in the 2023 class including transfers
While I agree recruiting quantity of high quality top players isn’t the only thing top teams must have.. it almost absolutely starts there first.
If you look historically, especially this century, since Rivals began, the importance of recruiting and retaining 4 and 5 stars is huge in terms of being Nationally Top 10 relevant and for sure Top 4 NC worthy. we haven’t had one national title winner yet since 2002, who hasn’t been well into the double digits each year I think the average of those top four teams if you look at them, let’s say, Alabama, Georgia, Clemson, and Ohio State since about that time they probably average 17 signees each year or more who are four stars or five stars.
And if you’re not even close to signing double digits per year, your chances of winning titles or even playing in top 4 playoff very rare. again, I believe the average national title winner probably averaged 15 to 20 in the last decade most of the teams who win have 50 or 60+ on the roster minimum.
That doesn’t mean the rest of the teams have no shot but they have to stay healthy. If you only have 30 or 40 of those players they need to stay healthy and you have to probably hit at a higher percentage rate meaning that they actually end up playing like four stars and above once developed and on campus
I have been adamant and history proves how important it is to get into the double digits, roughly each recruiting season when it comes to pulling in 4 and 5 stars.
Bottom line if you are well coached have a good system and can get that 8 to 12 average a year or more, you put yourself in the conversation in my opinion. Of course, the more the merrier and what Rhule staff is doing with the second tier talent is exactly what I’ve also said, for a decade or more that if you aren’t getting as many top players in the country top 50 at all positions as Bama Ohio State etc , then you better get those difference making smaller kids, who get overlooked.. the ones who can juke shake and bake blaze you with speed. Basically finding players that the main reason they are not 4+ stars is because their lack of size may have had them overlooked, especially if they were small is sophomores and juniors and then coach them up. This is how you can close the gap on the top tier talent teams. Also having that difference maker at QB has to be there too.
Examples of good 2nd tier talent teams that fit my model who closed gap are Oregon, TCU, in terms of getting into playoffs. We’ve seen Boise State Utah, dare I say past UCF teams come close and for sure close gap