My deciding factor in taking UNLV and the points is after watching the UNLV QB against Houston, they were a +3.5 underdog on the road and won outright 27-7, so they beat the spread by +23.5 points. The Houston game, the UNLV QB doesn't throw the ball well (just as the KU QB doesn't throw it well), but the UNLV kid did not have a history of making mistakes and the KU QB tends to make lots of poor throws.
A month ago, I sent data to kong that UNLV, AGAINST THE SPREAD as the underdog on the road over the last 2+ years is now 9-1. They tend to play ugly, but outperform the odds.
Tonight they covered the spread by 12 points.
You would think if there's one team Vegas would have right, it's UNLV. But, thus far, they don't.