusker Blackshirt
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    Theres numbers, other numbers, and out right get the click hyper lies.
    250 million died from....
    I know, that getting this virus is 30 times more deadly than the common flu.
    So,if only 3% of the people who had the common flu get this, the same number of deaths are to be expected.
    The lying dormant,no symptoms thing is our current biggest concern, then an anti viral solution, and build up of anti bodies in the masses.
     
  28. RedMyMind

    RedMyMind Senior
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    Death isn't the only worry from these illnesses. Severe cardio-respiratory scarring and complications can really screw up peoples' lives
     
  29. Hoosker Du

    Hoosker Du Nebraska Football Hall of Fame
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    This is a very good point. Thank you for mentioning.
     
  30. inWV

    inWV Defensive Coordinator
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    kakistocracy - noun. Government by the least suitable or competent citizens of a state.
    Prior administrations, be they GOP or Dem, have not been kakistocracies. And a virus of this nature, if it continues to spread, would challenge even the most nimble of governments. And that is why voters should choose among the best people consistent with their political beliefs. And if such a person is not on the ballot that whets their political appetite, they should either suck it up and vote for competent opposition or leave that section of the ballot unfilled.
    For our present circumstances, several of HL Menken's quotes would be apt. Here is one: As democracy is perfected, the office of the president represents, more and more closely, the inner soul of the people. We move toward a lofty ideal. On some great and glorious day, the plain folks of the land will reach their heart’s desire at last, and the White House will be adorned by a downright moron.
     
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  31. RedMyMind

    RedMyMind Senior
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    All of the Presidential candidates this time around are morons. Dark times
     
  32. huskerfan66

    huskerfan66 Head Coach
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    Just like weather forecast. We're supposed to feel better that it wasn't as bad as the projection
     
  33. SkerInCo

    SkerInCo Blackshirt
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    Been the case for some time now.
     
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  34. inWV

    inWV Defensive Coordinator
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    Just one example (although you probably aren't sympatico with her politics).
    Elizabeth Warren
    Rutgers Law School - lecturer
    Houston Law School - Assoc. Dean
    Texas Law School
    UPenn Law School - endowed Chair
    Harvard Law School - Gottlieb Professor of Law (I'm seeing a trend here. Two Ivy League law schools and some other good ones thought she was good enough to just to employ, but actively recruited her to endowed positions.)
    National expert in bankruptcy and commercial
    Critical in the establishment of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau
    United States Senator.
    Elizabeth Warren released a detailed plan to deal with Corona over a month ago.
     
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  35. Charlie Marlow

    Charlie Marlow Assistant Head Coach
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  36. RedMyMind

    RedMyMind Senior
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    If she dropped the identity politics, she may be electable. But she chose that hill
     
  37. cornhustler

    cornhustler Redshirt Freshman
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    Now's our chance! Keep US kids in school learning math and science 24/7 and close the gap!
     
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  38. Spectrumalaska

    Spectrumalaska Redshirt Freshman
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    Annually dingle, like each year!

    CDC estimates that influenza has resulted in between 9 million – 45 million illnesses, between 140,000 – 810,000 hospitalizations and between 12,000 – 61,000 deaths annually since 2010.
     
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  39. Spectrumalaska

    Spectrumalaska Redshirt Freshman
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  40. Spectrumalaska

    Spectrumalaska Redshirt Freshman
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    For such a self appointed expert, you sure say some wildly innacurate things.
     
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