Nebraska -2 vs Northwestern

[chicolby]

Seems early lines favor the Huskers slightly over a Northwestern team that is picking up a little momentum.

I think the home crowd can work for or against the Huskers. If things don’t go well early I could see the crowd groaning. Hopefully they stay behind this team and get them back above .500

 

[barney44]

We can take them but the team who played Purdue for 3 quarters last night better not show up..

 

[Bugeater]

We can take them but the team who played Purdue for 3 quarters last night better not show up..

Well, they might show up for two quarters, Dr Jekyll and Mr Hyde show most likely continues.

 

[spinner4]

I bet us money line Saturday night @ +185 and made a solid bit of change. Was hoping we'd be underdogs again this week but kind of glad we aren't cause I'll stay away from this action.

Honestly I think we should be +5.5 at least. NW is playing really good football right now. I think the only reason Vegas has us favored is because we are home but we've lost 3 out of are last 4 home games. We have not played well at home all year and NW is probably the 2nd best in the West. Watch this line change quickly, when the professional gamblers see the line.

By game time it will be huskers +4 at least.

 

[Husker Sledge]

1/2 of our team will be out with injuries from the physical beating we took from that big bad Purdue. and tired of this pussified culture that has set in!

 

[headcard]

I bet us money line Saturday night @ +185 and made a solid bit of change. Was hoping we'd be underdogs again this week but kind of glad we aren't cause I'll stay away from this action.

Honestly I think we should be +5.5 at least. NW is playing really good football right now. I think the only reason Vegas has us favored is because we are home but we've lost 3 out of are last 4 home games. We have not played well at home all year and NW is probably the 2nd best in the West. Watch this line change quickly, when the professional gamblers see the line.

By game time it will be huskers +4 at least.

It has actually been moving the other way. Line came out at NW -2 and has moved all the way to NU -2.5. Not sure if it means anything but that is a lot of early movement.

 

[chicolby]

Will be cheering hard for a Husker win, but this game looks very dangerous to me. If the Huskers can put some magic together, they have a legit shot at 7 wins, which would be a decent accomplishment in my opinion.

 

[bmb81664]

Why would you want NU to win? We need to lose badly this week so we can fire Riley on Sunday and then sign Frost on Monday.

 

[Child of the Corn]

1/2 of our team will be out with injuries from the physical beating we took from that big bad Purdue. and tired of this pussified culture that has set in!

IKR, team needs to take advice from Patches O'houlihan!

 

[coachDubs]

Watch this line change quickly, when the professional gamblers see the line.

By game time it will be huskers +4 at least.

Friendly $100 this doesn't happen. Deal?

 

[cubsker]

there's not a chance in hell we close over a FG.

 

[headcard]

1/2 of our team will be out with injuries from the physical beating we took from that big bad Purdue. and tired of this pussified culture that has set in!

Being injured is not being a pussy. Injuries rack up this time of year, that’s why you need depth.

 

[Husker Sledge]

Being injured is not being a pussy. Injuries rack up this time of year, that’s why you need depth.

Yes we obviously need more quality depth but there also needs to be a better commitment to practicing with some physicality and getting after it with strength and conditioning.

 

[Cornicator]

I bet us money line Saturday night @ +185 and made a solid bit of change. Was hoping we'd be underdogs again this week but kind of glad we aren't cause I'll stay away from this action.

Honestly I think we should be +5.5 at least. NW is playing really good football right now. I think the only reason Vegas has us favored is because we are home but we've lost 3 out of are last 4 home games. We have not played well at home all year and NW is probably the 2nd best in the West. Watch this line change quickly, when the professional gamblers see the line.

By game time it will be huskers +4 at least.

Northwestern has an average pass rush and the worst Pass Defense in the league. Over the last 4 league games, including contests vs. Wisconsin and Ohio State, Tanner lee has totaled more than 1200 yards, 10 TD's and 1 INT.. He's also completing 61% of his passes.

The Huskers matchup well with their biggest weakness. And Northwestern's offense is only ahead of Illinois as the least explosive they've faced, in terms of yards per play.

This is a very winnable game for even a pedestrian Nebraska team.

 

[Cornicator]

Friendly $100 this doesn't happen. Deal?

Its already moved to Nebraska -2.5.

 

[coachDubs]

Its already moved to Nebraska -2.5.

So?

 

[ThrowBones92]

Anyone interested in talking about how nicely our QB has progressed coming off a not playing football for a long time? Or should we not do that here? Too positive?

 

[Cornicator]

So?

You were betting the other poster it never gets to NW - 5.5. I was just stating it would need to move a full TD the other way in order for that to happen. Its very unlikely.

 

[coachDubs]

You were betting the other poster it never gets to NW - 5.5. I was just stating it would need to move a full TD the other way in order for that to happen. Its very unlikely.

Oh, I thought maybe you misread his + as a -.

 

[chicolby]

This could impact the line in the way that the poster suggests....

 

[SoFL Husker]

Seems early lines favor the Huskers slightly over a Northwestern team that is picking up a little momentum.

I think the home crowd can work for or against the Huskers. If things don’t go well early I could see the crowd groaning. Hopefully they stay behind this team and get them back above .500

Done betting the Huskers after somehow winning Sat, Purdue was the better team on the field, without a Herculean effort on the part of Tanner Lee we lose.

Northwestern on the other hand is coming off an emotional victory and has a nice season end setting up. After Nebraska, they have Purdue, MN and IL left. They could easily win out.

I like NW or no touch, the early line movement is a trap IMO.

Don't see the home field the team prob came back and the only thing they are hearing/seeing/being talked about is Scott Frost Scott Frost Scott Frost Scott Frost.

 

[Husker Sledge]

View embedded media

This could impact the line in the way that the poster suggests....

Surprise, surprise! OL is a mash unit again.....and again, and again and again.

 

[Sooner_or_Later]

The Home team has not fared well in this series (sans the Hail Westy game). This has the feel of the 2015 game to me. NU had a good run defense and shaky pass defense, NW had a good ground game and poor passing with Thorson as a 1st year starter. Thorson killed Nebraska that day with his feet while Jackson was held in check. Am fearful of some DL from NW channeling his inner Dean Lowry.

 

[cubsker]

nw ground game has been terrible. we do need to play our responsibilities better vs the zone read though.

 

[SoFL Husker]

Also, I don't cap these games like the NFL. At this point in the season, it's about motivation and momentum. The cream rises. Upsets can happen but only to those that are fakers. NW has stepped-up their game, IMO

I teased +9 NW in a few large small $$ bets.

 

[HuskerO]

I bet us money line Saturday night @ +185 and made a solid bit of change. Was hoping we'd be underdogs again this week but kind of glad we aren't cause I'll stay away from this action.

Honestly I think we should be +5.5 at least. NW is playing really good football right now. I think the only reason Vegas has us favored is because we are home but we've lost 3 out of are last 4 home games. We have not played well at home all year and NW is probably the 2nd best in the West. Watch this line change quickly, when the professional gamblers see the line.

By game time it will be huskers +4 at least.

Rarely does a line ever move 6 points from opening line to closing line.

 

[scarletred]

If you're betting NW why wait...


Load up and get the points.

 

[spinner4]

Northwestern has an average pass rush and the worst Pass Defense in the league. Over the last 4 league games, including contests vs. Wisconsin and Ohio State, Tanner lee has totaled more than 1200 yards, 10 TD's and 1 INT.. He's also completing 61% of his passes.

The Huskers matchup well with their biggest weakness. And Northwestern's offense is only ahead of Illinois as the least explosive they've faced, in terms of yards per play.

This is a very winnable game for even a pedestrian Nebraska team.

I agree. Very winnable. But in a strange way, betting knowledge is different then football knowledge. Some of the best sports gamblers in Vegas actually aren't sports fans. When you look at betting as a sports fan, people tend to subconsciously use a bias opinion and lose more than they win. But when you look at it with an open mind, you see things you won't as a fan. You see trends that as a sports fan doesn't think matters. Gambling is all about reducing risk. This game is too risky to bet at this moment and all I am saying is I am staying away from this bet.

 

[spinner4]

Friendly $100 this doesn't happen. Deal?

No way. That was a major exaggeration and wishful thinking so I could attack that line. I like my bookie more than I like you. If I am going to bet $100 on this game, I'd rather bet the game and not some pipsqueak on what the line ends up at. Are you serious?

But I do expect NW to be favorites by game time. My line has NU -1, so if it was -2.5 like Cornicator stated its already shifted a lot on NW. Or he must be using the Wynn LV

 

[spinner4]

Rarely does a line ever move 6 points from opening line to closing line.

If ever. Only time I've seen it move that much is when there was a key injury early in the week > the game comes off the line most of the week, then before game time, it comes back on at a much different amount. The Super Bowl lines sometimes moves a lot too due to a lot of betting on the game and the line being open for close to 2 weeks

 

[coachDubs]

No way. That was a major exaggeration and wishful thinking so I could attack that line. I like my bookie more than I like you. If I am going to bet $100 on this game, I'd rather bet the game and not some pipsqueak on what the line ends up at. Are you serious?

Oh huh.

Honestly I think we should be +5.5 at least. NW is playing really good football right now. I think the only reason Vegas has us favored is because we are home but we've lost 3 out of are last 4 home games. We have not played well at home all year and NW is probably the 2nd best in the West. Watch this line change quickly, when the professional gamblers see the line.

By game time it will be huskers +4 at least.

"Honestly" till called out then it's an "exaggeration".

 

[huskerbaseball13]

No way. That was a major exaggeration and wishful thinking so I could attack that line. I like my bookie more than I like you. If I am going to bet $100 on this game, I'd rather bet the game and not some pipsqueak on what the line ends up at. Are you serious?

But I do expect NW to be favorites by game time. My line has NU -1, so if it was -2.5 like Cornicator stated its already shifted a lot on NW. Or he must be using the Wynn LV

The line has shifted in Nebraska's favor FYI.

 

[spinner4]

"Honestly" till called out then it's an "exaggeration".

What? You do see the "Honestly" part and the "exaggeration" part are two different statements in my post, right?

Honestly I think we should be +5.5 at least.

"Honestly, I think we should be 5.5" That's my opinion not the point you were trying to originally attack me on / bet me on was when I said

By game time it will be huskers +4 at least.

That was my exaggeration that Vegas would have the line @ 4 by game time and me talking out of my ass. This wasn't my opinion of what the line should be when I used the word "honestly" (see above for that).

But if you can't see those were two different statements, then OK. You obviously have other problems to worry about in life

 

[ridge22]

Well you are looking at Nebraska at 1 to 1.5 point favorite in Vegas now. Northwestern was 3-0 vs the spread as a road dog last year and they covered at Wisconsin this year as a dog. They Huskers have yet to cover at home this year. The trends say take NW.

 

[spinner4]

The line has shifted in Nebraska's favor FYI.

As the OP topic states, the line was -2, it's now -1 or -1.5 NU. If you don't understand how betting lines work that is not shifting in NU's favor. And yes @ points yesterday it was ever @ -2.5, so it's down almost 1.5 since then by most sports books.

At this point, I basically give up. I think some posters on here just like to troll other posters. That's why they come on here. Coachdubs has like 5 posts in this thread that have basically zero to do with the OP and he gives no opinion nor brings anything to the conversation other than to troll posters. This is what this board has become. 10% people giving an opinion / content (which is good stuff) even if their opinions are bad and 90% of the board just trying to troll them. Just give a dam opinion on the topic for a change, weather its good or bad & huskerball13 this wasn't aimed at you. I know you've given opinions in the past.

There's just too many people who only love to troll. So many people rip on Tom (or wife of Tom) but dam, at least he or she tries to give something to this board vs people that want to post 10 times in a topic just to fight with someone. Like how boring is your life if that's all you do?

 

[coachDubs]

What? You do see the "Honestly" part and the "exaggeration" part are two different statements in my post, right?







"Honestly, I think we should be 5.5" That's my opinion not the point you were trying to originally attack me on / bet me on was when I said


That was my exaggeration that Vegas would have the line @ 4 by game time and me talking out of my ass. This wasn't my opinion of what the line should be when I used the word "honestly" (see above for that).

But if you can't see those were two different statements, then OK. You obviously have other problems to worry about in life

So you weren't joking about +5.5 but you were about +4.5. Ummmm, k.

Jimmy the wannabe Greek got caught and can't handle it.

 

[ridge22]

Updated line is Northwestern -1

 

[spinner4]

Updated line NU +2.5 @ even $. I expected this major change in the line when the professional gamblers money started coming in. It was bagging for people to get NW and all the gambling stats favor NW, they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6, playing amazing ball, Huskers been awful @ home, have not covered @ home etc. but I’m still taking the Huskers.

Told myself after the tOSU game that if we were underdogs against Purdue, NW, Minnesota, & Iowa, id take money line all day. It goes against everything I was taught when betting football. Maybe I’m being foolish but I really like us today. Betting money line

 

[scarletred]

If we were healthier on the offensive line I'd be more comfortable in winning this game.

They have the better offense and defense against the run... I'll be very surprised if Nebraska wins today.

 

[Harry Caray]

Seems early lines favor the Huskers slightly over a Northwestern team that is picking up a little momentum.

I think the home crowd can work for or against the Huskers. If things don’t go well early I could see the crowd groaning. Hopefully they stay behind this team and get them back above .500

One could argue we've played better on the road this year than at home.