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CFB betting week 6

Week 4

Oklahoma St +2 1/2 vs Utah (This line moved from OSU as a 2 1/2 to 3 point favorite to 2 1/2 point home dog in 2 days)

Nebraska -9 1/2 vs Illinois (Nebraska 3-0 ATS)

Arkansas St +21 1/2 vs Iowa St (Iowa St hasn't scored more than 21 points in 2 games and Ark St scored 18,28,34 in 3 games this year)

USC -5 1/2 at Michigan (this is all gut feeling)

Oklahoma +7 1/2 vs Tennessee (OU is 7-2 ATS at home in last 9 and Tennessee on the road was 1-4 ATS in 2023)
I also like Okie State as a home underdog. Not gonna play the USC-Mich game, but man, USC looks like a total matchup nightmare with their WR's if Moss gets time to throw. I doubt Michigan can keep up offensively.

Not touching the OU/Tenn game either, so I hope they cover for you, but once Tenn gets rolling, they are a total bitch to slow down unless you have some lockdown corners. Looks like a real entertainng game to watch. Good luck Tuco.
 
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Week 4 I like:

NC State +21
Florida -5.5
Tulane - 3
USC -6
Tenn -7.5
Colorado -1.5
NC St is starting a true freshman QB. That makes me like Clemson, BUT that true freshman QB is a duel-threat so we'll see if that works to their advantage.
 
I'm just not sold on Clemson. I agree with you, but 21 is a lot for Clemson. They may prove me wrong, but just feeling it.
Because Clemson got drilled by Ga, they have pushed themselves into the same corner as Dame did when they lost to UNI. Another loss and Dabo can forget about the playoffs. Will they be Dame or fizzle like FSU, that's the question.

Oregon managed to avoid a bad start to their season and maybe getting things squared away. Its always so hard to tell how some teams will move forward or toss it in after they lose that season long objective right off the bat.
 
I'm just not sold on Clemson. I agree with you, but 21 is a lot for Clemson. They may prove me wrong, but just feeling it.
With Dabo being anti-NIL they are no longer getting those 3-4 first rounders to anchor their defensive line.

Plus, their QB makes a lot of mistakes.

About the only decent team they have left of their schedule is Louisville, so they gotta try to keep winning and hope those above them lose in order to even think about the 12 team playoff.
 
haven't looked at Saturday yet but Friday I have:

NU -9 (took it yesterday, it's up to -10 now. would still take it)
SJSU +11.5 @ wazzu (classic letdown spot after massive W in Apple Cup last weekend)
 
haven't looked at Saturday yet but Friday I have:

NU -9 (took it yesterday, it's up to -10 now. would still take it)
SJSU +11.5 @ wazzu (classic letdown spot after massive W in Apple Cup last weekend)
What do you think about the under 43 in the husker game?
 
I'm a little worried that Rhule will sit on the 2nd half lead. I was thinking 24-10 type of score.
I don't ever predict scores or over/under, but at some point NU is likely gonna have to win a game where lots of points are being scored, i.e. OSU or USC, possibly Indiana.
Who's to say NU can just start dialing it up in the 2nd half?

I really do think Rhule thinks this team can be a playoff team. If that's the case, NU has a lot of wood to chop in order to start passing a bunch of teams. At some point, style points will matter.
 
I think Rhule wants to hang 50 on teams despite what he may say
I don't think Matt Rhule is a Tom Osborne/Lane Kiffin/Josh Heupel who would really pour it on. I think he's a "nice guy" who wants to win, but not disrespect his opponents in doing so. JMO.

That mentality may have come from his early year struggles at both Temple and Bayor and how he felt as a coach towards a coach or teams that ran up the score. Hard to tell.

Also, the proper term is "half a hundred" as Barry Switzer used to say. LOL
 
I also like Okie State as a home underdog. Not gonna play the USC-Mich game, but man, USC looks like a total matchup nightmare with their WR's if Moss gets time to throw. I doubt Michigan can keep up offensively.

Not touching the OU/Tenn game either, so I hope they cover for you, but once Tenn gets rolling, they are a total bitch to slow down unless you have some lockdown corners. Looks like a real entertainng game to watch. Good luck Tuco.
I no longer like the Cowpokes as a -2.5 home favorite.
 
As of this moment

Illinois

+8(-110)


+260

o42½(-115)


o16½(-120)

u16½(+100)

Nebraska

-8(-110)


-320

u42½(-105)


o26½(+100)

u26½(-120)
 
I also like Okie State as a home underdog. Not gonna play the USC-Mich game, but man, USC looks like a total matchup nightmare with their WR's if Moss gets time to throw. I doubt Michigan can keep up offensively.

Not touching the OU/Tenn game either, so I hope they cover for you, but once Tenn gets rolling, they are a total bitch to slow down unless you have some lockdown corners. Looks like a real entertainng game to watch. Good luck Tuco.
It might look like a sucker bet but USC -6 looks too easy Michigan offense is a mess and USC D is pretty salty..So I’m loading up more than usual.

Luv the Vols -7 their very good offensively.
Arkansas +3 over Auburn
WV -2.5 over KU at home.
K-St -6.5 over BYU
Beavers -5.5 over Purdue
Huskers OVER 43
 
It might look like a sucker bet but USC -6 looks too easy Michigan offense is a mess and USC D is pretty salty..So I’m loading up more than usual.

Luv the Vols -7 their very good offensively.
Arkansas +3 over Auburn
WV -2.5 over KU at home.
K-St -6.5 over BYU
Beavers -5.5 over Purdue
Huskers OVER 43
Michigan is just a glorified big ten west team at this point. I think USC lights them up in a similar manner as Texas.
 
Week 4 I like:

NC State +21
Florida -5.5
Tulane - 3
USC -6
Tenn -7.5
Colorado -1.5
My friend, as someone who has been bit in the ass by the Gators in their two lined games, stay away. I know MSU is a bad team, but Florida is a comedy of errors right now. Napier is so far out of his league and is pretty much a dead man walking. I will look to fade Florida the rest of the year until they can Napier.

I haven't look too hard at the weekend yet, but just at first glance I kinda like:

Georgia Tech +10
Ark/Auburn over 56.5
Fresno St -14
Wazzu -12
Vandy/Mizzou under 53.5

But hell I don't know.

Gambling: The act of playing for stakes in the hope of winning (including the payment of a price for a chance to win a prize).
 
My friend, as someone who has been bit in the ass by the Gators in their two lined games, stay away. I know MSU is a bad team, but Florida is a comedy of errors right now. Napier is so far out of his league and is pretty much a dead man walking. I will look to fade Florida the rest of the year until they can Napier.

I haven't look too hard at the weekend yet, but just at first glance I kinda like:

Georgia Tech +10
Ark/Auburn over 56.5
Fresno St -14
Wazzu -12
Vandy/Mizzou under 53.5

But hell I don't know.

Gambling: The act of playing for stakes in the hope of winning (including the payment of a price for a chance to win a prize).
I guess we will see on Saturday night. I'm going with it.
 
Finally down to -7.5 on my site. I would be shocked if it gets under 7 but who knows!!!

I like the first half ML at -240. I would think that NU has the lead at the half.
 
here's what I have put in already this weekend(will be many more in addition):

NU -9
SJSU +11.5 @ wazzu

West Va -2.5 vs KU
Coastal Car +3.5 vs UVA
Buffalo +13.5 @ NIU
L'ville -11 vs GT
Mich +5.5 vs USC
Ark/Auburn OVER 56
Navy +9 vs Memphis
LSU -23.5 vs UCLA
Mizzou -20 vs Vandy
BYU +6.5 vs Kst
 
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here's what I have put in already this weekend(will be many more in addition):

NU -9
SJSU +11.5 @ wazzu

West Va -2.5 vs KU
Coastal Car +3.5 vs UVA
Buffalo +13.5 @ NIU
L'ville -11 vs GT
Mich +5.5 vs USC
Ark/Auburn OVER 56
Navy +9 vs Memphis
LSU -23.5 vs UCLA
Mizzou -20 vs Vandy
BYU +6.5 vs Kst
Michigan has allowed themselves to be pushed into the same corner as Dame did when they lost to UNI. Another loss before OSU and bye bye any hope of a playoff berth, as unikely as that is. They have to hope to beat USC and somehow, again, unlikely, to run the table all the waay to OSU.

Of course, Oregon looms later on their schedule, but beat USC and Oregon and finish 10-2 losing to OSU, and they have a chance. BTW, not a Michigan fan in the least. I just know the big schools are generally just hard to knock out if they get things squared away QB wise.

Having said that, I did play one small parlay with USC and giving the points. LOL
 
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