CFB betting week 6

[HuskerO]

What do people like about Florida state other than the logo on the helmet? I was tempted to take Memphis but now feel like I’m missing something

Their tomahawk chant is pretty cool too I think.

It's rare for a team with so much talent to completely crap the bed for the entire season. You'll see weeks where that team barely beats an inferior opponent and then come back to whoop up on some other ranked team. Or vice-versa (ND beating a ranked team, then losing to a FBS team).

 

[TampaBaySkers]

Bama now just -10.5 in game. I took that

 

[HuskerO]

Their tomahawk chant is pretty cool too I think.

It's rare for a team with so much talent to completely crap the bed for the entire season. You'll see weeks where that team barely beats an inferior opponent and then come back to whoop up on some other ranked team. Or vice-versa (ND beating a ranked team, then losing to a FBS team).

Of course, there are always exceptions. FSU continues to look like complete dog crap.

 

[ATLsker]

Bama now just -10.5 in game. I took that

Free money!

 

[shine003]

Bama -16
Missouri-14.5
FL St -6.5 (feels like stealing)
Miss -21
BYU -9
Col -7.5 ( the most must win game of the tenure)

I usually love to post a dog but since I'm late I'm not claiming the UNLV +7.5

F$%k it
C mich +21

I am not rubbing anything in as I have taken big losses in what I saw as a lock plenty of times….but I will say that I’ve learned the hard way, when it looks too easy, it’s because they’re stealing your money. Not the other way around.

 

[TampaBaySkers]

Free money!

Yeah I couldn’t believe the overreaction to Wisky being up 3-0. Love in game bets!

 

[TampaBaySkers]

I am not rubbing anything in as I have taken big losses in what I saw as a lock plenty of times….but I will say that I’ve learned the hard way, when it looks too easy, it’s because they’re stealing your money. Not the other way around.

I thought Bama was a lock. I think most did as most had it ITT.

 

[shine003]

I thought Bama was a lock. I think most did as most had it ITT.

Same. I wavered though, thought I was being suckered. Still made a small bet but not nearly as big as I had originally planned. Win some lose some

 

[itseasyas1-2-3]

Nice bro. Stay patient and do your thing. You’re the gambling guru around these parts so appreciate your posts

I appreciate that, but horses only, football not so much. I look to kong, scarlet, yourself, shocker, shine, leodis, Tuco and others who regularly play the college game. I'm still kind of a newbie and I'm still developing my methodology.

Some seem to have an "instinct" on how games will go, whereas I rely on data and my personal research.

I liked UNLV because they are now 9-1 after 2+ years as a underdog, I liked Cal last week against a ranked Auburn team because Cal is now 9-0 over the last 2+ years as an underdog to any ranked team ATS. Cal was a 12 point underdog and beat Auburn straight up on the road by 7, so they covered the spread by 19 pts.

I have 23 teams that I have as my base teams to play, BUT they have to be in a particular category, or I just don't play them. I don't play anything that doesn't have at least an 8 point differential in spreads, cause that 8 points gives me a margin for error.

Some of the historical data that I have about college football is pretty strong, of course, just like investments, what worked in the past isn't guaranteed to work now or in the future, but you and I know the trend is the trend.

Just like with a horse, I never ask a football team to do something that they have not proven they can do. Quick note about the end of the year, since 2011, or 13 straight years the OVERS have won when Michigan and Ohio State play. That's a strong indicator, but again, past results do not guarantee present or future performance.

(That's why you don't see me make predictions because I don't want to sway anyone to play what I play. I have a LOT of respect for other people's money).

Probably the biggest advantage I have is in the way I structure my wagers quite a bit different than the true football guys. I just never get in a hurry to bet unless I feel I have things lined up, so I probably pass on some pretty easy plays.

Easy plays that a lot of guys do really well with on this forum. Kudos to them!!

 

[shine003]

The reason why Illinois is Central Michigan allowed 52 points against Florida International last week..

Good call. Tip of the cap

 

[Laner2]

Gamecocks trying to give this one away.

 

[Laner2]

My God, LSU.....

 

[Husker4real]

I had Alabama -8 (got it preseason).

Today I have under 52.5 on BC-Missouri

UNI +30.5 vs NU

UCLA/Indiana over 47.5

 

[PeliniTheCrutch]

I went Bama and Oregon.

 

[schuele]

My God, who is this Hawkeye butt licker calling the Iowa-Troy game? If you just listened to this doofus, you would think Iowa was blowing out a good opponent - yet it’s 0-0 going into the 2nd quarter.

 

[TampaBaySkers]

I took the overs on Nebraska and UCLA/Indiana game.

 

[king_kong_]

I took the overs on Nebraska and UCLA/Indiana game.

I saw a prop that was Huskers shut out UNI +419

seemed light, I didn't take it

but interesting nonetheless

 

[JOHNNY N]

Husker -17.5 1st half

Huskers -30.5 game

 

[TampaBaySkers]

Husker -17.5 1st half

Huskers -30.5 game

Wow you got 17.5. Nice! Free money

 

[JOHNNY N]

Wow you got 17.5. Nice! Free money

Maybe.

 

[TampaBaySkers]

Maybe.

See .. easy money

 

[JOHNNY N]

See .. easy money

Turned around and bet the winnings on over 45

 

[leodisflowers]

I will probably wait for some fluctuation, but as of now I like:

ASU -2 vs. Texas St.
Bama - 15.5 vs. Wisky
Oregon St +16.5 vs. Oregon
Indiana -3 vs. UCLA

I’ll take 3-4. What’s everyone looking at tomorrow

 

[mwulf]

KHL Hockey at 530 am. Like the under

 

[shocksker]

Bama -16
Missouri-14.5
FL St -6.5 (feels like stealing)
Miss -21
BYU -9
Col -7.5 ( the most must win game of the tenure)

I usually love to post a dog but since I'm late I'm not claiming the UNLV +7.5

F$%k it
C mich +21

4-2 and a push. But I should have to count FSU as 2 losses. Terrible call.

 

[king_kong_]

I’ll take 3-4. What’s everyone looking at tomorrow

denver

 

[GBRforLife1]

Defense covers for the skers

 

[HuskerO]

• Alabama -16
• Florida St -6½
• Texas A&M -3 (makes me nervous, line started at -4.5)
• Oregon St +17½
• Oklahoma -12½
• Notre Dame -7 (bought down from-7.5)
• Boston Coll +14½
• Air Force/Baylor U 41 (only because someone else on this board posted it & looked good).

6-2

I'll take it.

 

[itseasyas1-2-3]

I’ll take 3-4. What’s everyone looking at tomorrow

I had a good day and almost a really good day. I said I was gonna play a 7 teamer and wound up playing a 6 teamer. I hit 5 of the 6, BUT, the way I do it, makes total sense to me, and it is unconventional.

I liked UNLV, So Florida, UCF, Baylor, Mississippi and Coastal Carolina. The only one that didn't cover was Coastal Carolina. So, did I lose my 6 teamer? NO, I hit the 3, 4, and 5 teamer.

As I said, I use a "base" and then a stair step approach. The three games i like the best were:
UNLV, So Florida and UCF and they all three covered so I will collect on a 3 teamer.

Then my 4 teamer was those first 3 teams and the 4th team was Baylor. So I hit the 4 teamer.

My 5 teamer was those 4 teams plus Mississippi. So I hit the 5 teamer.

I missed my 6 teamer when Coastal Carolina failed to cover.

I only played $10.00 parlays cause I'm still waitng for some teams to show who they really are.
But the math works like this: If I bet a straight $ 10.00 6 teamer it pays $ 495.00. Of course, if I miss one I get a big fat zero.

By hitting the 3, 4 and 5 teamer I still get back $ 455.00 - $ 40.00 wagered. . So what I do is I minimize my losses and instead of winning 495.00 for 6 of 6 - $ 10.00 wagered,
I hit 5 of the 6 and get $ 455.00. Its only $ 70.00 less, okay?
(3 teamer is 60.00 + 4 teamer is 136.00 + 5 teamer is 259.00 = $ 455.00.)

But along the way had I just played the straight 6 teamer and had my 6th team lose, I would have gotten zero back.

 

[BetterRed]

Took a two teamer parlay

aTm & Wash ML

Gawd Washington sucks. They cost me a 10 team ML parlay.

 

[ridge222]

Tardy to the party on this one, but

LSU - 7 L
Florida +3.5 L
UConn/Duke under 47.5 W
TCU +2.5 W
SDSU/Cal under 47.5 W

 

[itseasyas1-2-3]

Tardy to the party on this one, but

LSU - 7 L
Florida +3.5 L
UConn/Duke under 47.5 W
TCU +2.5 W
SDSU/Cal under 47.5 W

TCU lost also they were -2.5 against UCF

 

[cruelhalo]

ND QB is a hot mess.
No running game.
Undisciplined on D.
Purdue QB could make it interesting.

OK, so Purdue sucks something fierce.

 

[Tuco Salamanca]

3-2 on the week.

I have added Florida St and LSU on my will not bet list.

Lost FSU and Arizona

Troy, aTm and Arizona St pulled me positive on the week.

 

[ridge222]

TCU lost also they were -2.5 against UCF

I got TCU earlier in the week when they were +2.5.

 

[Ohio_husker]

There were a lot of opposing bets this week with bets on both sides of Bama/Wisky, UCLA/Indiana, KSU/Arizona, Florida/aTm, Notre Dame/Purdue, LSU/South Carolina, Tulane/Oklahoma, BC/Missouri, Colorado/CSU, Illinois/CMU, and even Nebraska/UNI.
Most prolific Winners were Alabama 7x and BC 5x
Most prolific Losers were Oregon State 8x and Florida State 3x
We might have thought +37 was enough to take Northwestern State. They lost by 77 to Alabama State!

This weeks record was 32-28-1
There were a lot of different spreads bet as the lines moved.

Overall board record is now 72-65 & 1 Push

Spoiler: Week 3

ASU -2 vs. Texas St. x2 (W)(W)
Bama - 15.5 vs. Wisky x6 1@-16 (Wx7)
Wisky +16.5 vs Bama (L)
Oregon St +16.5 vs. Oregon x4 x1@+15 1@+17 1@+17.5 (Lx8)
Indiana -3 vs. UCLA (W)
UCLA +3.5 vs Indiana (L)
Arizona +7.5 vs Kansas State x2 (L)(L)
Kansas State -7 vs Arizona x2 (W)(W)
Florida St -6.5 vs Memphis x3 (L)(L)(L)
Troy +23 vs Iowa (W)
Texas A&M -4 vs Florida 1@-3 (W)(W)
Florida +3.5 vs aTm (L)
Purdue +10 vs Notre Dame (L)
Notre Dame -7 Vs Purdue (L)
Boston College +16 vs Missouri x2 3@+14.5 (Wx5)
Missouri -16.5 vs BC 1@14.5 (L)(L)
Texas St +2.5 vs ASU (L)
LSU -6 vs South Carolina (L)
South Carolina +7 vs LSU 1@+6 (W)(W)
Georgia -24 vs Kentucky (L)
Tulane +14 vs Oklahoma x2 (L)(L)
Oklahoma -12.5 vs Tulane (W)
Nebraska -28 vs Nothern Iowa (W)
UNI +30.5 vs Nebraska (L)
Northwestern State +37 vs South Alabama (L)
UNLV +9 vs Kansas x2 (W)(W)
CSU +7.5 vs Colorado (L)
Colorado -7.5 vs CSU (W)
Fresno St -19 vs NM St. (W)
Ole Miss -23.5 vs Wake Forest 1@-21 (W)(W)
Illinois -20.5 vs CMU (W)
CMU +21 vs Illinois (push)
BYU -9 vs Wyoming (W)

 

[itseasyas1-2-3]

3-2 on the week.

I have added Florida St and LSU on my will not bet list.

Lost FSU and Arizona

Troy, aTm and Arizona St pulled me positive on the week.

I currently have Michigan State and Virginia Tech in my doghouse. LOL

 

[itseasyas1-2-3]

I got TCU earlier in the week when they were +2.5.

Thanks, I played UCF +2.5 but now I do remember the odds changed during the week.
Sorry about that.

Were you the guy playing games from that site in Vegas last year? If so, what was that site, I might want to check it out. Thanks

 

[headcard]

 

[Tuco Salamanca]

Week 4

Oklahoma St +2 1/2 vs Utah (This line moved from OSU as a 2 1/2 to 3 point favorite to 2 1/2 point home dog in 2 days)

Nebraska -9 1/2 vs Illinois (Nebraska 3-0 ATS)

Arkansas St +21 1/2 vs Iowa St (Iowa St hasn't scored more than 21 points in 2 games and Ark St scored 18,28,34 in 3 games this year)

USC -5 1/2 at Michigan (this is all gut feeling)

Oklahoma +7 1/2 vs Tennessee (OU is 7-2 ATS at home in last 9 and Tennessee on the road was 1-4 ATS in 2023)