Tuco, you watch this closer than most. Give us your impression on Year 1, if you feel these schools improved or degressed with the changing of key coaches.
I'm sure we all feel NU has improved, hopefully on both sides of the ball.
How about the rest of these teams?
Anyone else can give their impressions also.
Long post - I apologize in advance.
I will be doing a full prediction of all Big Ten teams in the next couple of weeks.
My opinion is that most of the people who predict these things are looking at Nebraska in a couple of ways.
1) They look at Rhule's previous coaching stops and then try to compare his 1st years there with what will happen at Nebraska.
- I believe this to be lazy at best. First of all Temple was moving from the MAC to the Big East then American and didn't have the roster to compete in year 2 in those leagues (year 1 for Rhule). The previous year under Addazio, Temple won 4 games. 1 FCS team, then Army. Then 2 conference games against USF and UCONN who happened to be the 2 of the 3 worst teams in the league, along with Temple. Second, Baylor was a dumpster fire when Rhule took over. There were 45 scholarship players on the team when Rhule took over. 1/3 of the 2016 recruiting class asked for a release from NLI and never attended Baylor. There was exactly 1 2017 recruit committed to Baylor when Rhule took over in December 2016. In 2017 season, nearly 30 players started their first collegiate game. Rhule was able to get enough players in that 2017 class and along with transfers was able to get the roster to 85. I want to say something like 25 freshman (true and redshirt) played significant snaps in 2017.
His teams in his first year at those schools were a combination of young, inexperienced or below level talented. I don't think that is the case at Nebraska in 2023.
2) They are looking at how Nebraska performed under Frost, and to a lesser extent Riley, and for some reason, are blaming the results on talent. Sam M. from the OWH is one guy very vocal on the talent level on the roster. I don't believe the talent level on the roster is that bad. Certainly not 3, 4, or 5 win level talent.
3) I believe people in the media, and others that make predictions for a living, are a little gun shy. Many fans fall under this area as well. They looked at the talent and abilities in the past, made 7-9 win predictions, only to be disappointed in another 3, 4, or 5 win season. They don't want to stick their necks out there again, so they low ball win guesses. That way if Nebraska exceeds the prediction, they will some how feel better about the season.
Many of the people picking Wisconsin to do well are doing so for the exact opposite reasons. Fickel has had success at Cincinnati. Wisconsin has been winning 8 games or more for several years. It is all superficial stuff, in my opinion. Phil Longo is an Air Raid guy, but for some reason, people are willing to give him the benefit of the doubt that he will either adjust his system to run the ball more, like Wisconsin is known to do. Or that the run game won't skip a beat and will just be better based on Wisconsin having the threat of a passing game. Also that Mike Tressel will continue to blend his defensive scheme with that that Wisconsin has run the past several years. Will they run the 3-3-5 that Tressel ran at Cincinnati or will they run the 3-4, that transformed to a 2-4-5 when in nickel, that Wisconsin has run the past several years? Apparently there is no doubt by the prognosticators that which ever way they go, Wisconsin will have success, based on the predictions published so far.
I believe teams in the west will all struggle with growing pains.