Probably better odds than the NIT if that happened.
It's a good question but with the subpar non-conference record, I think the team would need to be more than just winning in conf. play. I'd guess they'd need maybe minimum of 11-7, Maybe even 12-6. The conference is down and the committee knows it. 10-8 isn't good enough to get in.
The only reason NCAA over NIT would have been possible was because of the really strong schedule strength and the fact that the team is getting closer to full strength when a number of losses occurred when Morrow was hurt.
Unfortunately, in the real world, the team is 5-8 in conference and 11-14 overall. In order to make the NIT, the team needs to get to go 4-1 down the stretch in the conference schedule overall and win at least one game in the B1G tourney.
Let's look at the upcoming schedule.
@Ohio State - tough game, probably a mild underdog
@Michigan State - playing a team likely fighting for the NCAA tourney on their home floor - probably a bigger underdog
Illinois - should be favored at home
@Minnesota - playing a pretty hot team on their home floor. Nebraska has had success but they should be 6-8 point underdogs
Michigan - Michigan is playing much better and trying to play their way into the dance. Probably a pick'em.
Asking this team to go 4-1 with this stretch of games is probably too much to ask. Not impossible, but a pretty big ask.
I think we have to deal with the reality that the post-season is not likely in the cards this year.
