USC kickoff set for 3:00
- Thread starter scarletred
- Start date
Wow. What a huge point swing. Nebraska goes from opening as a 9 point favorite (or something like that, I forget) at home to UCLA to a 8 1/2 point dog at USC. The value is clearly on Nebraska as betters overreact to recent results. But damn, who in the hell wants to bet on this team right now? Can we hold USC to 21 points or less? And somehow score 14?
Spreads week to week work like the stock market with good or bad news..
And that's where "value" can be gained. But with that said, can the Huskers score 20 points at USC? If someone believes they can score 20, they will probably control enough clock to cover the spread. But when was the last time the Huskers scored 20 points against a decent defense?
if the staff has half a brain they'll spend the next week scheming up a running attack.
don't have the numbers in front of me, but USC has looked soft up the middle this year.
Add in take a look at USC’s performances as the home team vs. their performances as a road team.
Yeah, USC is in the bottom 3rd for rush defense-- I look at average yards per carry. UCLA was top 15 nationally or something like that. Our team is at its best when they are running the ball, controlling clock. They can do that against USC and if they do, they will have a chance to win. The tough part about pulling any upset is that it's usually done by forcing turnovers and winning special teams. This team is horrendous in those two areas.
THIS IS A CORRECTED COPY OF ERRONEOUS NUMBERS I POSTED EARLIER, my computer defaulted into the wrong category. It defaulted into a straight W/L record, not ATS.
These numbers are now correct. Sorry.
Nebraska, against the spread as a road underdog:
2024 1-1 50%
Since 2023 3-2-1 50%
Since 2022 5-3-1 55%
Since 2021 8-3-1 67%
Since 2019 10-6-1 59%
Since 2018 14-7-1 64%
Since 2017 17-8-1 65%
* Didn't round up or down to the next lower/higher percentage.
.
In 1 3/4 years at NU, Rhule teams are 4-3-1.
Last edited:
BigRed, I just posted some different numbers because my computer defaulted into the wrong category, the numbers I have posted now are correct, and look much better. Sorry about that.
Interesting! That plays into the theory that NU plays to the level of its competition. Comes to play against the better teams. Loses out right too often as a road favorite I would imagine.
IND is 8-1 ATS. 5-1 at home and 3-0 on the road, covering by 19.7 pts on the road.
USC is 4-0 at home ATS. Ariz and N. Car at both 0-5 at home ATS. GA 0-3 at home ATS.
Iowa overall 8-1 in the OVERS this year.
Last edited:
True. I personally think that whatever the team did during the bye week made the team take a step back, and somehow NU took Indiana too lightly. As the weeks have gone on, it's clear that Indiana would beat us 10 times out of 10, but we should have been more prepared & competitive.
I'm surprised we're .500 out right as a road favorite. I'm guessing that the five wins were against NW, Purdue and that one at Rutgers late in the season where Rutgers didn't seem to even care.
Similar threads
