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Bucknuts invade the valut as 2.5 dog

Driving all day, just got done listening to the radio broadcast. Forgot how Pavelka lives and dies with Nebraska basketball! I really appreciate that guy. On the radio it sounded like Nebraska was the better team whenever we didn’t have 3/5 of the starters on the bench with foul trouble. Hope Berke bounces back, from Fred’s interview it sounds like a badly sprained ankle.

I had to drive to Omaha to fly out for work tomorrow. Pavelka is awesome! You never realize how much you miss a radio broadcast, until you do.
 
At NW and at PSU could be Quad 1 wins if NU could pull it off.
Maybe, but Penn State is in a free fall and I don’t see many wins left on Northwestern’s schedule.

I really think the Huskers will win more than three games down the stretch. But the point of my response was that IF they only win three more, they’re probably back on the bubble.
 
Maybe, but Penn State is in a free fall and I don’t see many wins left on Northwestern’s schedule.

I really think the Huskers will win more than three games down the stretch. But the point of my response was that IF they only win three more, they’re probably back on the bubble.
If Nebraska goes 9-11 in Big 10 play they have a 81.2% chance of making the dance. This site will show you all the odds you need.

 
NW is down 2 starters including their best player. Really should win at least 3 of 4 of them, psu on the road, Iowa, and Minnesota.

Win at least 1 of MD and Mich at home. Win the first one in the conference tourney.

That's 21 wins and we're easily in.
 
NW is down 2 starters including their best player. Really should win at least 3 of 4 of them, psu on the road, Iowa, and Minnesota.

Win at least 1 of MD and Mich at home. Win the first one in the conference tourney.

That's 21 wins and we're easily in.
21 wins and we are probably a 6 or 7 seed
 
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21 wins and we are probably a 6 or 7 seed

Not sure we're quite that high, but I don't consider myself a bracket expert. If we can get MD and Mich both, that would be huge. We're still only #49 in the NET, even after today. The USC and rutgers losses are hurting us there.
 
Not sure we're quite that high, but I don't consider myself a bracket expert. If we can get MD and Mich both, that would be huge. We're still only #49 in the NET, even after today. The USC and rutgers losses are hurting us ther
Yea very odd at our lack of upward movement #49 NET. We have more quad 1 wins than 15 of the 20 teams ahead of us and NU has zero quad 3/4 losses.

KenPom is more inline with reality - #39
 
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Yea very odd at our lack of upward movement #49 NET. We have more quad 1 wins than 15 of the 20 teams ahead of us and NU has zero quad 3/4 losses.

KenPom is more inline with reality - #39
Yeah I think the Huskers are in pretty good shape, but still need to take care of some business down the stretch. Beating another tournament team or two would take the drama out of Selection Sunday.
 
Yea very odd at our lack of upward movement #49 NET. We have more quad 1 wins than 15 of the 20 teams ahead of us and NU has zero quad 3/4 losses.

KenPom is more inline with reality - #39
NET uses school past history which IMO makes it my least used metric when I look for tournament teams.

Teams like North Carolina

They are ranked 5 spots ahead of Nebraska and there is not one metric that is higher than ours. According to BPI our strength of schedule is 45th and NC is 67th... so even that isn't higher this year, but some how they are ranked higher than NU in both the BPI and NET. It makes zero sence.

NC is 14-10 overall and Nebraska is 16-8

Nebraska is 5-6 vs Q1 and North Carolina is 1-9

I usually write more, but those two metrics alone should show you how flawed the BPI and NET are.

BPI

NC = 30
NU = 43

NET

NC = 46
NU = 49

There is something wrong with both of those metrics, and IMO should not be used like they are. North Carolinas history should have nothing to do with this years team. No way should they even be close to where they are sitting right now.

NU's 5 best wins

@Creighton
@Oregon
UCLA
Illinois
Ohio State

NC best wins

UCLA
PITT
Dayton
GT
@Hawaii
SMU

NO way should NC be ranked higher
 
I’ll mirror what Fred said - I’d still like to see this team play well for 40 minutes. The metrics will take care of themselves if that happens!
 
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NET uses school past history which IMO makes it my least used metric when I look for tournament teams.

Teams like North Carolina

They are ranked 5 spots ahead of Nebraska and there is not one metric that is higher than ours. According to BPI our strength of schedule is 45th and NC is 67th... so even that isn't higher this year, but some how they are ranked higher than NU in both the BPI and NET. It makes zero sence.

NC is 14-10 overall and Nebraska is 16-8

Nebraska is 5-6 vs Q1 and North Carolina is 1-9

I usually write more, but those two metrics alone should show you how flawed the BPI and NET are.

BPI

NC = 30
NU = 43

NET

NC = 46
NU = 49

There is something wrong with both of those metrics, and IMO should not be used like they are. North Carolinas history should have nothing to do with this years team. No way should they even be close to where they are sitting right now.

NU's 5 best wins

@Creighton
@Oregon
UCLA
Illinois
Ohio State

NC best wins

UCLA
PITT
Dayton
GT
@Hawaii
SMU

NO way should NC be ranked higher
I totally agree with you, but unfortunately NET still seems to carry quite a bit of weight with the committee. Last year Wisconsin had a similar resume to Nebraska except they had more "good losses" in the non-conference so their NET was 23. Badgers were gifted a #5 seed and NU got stuck in the 8-9 game.
 
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We get to 20 and we are in.
21=100%
20=99%
19=81%
18= 50%

If we get to 18 with wins over any of the two following we are on the right side of that 50%

Maryland
Michigan
@Ohio St

Win one of these and one of the 3 above we will either be last 4 in or first 4 out

@Northwestern
@Penn State

If we win these two and none of the other we will need to win a couple in the Big 10 Tourney

Minnesota
Iowa

19 is the magic number, because it will get us to six Q1 wins minimum, but 18 with seven Q1 wins will also get us in too
 
Yea very odd at our lack of upward movement #49 NET. We have more quad 1 wins than 15 of the 20 teams ahead of us and NU has zero quad 3/4 losses.

KenPom is more inline with reality - #39

If you compare us and creighton, it's pretty apparent it's our quad 2 losses to Rutgers and USC. I'm with you, I think we're right around 40th.
 
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If you compare us and creighton, it's pretty apparent it's our quad 2 losses to Rutgers and USC. I'm with you, I think we're right around 40th.
Too bad Hawaii's season went down the crapper. Tough place to win, and would have expected that to be a Q2 win - but it's just a Q3.
 
NET uses school past history which IMO makes it my least used metric when I look for tournament teams.

Teams like North Carolina

They are ranked 5 spots ahead of Nebraska and there is not one metric that is higher than ours. According to BPI our strength of schedule is 45th and NC is 67th... so even that isn't higher this year, but some how they are ranked higher than NU in both the BPI and NET. It makes zero sence.

NC is 14-10 overall and Nebraska is 16-8

Nebraska is 5-6 vs Q1 and North Carolina is 1-9

I usually write more, but those two metrics alone should show you how flawed the BPI and NET are.

BPI

NC = 30
NU = 43

NET

NC = 46
NU = 49

There is something wrong with both of those metrics, and IMO should not be used like they are. North Carolinas history should have nothing to do with this years team. No way should they even be close to where they are sitting right now.

NU's 5 best wins

@Creighton
@Oregon
UCLA
Illinois
Ohio State

NC best wins

UCLA
PITT
Dayton
GT
@Hawaii
SMU

NO way should NC be ranked higher
Holy sheet- i didn’t know they looked at past seasons as a factor. Thats ridiculous
 
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