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Iowa Prediction Thread

Apologies if a prediction thread is already out there but I did not see one so here goes:

I predicted earlier that we would win 24-10. I think the cold and windy weather will hamper both teams. Iowa will rely heavily on their ground game which is really good. The key to the game will be how well our defense stops their running game. My fear is that there will be several chunk plays in their running game of longer than 20 yards. Our linebackers and safeties routinely take poor angles and are not good tacklers. And if they can run the ball on us they can chew clock as well limiting our offensive possessions. Therefore, I have revised my prediction and now see a very, very close game. Especially since it is a night game on their turf and if the game is close the crowd will definitely be a factor. Count on Evans to make at least one false start. The game will come down as always to penalties, turnovers and special teams. But I think we have the better QB which makes the difference:

Nebraska 24
Iowa 23

Do not even consider watching the movie Sweethearts on Max

I watched it because I really thing Kiernan Shipka is an attractive woman and that tends to give me a reason to watch rom coms.

Get your insults out now I get it. The ending was way different than others in the category but it was so awful that I possibly would forever stop watching these types of movies.

Men BTW if your wives say hey let's watch this movie tonight, show here this thread, the movie really is that bad.

Scholarships vs Walkons

Obviously nebraska can have all 105 on scholarship, but they still have flexibility on how they construct their roster. If they want to have some walkon players, they can.

So what's the advantage of having Walkon players instead of just putting all 105 on scholarship?

Does the B1G still have the 4 year guarantee for scholarships? Meaning that if a player decides not to transfer, Nebraska would have to honor that scholarship for 4 years?

Is it better to pay a percentage of players with NIL money instead of putting on full scholarship to give you more flexibility with your roster?

Does nebraska use this strategy with special teams players or 3* or less players that they see may require more development?

I don't know that Nebraska has said if they'll reserve some of their spots for walkons? I know the SEC has come out woth a conf. Policy linked here

Will the B1G do something similar? Or will they let each team decide?

Football Iowa vs. Nebraska Preview from Iowa writers

Several pieces previewing tonight's game from the other side:


Preview, Prediction: Nebraska at Iowa '24
by Rob Howe, HawkeyeNation.com
IOWA CITY - Everybody wants the gold until it's time to make sacrifices. For football fans in this part of the country, that's going to be freezing your asses off late in the season.

The 2023 campaign kicked off a seven-year, $7 billion deal the Big Ten signed with its TV partners. As such, the media rights owners decided when you play. Their goal was to fill every possible programming window so they can get paid from their sponsors.

Anyway, if you're attending Friday night's Iowa-Nebraska game at Kinnick, bundle up. Temperatures are forecasted to be in the mid-20s with winds of 10 miles per hour.

THREE AND OUT
Quarterbacks Again? Why Not

The position always warrants discussion among fans, win or lose. For Iowa, this season has felt a little like threading a needle blindfolded.

Truthfully, it's been this way since the 2019 Holiday Bowl. In a thumping of USC, Brian Ferentz was Don Coryell calling plays for Dan Fouts (Nate Stanley), Charlie Joiner (Ihmir Smith-Marsette), Wes Chandler (Brandon Smith), Kellen Winslow (Sam LaPorta) at The Murph.

This season's passing offense ranks 128th out of 133 FBS programs and is the worst among Power 4 schools. That's down one spot from '23, although Iowa's 133.2 passing yards per game is 15 more than a year ago. The Hawkeyes ranked 122nd in '22, 109th in '21 and 97th during the Covid-shortened 2020 campaign.

Cade McNamara was Iowa's starting quarterback for the first eight games of the season. He suffered a concussion in the final start and hasn't played since then.

Brendan Sullivan started the next two games. He sprained an ankle in the second start and has been sidelined since then.

Third-stringer Marco Lainez, underwent surgery on his non-throwing hand last month. He has not played this season.

Jackson Stratton, the fourth-teamer, relieved Sullivan when he was injured and started during last week's win at Maryland. Coach Kirk Ferentz said on Tuesday that the walk-on from Colorado State would start against Nebraska, adding that the other three quarterbacks were practicing this week.

Most of the public information surrounding quarterback injuries this season has been clearly cloudy. The program is vague about it and contradicting media reports.

Ferentz wants to play only one signal caller on Friday. Rotating quarterbacks creates anxiety for him. The plan likely is to let Stratton play the whole game for continuity sake.

A better plan would be working in Sullivan and/or Lainez if healthy. You may have heard that the passing offense has struggled this decade. Let's see what they all have in the regular-season finale.

Give each of them a package that suits his fancy, similar to rotating McNamara and Sullivan earlier this season. Let game reps help evaluation for 2025 and, perhaps, beyond.

The transfer portal opens one week from Monday. The Hawkeyes need to figure out what they'll be fishing for in there.

Ever-Changing Landscape
As laid out in this article's opening, money is changing the landscape of college football. Student-athletes are being compensated for their work and everyone's making business decisions.

I spoke with Iowa cornerback Jermari Harris at length Monday night for a feature story. We talked about his being out for the regular-season's final two games.

It was reported last week that Harris was sitting out the rest of the season to focus on preparing for the NFL Draft. Iowa issued a press release stating the senior from Chicago had a medical issue.

"I'm dealing with something that needed to be addressed in order for me to maximize the eight-week window I got in order to be the best version of myself come February 27th (at the NFL Draft Combine)," Harris told me Monday night.

"It was definitely not something I just came up with overnight. It was definitely a well-calculated decision so it could be best for the team, for my family, and, ultimately, myself."

Harris became excited talking about the performance of fellow Hawkeye cornerbacks Deshaun Lee and TJ Hall against Maryland's talented receivers.

"I think that was their coming out party, and I'm excited for what they're going to do for this program next year," Harris said.

The benefit of Harris being out is that the guys behind him on the two-deep can show what they can do.

"The young guys proved to be ready (against Maryland)," he said.

Harris understands some people will judge him based on his decision. For a person who was forced to grow up at an early age by making tough choices, he feels confident in figuring it out as a 24-year-old man.

"This isn't the first time I've made a decision where I may have lost some friends," he said.

The support of the Hawkeye program helps.

"Every conversation I had about this ended with a hug," he said. "And that's why I say I'm at peace, truly."

The negativity outside his circle can't penetrate his soul.

"Read it all but choose when I want to respond or not. I guess that's the best power you can have is silence, really," he said.

Which takes us back to the general discussion about the changing landscape of the sport. More guys will be doing what Harris is doing moving forward, which, again, is making a business decision. Just wait until the non-CFP bowl opt-outs come rolling in.

I understand the old-guard saying Harris quit on his team because I grew up believing it. Now, I know better.

With a perspective of taking photos of Iowa football from the sideline, there's an awareness of what the bodies of these big, strong athletes endure. They should make the best choice for their bodies, whether it be for a future in the NFL or being able to carry their children someday.

Husker Shucking
Look for more of a nuts-and-bolts breakdown of Nebraska football in our upcoming opponent intel piece that should run on Thanksgiving.

Here's an overview of the Huskers:

- For the first time since 2016, they're bowl eligible. My podcast co-host Scott Dochterman, believes the winner of Friday's Heroes Game will be bowling in Tampa.

- While the Hawkeyes proper running the ball, the Huskers succeed throwing it. They rank 64th in passing offense and 100th in rushing.

- Nebraska ranks 35th in total defense, which is boosted by a rushing defense that ranks 21st (110.9 yards per game). The Hawkeyes are 13th in rushing offense (213.5).

- The Huskers are 30th in time of possession (31:34), while Iowa is 66th (30:08).

IMPORTANT STUFF

Time, Day, TV:
6:30 PM (CT), Friday-November 29, NBC

Online/App: NBCSports/com / Peacock

Announcers: Paul Burmeister (Play by Play), Colt McCoy (Analyst), Zora Stephenson (Sideline)

Point Spread / Total: Iowa favored by 5.5 points / 39.5

Opponent Fun Fact: The University of Nebraska's State Museum offers an exhibit called Poop and Paws. It focuses on using poop, trakcs and other clues to determine which animals live in different habitats.

Nebraska Alumni: Katrhyn Howe, Aaron Douglas, Gerry Thomas

Bottom Line: Bowl positioning and a trophy are on the line for these rivals. It should be a spirited effort by both teams even if a conference title has been out of the picture since October.

It will be interesting to see how many Hawkeye fans use their tickets. If they put them on the open market because they don't want to freeze, expect Nebraska fans to scoop them up.

Even with the possibility of more red in the stands, the Iowa faithful loves its team. Kinnick Stadium will provide a significant home-field advantage. That's usually good for costly pre-snap penalties on the opponent.

Prediction
Iowa 23, Nebraska 16

Today in History - November 29

November 29
1864 - A Colorado militia launched an unprovoked attack on an encampment of Cheyenne and Arapahoe tribal members, killing an estimated 230 people in the Sand Creek Massacre. (After the massacre, the backlash was so severe the U.S. government not only acknowledged wrongdoing, but promised reparations of land and cash to survivors and relatives of victims.)

1929 - Commander Richard E. Byrd and a crew of three became the first to fly over the South Pole.

1947 - The United Nations voted to grant the Jewish people a homeland to be established in mandate Palestine.

1961 - Enos the chimp was launched from Cape Canaveral aboard the Mercury-Atlas 5 spacecraft, which orbited the Earth twice before returning.

1963 - The Beatles released "I Want to Hold Your Hand" in Britain.

1981 - Film star Natalie Wood drowned at age 43 while boating off California's Santa Catalina Island with her husband Robert Wagner and actor Christopher Walken.

1986 - Actor Cary Grant died in Davenport, Iowa at age 82.

1987 - A Korean Air 707 jetliner en route from Abu Dhabi to Bangkok was destroyed by a bomb planted by North Korean agents, killing all 115 people on board.

2001 - George Harrison of the Beatles died after a battle with cancer at age 58.

2012 - The United Nations voted overwhelmingly to grant Palestine non-observer member state status, a vote that came exactly 65 years after the General Assembly adopted a plan to divide Palestine into separate states for Jews and Arabs. (The 2012 vote was 138 in favor; nine members, including the United States, voted against while 41 abstained.)

2018 - In a surprise guilty plea, former Trump lawyer Michael Cohen confessed that he had lied to Congress about a Moscow real estate deal he pursued on Trump's behalf during the 2016 presidential campaign.

2022 - Oath Keepers founder Stewart Rhodes was convicted of seditious conspiracy for a violent plot to overturn Democrat Joe Biden's presidential win, handing the Justice Department a major victory in its massive prosecution of the Jan. 6, 2021 insurrection at the U.S. Capitol. (Rhodes would be sentenced to 18 years in prison in May 2023.)

Birthdays
24 - Renata Toscano Bruzon (actress)
29 - Laura Marano (actress)
31 - Stefon Diggs (football player)
36 - Russell Wilson (football player)
42 - Lucas Black (actor)
42 - Gemma Chan (actress)
44 - Janina Gavankar (actress)
46 - Lauren German (actress)
48 - Anna Faris (actress)
52 - Brian Baumgartner (actor)
55 - Mariano Rivera (baseball player)
56 - Jonathan Knight (singer)
60 - Don Cheadle (actor)
62 - Andrew McCarthy (actor)
63 - Kim Delaney (actress)
64 - Cathy Moriarty (actress)
69 - Howie Mandel (actor/comedian/TV host)
84 - Chuck Mangione (musician)
89 - Diane Ladd (actress)

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Today in Sports History - November 29
1890 - Navy defeated Army by a score of 24-0 in the first Army-Navy football game. The game was played at West Point, NY.

1934 - The Chicago Bears defeat the Detroit Lions 19-16 in the first NFL game broadcast nationally.

1960 - Navy running back Joe Bellino wins the Heisman Trophy.

1962 - Major League Baseball decided to return to just one All-Star Game a year beginning in 1963, ending a four-year run of two such games per season.

1987 - Joe Montana (San Francisco 49ers) completed a record 22 consecutive passes.

1987 - Venice Glenn (San Diego Chargers) ran back an interception for 103 yards. It was an NFL record.

1992 - Jerry Rice of the San Francisco 49ers caught his 100th career touchdown pass.

1992 - Dennis Byrd of the New York Jets was paralyzed after suffering a neck injury in a game against the Kansas City Chiefs.

Basketball Big Ten MBB Scores and Standings (11/28)

November 28
#3 Gonzaga 89, #14 Indiana 73
#13 Purdue 71, North Carolina State 61
Illinois 90, #19 Arkansas 77
Wichita State 68, Minnesota 66 (OT)
Washington 73, Colorado State 67
Butler 71, Northwestern 69
St. Mary's 71, USC 36

Standings
Oregon (7-0)
Wisconsin (7-0)
Illinois (6-1)
Iowa (6-1)
Maryland (6-1)
Michigan (6-1)
Penn State (6-1)
Purdue (6-1)
UCLA (6-1)
Nebraska (5-1)
Ohio State (5-1)
Washington (5-1)
Michigan State (6-2)
Minnesota (5-2)
Northwestern (5-2)
Rutgers (5-2)
USC (5-2)
Indiana (4-2)

Games for Friday, November 29
#14 Indiana vs. Providence (at Bahamas) (10:00 AM - ESPN2)
Minnesota vs. Wake Forest (at Lake Buena Vista, FL) (12:00 PM - ESPN2)
Pittsburgh at Ohio State (1:30 PM - Peacock)
Washington vs. Santa Clara (at Palm Springs, CA) (3:30 PM)
#13 Purdue vs. #23 Mississippi (at San Diego) (5:00 PM)
Northwestern vs. UNLV (at Tempe, AZ) (6:00 PM)

Next Nebraska Game - Sunday, December 1
North Florida at Nebraska (3:00 PM - BTN)

Basketball Big Ten Women's Scores and Standings (11/28)

November 28
#11 Ohio State 70, Old Dominion 47
#22 Iowa 69, Rhode Island 62
San Diego State 73, Wisconsin 67
Middle Tennessee State 54, Purdue 49

Standings
Michigan State (8-0)
Penn State (8-0)
Iowa (7-0)
Minnesota (7-0)
Maryland (6-0)
Ohio State (6-0)
UCLA (5-0)
Nebraska (6-1)
Illinois (6-1)
Michigan (5-1)
USC (5-1)
Washington (7-2)
Oregon (6-2)
Wisconsin (5-2)
Purdue (4-2)
Rutgers (4-2)
Indiana (4-3)
Northwestern (2-3)

Games for Friday, November 29
Wisconsin vs. Providence (at Cancun, Mexico) (10:00 AM)
Marquette at Rutgers (1:00 PM - BTN)
Michigan vs. Belmont (at Fort Myers, FL) (1:00 PM)
Minnesota vs. Houston (at New Orleans) (1:15 PM)
#11 Ohio State vs. Utah State (at Daytona Beach, FL) (2:30 PM)
#1 UCLA vs. Tennessee-Martin (at Honolulu, HI) (4:00 PM)
#6 USC vs. St. Louis (at Palm Springs, CA)
#22 Iowa vs. BYU (at Cancun, Mexico) (8:00 PM)

Next Nebraska Game - Tuesday, December 3
Lindenwood at Nebraska (7:00 PM - BTN+)
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