PFF suggests Nebraska #60 and Illinois #61 of 130 FBS programs for 2022 🤔

[cidsports]

Many tapped Nebraska the best 3-9 team of all time in 2021 due to the squad’s numerous close finishes —every loss was by single digits. But that may have led to unreasonably heightened expectations for the Cornhuskers in 2022. Despite having the second-best odds to win the Big Ten West at several sportsbooks (24.9%), Nebraska comes in with the fourth-best chances in PFF’s model (11.4%). The biggest worries are with the offensive line and how new quarterback Casey Thompson will handle the group. Last year, the Cornhuskers ranked dead last in the Power Five in pass-blocking grade by double-digit points, and their highest-graded player from that group —center Cam Jurgens —is off to the NFL. Thompson —a Texas transfer — has struggled under duress in the past. His 7.8% turnover-worthy play rate under pressure in 2021 was the sixth-worst mark in the Power Five.

Bottomline:

"The Nebraska hype is getting out of control. A near-.500 record and a bowl berth — not the Big Ten West title — are reasonable expectations." Pff

Interesting read on 2022 B1G teams.

 

[tjlSker90]

View embedded media

Many tapped Nebraska the best 3-9 team of all time in 2021 due to the squad’s numerous close finishes —every loss was by single digits. But that may have led to unreasonably heightened expectations for the Cornhuskers in 2022. Despite having the second-best odds to win the Big Ten West at several sportsbooks (24.9%), Nebraska comes in with the fourth-best chances in PFF’s model (11.4%). The biggest worries are with the offensive line and how new quarterback Casey Thompson will handle the group. Last year, the Cornhuskers ranked dead last in the Power Five in pass-blocking grade by double-digit points, and their highest-graded player from that group —center Cam Jurgens —is off to the NFL. Thompson —a Texas transfer — has struggled under duress in the past. His 7.8% turnover-worthy play rate under pressure in 2021 was the sixth-worst mark in the Power Five.

Bottomline:

"The Nebraska hype is getting out of control. A near-.500 record and a bowl berth — not the Big Ten West title — are reasonable expectations." Pff

Interesting read on 2022 B1G teams.

I'd take whatever PFF says about anything with a grain of salt. Especially College Football

 

[mgbreis]

I guarantee anyone spending time on this board knows a lot more about Nebraska football than PFF.

So we probably think #60 is kinda high. Honestly though, when it comes to Nebraska football who the hell would know? Literally impossible to predict whether Frost and Co. can eliminate the maddening nonsense that prevented us from almost winning every damn game on the schedule LAST season, let alone this season with better players and better coaches.

 

[WHCSC]

We’re close

 

[Redmich]

I'd take whatever PFF says about anything with a grain of salt. Especially College Football

their projected win total for us last year (2021) was 5.1 wins

 

[tjlSker90]

their projected win total for us last year (2021) was 5.1 wins

And?

 

[SOHusker11]

 

[bigboxes]

We’re close

At first, it's funny. Then it's sad. Scott Frost is truly the worst coach. If he doesn't get 8 wins, I say we jettison him. Who would have thought he'd be such a bust?

 

[SuperBigFan]

At first, it's funny. Then it's sad. Scott Frost is truly the worst coach. If he doesn't get 8 wins, I say we jettison him. Who would have thought he'd be such a bust?

I sort of think that he is what Bobby Bowden was in his last few years at FSU...just a figurehead, a face. Not calling plays, not giving input, not putting together lineups.

Trev knows that a 9 win team with Frost as HC is what many Husker fans dream about.

 

[PeliniTheCrutch]

Is that good?

 

[bmb81664]

So at least we should beat Illinois this year.

 

[Chief Wiggum]

At first, it's funny. Then it's sad. Scott Frost is truly the worst coach. If he doesn't get 8 wins, I say we jettison him. Who would have thought he'd be such a bust?

Kind of a weird position to be in....four losing seasons, then fire the coach after changes were made if we go 7-5? Seems like we went down this path already...

 

[phoenix4nu]

Kind of a weird position to be in....four losing seasons, then fire the coach after changes were made if we go 7-5? Seems like we went down this path already...

I think he’s safe if he wins 7 games in the regular season. The real question is what happens if he only wins 6.

 

[Mrs.Jeans15]

What did we expect. We have been a losing program for 6 out of 7 years.

 

[bigboxes]

Kind of a weird position to be in....four losing seasons, then fire the coach after changes were made if we go 7-5? Seems like we went down this path already...

Are you saying we should have kept Riley?

 

[bigboxes]

I think he’s safe if he wins 7 games in the regular season. The real question is what happens if he only wins 6.

You fire him with cause. Promote Mickey to HC.

 

[mgbreis]

You fire him with cause. Promote Mickey to HC.

I like Mickey, but if we fire Frost and don't hire a proven successful P5 coach with a dominant W-L record I'm out. Enough dicking around with this BS.

 

[Cornicator]

View embedded media

Many tapped Nebraska the best 3-9 team of all time in 2021 due to the squad’s numerous close finishes —every loss was by single digits. But that may have led to unreasonably heightened expectations for the Cornhuskers in 2022. Despite having the second-best odds to win the Big Ten West at several sportsbooks (24.9%), Nebraska comes in with the fourth-best chances in PFF’s model (11.4%). The biggest worries are with the offensive line and how new quarterback Casey Thompson will handle the group. Last year, the Cornhuskers ranked dead last in the Power Five in pass-blocking grade by double-digit points, and their highest-graded player from that group —center Cam Jurgens —is off to the NFL. Thompson —a Texas transfer — has struggled under duress in the past. His 7.8% turnover-worthy play rate under pressure in 2021 was the sixth-worst mark in the Power Five.

Bottomline:

"The Nebraska hype is getting out of control. A near-.500 record and a bowl berth — not the Big Ten West title — are reasonable expectations." Pff

Interesting read on 2022 B1G teams.

Casey Thompson has 9 career turnovers in 15 career games.

I've never been good at math, but PFFs turnover math percentage doesn't add up.

 

[bigboxes]

Casey Thompson has 9 career turnovers in 15 career games.

I've never been good at math, but PFFs turnover math percentage doesn't add up.

Now do Amart

 

[phoenix4nu]

You fire him with cause. Promote Mickey to HC.

I don't see how he could be fired with cause at this point unless something new comes up.

 

[bigboxes]

I don't see how he could be fired with cause at this point unless something new comes up.

For cause is what AD Alberts laid out for him when he kept him on this year. Doesn't meet those minimum expectations for this year? Fired for cause.

 

[Tuco Salamanca]

Casey Thompson has 9 career turnovers in 15 career games.

I've never been good at math, but PFFs turnover math percentage doesn't add up.

I think the ratio is stupid. What is turnover to worthy play under pressure ratio? FFS People are now just making up ratios and throwing them out there.

 

[NikkiSixx]

I just hope Mark Whipple has Chubba Purdy and the others ready to play, because I am not at all convinced that CT is going to turn out like how people think.

 

[Cornicator]

Now do Amart

46 career turnovers in 37 starts.

 

[Redmich]

I just hope Mark Whipple has Chubba Purdy and the others ready to play, because I am not at all convinced that CT is going to turn out like how people think.

Man, thank god for the portal and NIL - I can’t get over how royally f#%*^d we would have been had we had to go into the season with the guys we recruited out of high school. I would not be surprised if none of the guys recruited out of high school currently on the roster ever play a meaningful QB snap at NU

 

[Cornicator]

Man thank god for the portal and NIL - I can’t get over how royally f#%*^d we would have been had we had to go into the season with the guys we recruited out of high school. I would not be surprised if none of the guys recruited out of high school currently on the roster ever play a meaningful snap at NU

Absolutely. It's the only thing that could possibly save Frost's ass.

But even if Frost is canned, I do believe NIL and the Portal will save Nebraska football.

 

[bigboxes]

Absolutely. It's the only thing that could possibly save Frost's ass.

But even if Frost is canned, I do believe NIL and the Portal will save Nebraska football.

We cannot compete for the B1G with NIL and the portal. We need to recruit.

 

[mgbreis]

We cannot compete for the B1G with NIL and the portal. We need to recruit.

I agree, but it’s a freaking miracle we’re recruiting as well as we are under the circumstances of how bad we’ve been. Win a little and it looks bright for recruiting.

 

[NikkiSixx]

I guess it depends on perspective. For a 3-9 team, we are recruiting fairly okay.. but from a different perspective, I would like to see us in the top 10-15 in recruiting every year. Adding only three 4 star players a year isn't going to cut it.

Our average NIL dollars are not very good either.

 

[Mrs.Jeans15]

46 career turnovers in 37 starts.

Key sign of a losing QB

 

[Mrs.Jeans15]

I guess it depends on perspective. For a 3-9 team, we are recruiting fairly okay.. but from a different perspective, I would like to see us in the top 10-15 in recruiting every year. Adding only three 4 star players a year isn't going to cut it.

Our average NIL dollars are not very good either.

Were actually considered pretty high when it comes to NIL

 

[Dean Pope]

Bottomline:

"The Nebraska hype is getting out of control. A near-.500 record and a bowl berth — not the Big Ten West title — are reasonable expectations." Pff

Interesting read on 2022 B1G teams.

First of all, what Nebraska hype? Where?

Second, I'm not sure saying near .500 record and bowl berth is all that much to get upset about. We've got a lot of new pieces, a new system and we haven't had a winning season since Obama was president.

Third, being rated 60th is low but teams really should be ranked in tiers anyway. There's little difference between #40 and #60.

 

[NikkiSixx]

Were actually considered pretty high when it comes to NIL

are we?

Go here:

2023 Industry Football Team Recruiting Rankings

A list of the top 2023 Football teams in order of recruiting rankings solely based off of the On3 Industry Ranking

www.on3.com

look at the avg nil $ per player

compare that with the others on the list.

Our Nil money sucks in comparison to some others.

 

[king_kong_]

are we?

Go here:

2023 Industry Football Team Recruiting Rankings

A list of the top 2023 Football teams in order of recruiting rankings solely based off of the On3 Industry Ranking

www.on3.com

look at the avg nil $ per player

compare that with the others on the list.

Our Nil money sucks in comparison to some others.

Texas averages $236k/player in NIL?

Would be curious where those numbers come from

 

[Baxter48]

Key sign of a losing QB

And kst is happy to get him

 

[Cornicator]

are we?

Go here:

2023 Industry Football Team Recruiting Rankings

A list of the top 2023 Football teams in order of recruiting rankings solely based off of the On3 Industry Ranking

www.on3.com

look at the avg nil $ per player

compare that with the others on the list.

Our Nil money sucks in comparison to some others.

You're misinterpreting that number and On3's NIL formula.

That listed NIL # is what On3 believes those committed high school recruits could be earning in NIL money. They are assigning monetary value to the recruit based on his current marketability.

On3 has no way of knowing or tracking NIL packages offered to current recruits. While I appreciate the effort by On3. It's kind of a silly premise.

 

[mgbreis]

And kst is happy to get him

It will be really interesting to watch. Martinez was a maddening combination of mistakes and untapped potential (maybe?) and I could see KSU thinking that his failures can be overcome by better coaching. I will be surprised if they’re able to get him to cut out the game killing turnovers and crunch time brain cramps.

 

[Rick.Shaw]

View embedded media

Many tapped Nebraska the best 3-9 team of all time in 2021 due to the squad’s numerous close finishes —every loss was by single digits. But that may have led to unreasonably heightened expectations for the Cornhuskers in 2022. Despite having the second-best odds to win the Big Ten West at several sportsbooks (24.9%), Nebraska comes in with the fourth-best chances in PFF’s model (11.4%). The biggest worries are with the offensive line and how new quarterback Casey Thompson will handle the group. Last year, the Cornhuskers ranked dead last in the Power Five in pass-blocking grade by double-digit points, and their highest-graded player from that group —center Cam Jurgens —is off to the NFL. Thompson —a Texas transfer — has struggled under duress in the past. His 7.8% turnover-worthy play rate under pressure in 2021 was the sixth-worst mark in the Power Five.

Bottomline:

"The Nebraska hype is getting out of control. A near-.500 record and a bowl berth — not the Big Ten West title — are reasonable expectations." Pff

Interesting read on 2022 B1G teams.

The writer must be a Frost apologist? Prepping a scenario where he can finish 5-8!or 6-7 and keep his job?

 

[cidsports]

The writer must be a Frost apologist? Prepping a scenario where he can finish 5-8!or 6-7 and keep his job?

They don't say who at PFF wrote Nebraska page.





Projected Win Total 6.3 listed

 

[NikkiSixx]

You're misinterpreting that number and On3's NIL formula.

That listed NIL # is what On3 believes those committed high school recruits could be earning in NIL money. They are assigning monetary value to the recruit based on his current marketability.

On3 has no way of knowing or tracking NIL packages offered to current recruits. While I appreciate the effort by On3. It's kind of a silly premise.

The one thing about On3, is they carry a ton of information on NIL deals, so they, more than anyone, can see who is getting what.. I suppose they add it up, and divide by roster size to come up with that number.

Regardless of how it's being calculated, we are not showing that great, at least not as great as all the "talk" we keep hearing about how great Nebraska and NIL is.

EDIT:
I figured out how they calculate it. They actually assign a Nil $ value per recruit.

So if you go to this page: https://www.on3.com/college/nebraska-cornhuskers/football/2023/commits/

They look at all our commits, add up their Nil value, and divide by the number of commits.

I did the rough math, and it comes out to the 20k.

So this is sort of like a star ranking system, but only using Nil dollars instead.