Stolen from Reddit

[RedMyMind]

HentaiHerbie

Chasing 3 - Dylan doesn't have to be good, he just has to not suck​

Maybe expectations are something that we can think about in a rational way. It is surprising to me that expectations and hype feel very moderated around the Huskersphere, especially compared to some periods in the Scott Frost era. This is probably healthy, but at the same time, I think people need to remember that Matt Rhule matched Scott Frost's best record in season one behind some of the worst QB play that a terrible QB school has ever had to endure. Plus 5-star Dylan Raiola is coming in despite Scott Frost's best efforts to keep him away from Lincoln.

Dylan doesn't have to be great, he just has to not suck​

All offseason, Nebraska has been putting out content that they are Chasing 3 in reference to their 5 losses by one score (stop me if you have heard this one before). But does anyone remember just what level those quarterbacks (none of whom will be starting in college this year despite eligibility) played at last year in those #onescorelosses? Let's look:

Minnesota: L 10-13​

• Jeff Simms
• 11 Comp, 19 Att, 114 yards (57.9%)
• 1 TD, 3 INT, 3 Sacks
• 94.1 QBR

Michigan State: L 17-20​

• Heinrich Haarberg
• 12 Comp, 28 Att, 129 yards (42.9%)
• 0 TD, 2 INT, 7 Sacks
• 67.3 QBR

Maryland: L 10-13​

• Jeff Simms, Chubba Purdy, Heinrich Haarberg
• 10 Comp, 21 Att, 86 yards (47.6%)
• 0 TD, 4 INT, 1 Sacks
• 67.3 QBR

Wisconsin: L 17-24 (OT)​

• Chubba Purdy
• 15 Comp, 24 Att, 169 yards (62.5%)
• 1 TD, 1 INT, 2 Sacks
• 127.1 QBR

Iowa: L 10-13​

• Chubba Purdy
• 15 Comp, 28 Att, 189 yards (53.6%)
• 1 TD, 1 INT, 3 Sacks
• 114.9 QBR

One Score Losses Averages:​

• Jeff Simms, Chubba Purdy, Heinrich Haarberg
• 12.6 Comp, 24.0 Att, 137.4 yards (52.5%)
• 0.6 TD, 2.2 INT, 3.2 Sacks
• 90.5 QBR

So like those don't seem great, but how bad are they?​

So like I said, Dylan doesn't have to be great, he just has to not suck. For comparison across the whole 2023 CFB season, here is where the Nebraska QB room would have ranked nationally:

• Completion %: 122nd (their actual ranking!)
• Passing Yards: 127th (actually better than their season long ranking and average!)
• Yards/Attempt: 127th
• QBR: 134th (there were only 133 teams)

So what would dead average look like?

• Dylan Raiola
• 19.1 Comp, 31.4 Att, 221.6 yards (60.81%)
• 2.0 TD, 0.8 INT, 2.0 Sacks
• 133.6 QBR

In short, he does not have to be a hero day one, and I think it is important that we all keep that in mind. I think he will be amazing, but there will be some roadbumps.

 

[Badger Pete]

HentaiHerbie

Chasing 3 - Dylan doesn't have to be good, he just has to not suck​

Maybe expectations are something that we can think about in a rational way. It is surprising to me that expectations and hype feel very moderated around the Huskersphere, especially compared to some periods in the Scott Frost era. This is probably healthy, but at the same time, I think people need to remember that Matt Rhule matched Scott Frost's best record in season one behind some of the worst QB play that a terrible QB school has ever had to endure. Plus 5-star Dylan Raiola is coming in despite Scott Frost's best efforts to keep him away from Lincoln.

Dylan doesn't have to be great, he just has to not suck​

All offseason, Nebraska has been putting out content that they are Chasing 3 in reference to their 5 losses by one score (stop me if you have heard this one before). But does anyone remember just what level those quarterbacks (none of whom will be starting in college this year despite eligibility) played at last year in those #onescorelosses? Let's look:

Minnesota: L 10-13​

• Jeff Simms
• 11 Comp, 19 Att, 114 yards (57.9%)
• 1 TD, 3 INT, 3 Sacks
• 94.1 QBR

Michigan State: L 17-20​

• Heinrich Haarberg
• 12 Comp, 28 Att, 129 yards (42.9%)
• 0 TD, 2 INT, 7 Sacks
• 67.3 QBR

Maryland: L 10-13​

• Jeff Simms, Chubba Purdy, Heinrich Haarberg
• 10 Comp, 21 Att, 86 yards (47.6%)
• 0 TD, 4 INT, 1 Sacks
• 67.3 QBR

Wisconsin: L 17-24 (OT)​

• Chubba Purdy
• 15 Comp, 24 Att, 169 yards (62.5%)
• 1 TD, 1 INT, 2 Sacks
• 127.1 QBR

Iowa: L 10-13​

• Chubba Purdy
• 15 Comp, 28 Att, 189 yards (53.6%)
• 1 TD, 1 INT, 3 Sacks
• 114.9 QBR

One Score Losses Averages:​

• Jeff Simms, Chubba Purdy, Heinrich Haarberg
• 12.6 Comp, 24.0 Att, 137.4 yards (52.5%)
• 0.6 TD, 2.2 INT, 3.2 Sacks
• 90.5 QBR

So like those don't seem great, but how bad are they?​

So like I said, Dylan doesn't have to be great, he just has to not suck. For comparison across the whole 2023 CFB season, here is where the Nebraska QB room would have ranked nationally:

• Completion %: 122nd (their actual ranking!)
• Passing Yards: 127th (actually better than their season long ranking and average!)
• Yards/Attempt: 127th
• QBR: 134th (there were only 133 teams)

So what would dead average look like?

• Dylan Raiola
• 19.1 Comp, 31.4 Att, 221.6 yards (60.81%)
• 2.0 TD, 0.8 INT, 2.0 Sacks
• 133.6 QBR

In short, he does not have to be a hero day one, and I think it is important that we all keep that in mind. I think he will be amazing, but there will be some roadbumps.

Throw the 5-Star ranking out the window already. True, he doesn't have to be the hero, but Huskers have to have 8 games of 220+ rushing yards per game.

I want the "HERO" to be a Nebraska tailback, not the QB.

 

[RBigredMax]

I had almost forgot how bad it was…0

 

[RedMyMind]

Through the 5-Star ranking out the window already. True, he doesn't have to be the hero, but Huskers have to have 8 games of 220+ rushing yards per game.

I want the "HERO" to be a Nebraska tailback, not the QB.

Gotta have a passing game these days to have a "hero" tailback.

 

[RedMyMind]

I had almost forgot how bad it was…0

I watched the "highlights" of the Maryland game and that was something.

 

[InMotion]

HentaiHerbie

Chasing 3 - Dylan doesn't have to be good, he just has to not suck​

Maybe expectations are something that we can think about in a rational way. It is surprising to me that expectations and hype feel very moderated around the Huskersphere, especially compared to some periods in the Scott Frost era. This is probably healthy, but at the same time, I think people need to remember that Matt Rhule matched Scott Frost's best record in season one behind some of the worst QB play that a terrible QB school has ever had to endure. Plus 5-star Dylan Raiola is coming in despite Scott Frost's best efforts to keep him away from Lincoln.

Dylan doesn't have to be great, he just has to not suck​

All offseason, Nebraska has been putting out content that they are Chasing 3 in reference to their 5 losses by one score (stop me if you have heard this one before). But does anyone remember just what level those quarterbacks (none of whom will be starting in college this year despite eligibility) played at last year in those #onescorelosses? Let's look:

Minnesota: L 10-13​

• Jeff Simms
• 11 Comp, 19 Att, 114 yards (57.9%)
• 1 TD, 3 INT, 3 Sacks
• 94.1 QBR

Michigan State: L 17-20​

• Heinrich Haarberg
• 12 Comp, 28 Att, 129 yards (42.9%)
• 0 TD, 2 INT, 7 Sacks
• 67.3 QBR

Maryland: L 10-13​

• Jeff Simms, Chubba Purdy, Heinrich Haarberg
• 10 Comp, 21 Att, 86 yards (47.6%)
• 0 TD, 4 INT, 1 Sacks
• 67.3 QBR

Wisconsin: L 17-24 (OT)​

• Chubba Purdy
• 15 Comp, 24 Att, 169 yards (62.5%)
• 1 TD, 1 INT, 2 Sacks
• 127.1 QBR

Iowa: L 10-13​

• Chubba Purdy
• 15 Comp, 28 Att, 189 yards (53.6%)
• 1 TD, 1 INT, 3 Sacks
• 114.9 QBR

One Score Losses Averages:​

• Jeff Simms, Chubba Purdy, Heinrich Haarberg
• 12.6 Comp, 24.0 Att, 137.4 yards (52.5%)
• 0.6 TD, 2.2 INT, 3.2 Sacks
• 90.5 QBR

So like those don't seem great, but how bad are they?​

So like I said, Dylan doesn't have to be great, he just has to not suck. For comparison across the whole 2023 CFB season, here is where the Nebraska QB room would have ranked nationally:

• Completion %: 122nd (their actual ranking!)
• Passing Yards: 127th (actually better than their season long ranking and average!)
• Yards/Attempt: 127th
• QBR: 134th (there were only 133 teams)

So what would dead average look like?

• Dylan Raiola
• 19.1 Comp, 31.4 Att, 221.6 yards (60.81%)
• 2.0 TD, 0.8 INT, 2.0 Sacks
• 133.6 QBR

In short, he does not have to be a hero day one, and I think it is important that we all keep that in mind. I think he will be amazing, but there will be some roadbumps.

Great post. 👍

 

[Badger Pete]

Through the 5-Star ranking out the window already. True, he doesn't have to be the hero, but Huskers have to have 8 games of 220+ rushing yards per game.

I want the "HERO" to be a Nebraska tailback, not t

Gotta have a passing game these days to have a "hero" tailback.

Haynes King from Georgia Tech would disagree. They got 190 on the ground, but 5.2 yards per carry was the key to the game. Amen.
Haynes King
team

C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT		QBR
11/16	146	9.1	0	0		69.7

 

[RedMyMind]

Haynes King from Georgia Tech would disagree. They got 190 on the ground, but 5.2 yards per carry was the key to the game. Amen.
Haynes King
team

C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT		QBR
11/16	146	9.1	0	0		69.7

I guess I should have prefaced it by saying you need a good QB.
He was effective in the passing game when needed. Reminds me of Colin Klein.

 

[BugsAreQualityProtein]

If he has a 2:1 TD to Int ratio he’d be a huge upgrade from last year. We haven’t had that since AM’s freshman year.

 

[king_kong_]

Yep. Painfully obvious.

However, this assumes all else will be equal, especially on the schedule and on defense.

Let’s hope we can maintain or improve there and improve on special teams at a rate >> than our competition.

There are very few, if any, teams in the country with a wider spectrum of possible outcomes than us this year.

We could go 10-2 led by the #1 pick in 2027 or 4-8 and needing to find a QB again in the offseason.

 

[shocksker]

I had almost forgot how bad it was…0

Because the games were close, I didn't even realize it was THAT BAD.

 

[c3o]

Man those games were so hard to watch. No wonder Pfizer targeted our fan base with blood pressure meds

 

[V-Doub]

I had almost forgot how bad it was…0

Just when you think you’ve moved past your debilitating PTSD…

 

[bama_husker]

Throw the 5-Star ranking out the window already. True, he doesn't have to be the hero, but Huskers have to have 8 games of 220+ rushing yards per game.

I want the "HERO" to be a Nebraska tailback, not the QB.

Ohio State had Kyle McCord at QB (who didn't come here because of DR), had zero games of 220+ rushing and went 11-2
Oregon with Bo Nix had four games of 220+ (2 against P5) and went 12-2
Penn State with Drew Allar had 4 games of 220+ (2 against P5) and went 10-3
Michigan with JJ McCarthy had 3 games 220+ and went 15-0
Iowa with some stiff at QB had 1 game of 220+ (none against P5) and went 10-4
Washington with M Penix had one game of 220+ rushing and went 14-1.

These are all the current B10 teams that won 10 or more last year.
This isn't 1990's Nebraska anymore, and I don't want it to be.