Go 6-2 in their last 8 and win 1 in the Big 10 tourney.
-OR -
Go 5-3 in their last 8 and win 2 in the Big 10 tourney.
Thoughts?
-OR -
Go 5-3 in their last 8 and win 2 in the Big 10 tourney.
Thoughts?
Hoops - NCAA Tourney Odds
- Thread starter cruelhalo
- Start date
I don't think we even need to do that well. If we have 20 wins with 6 quad 1 wins, we'll be in.
I think we have a favorable schedule down the stretch. Home wins against Maryland and Michigan would really be huge. Those quad one wins will be important.
41 in kenpom after tonight's road win
tourney started tomorrow, Huskers are comfortably in
tourney started tomorrow, Huskers are comfortably in
Our quad one record is 4-6. Getting that at even would be nice. We’re 46 on strength. Win our remaining home games and we’ll really be looking good. Winning a conference tournament game though might be necessary.
You are not understanding the strength of the Big 10. If we go 5-3 we will be in without needing a win in the tournament. Our NET will be in the low 40's. We are currently 4-6 in quad 1's... that is equal to the amount of quad 1 wins as last year already.
Every team in the Big 10 is in the Top 100 NET... 10-10 in the conference is a guarantee to be in with the quad 1 wins we have
8-12 + 2 wins in the Big 10 tourney (Last 4 in)
8-12 + 3 wins (10 seed)
8-12 + 4 wins (9/10 seed)
9-11 + 0 wins in the Big 10 tourney (Last 4 in)
9-11 + 1 win (11 seed w/o play in)
9-11 + 2 wins (10 seed)
9-11 + 3 wins (9/10 seed)
9-11 + 4 wins (8/9 seed)
10-10 + 0 wins (11 seed w/o play in)
10-10 + 1 win (10 seed)
10-10 + 2 wins (9/10 seed)
10-10 + 3 wins (8/9 seed)
10-10 + 4 wins (6/7 seed)
11-9 + 0 wins (8/9 seed)
11-9 + 1 win (7/8 seed)
11-9 + 2 wins (6/7 seed)
11-9 + 3 wins (6 seed)
11-9 + 4 wins (5 seed)
12-8 + 0 wins (7/8 seed)
12-8 + 1 win (7 seed)
12-8 + 2 wins (6 seed)
12-8 + 3 wins (5/6 seed)
12-8 + 4 wins (4/5 seed)
13-7 + 0 wins (5/6 seed)
13-7 + 1 win (5 seed)
13-7 + 2 wins (4/5 seed)
13-7 + 3 wins (3/4 seed)
13-7 + 4 wins (2/3 seed)
Wow look how far we've come in just over the last couple weeks. a little over a week ago people were ready to lynch Fred, and officially declared this season over. 3 wins later and were back to talking NCAA tourney.
Back then I posted that if we could win 6 of our last 11 games we had a shot and very few of us, including me thought it possible. Some going as far as to say there was absolutely no shot at all.
Guess we just need to let things play out and see where we end up.
OSU
Maryland
@ NW
@ Penn ST
Michigan
Minnesota
@ OSU
Iowa
Just need to pick up 5 more wins. @ 15-8 we have to hold home court in 4/5 of these games and pick up a road win. Doable. BIG tourney win is gravy.
Back then I posted that if we could win 6 of our last 11 games we had a shot and very few of us, including me thought it possible. Some going as far as to say there was absolutely no shot at all.
Guess we just need to let things play out and see where we end up.
OSU
Maryland
@ NW
@ Penn ST
Michigan
Minnesota
@ OSU
Iowa
Just need to pick up 5 more wins. @ 15-8 we have to hold home court in 4/5 of these games and pick up a road win. Doable. BIG tourney win is gravy.
Quality of the wins will hold more weight than the total number. Creighton continuing to win and Illinois and Oregon righting the ship would be helpful.
When we lost to USC at home, I'll admit I threw in the towel. Home loses to USC and Rutgers stung
St Mary’s climb is also helping. Our non con is actually a plus this year.
No doubt. 6 game losing streak was tough. But the team that we saw early in the year seems to be back. Good defense. And getting to the basket. We can be a dangerous team when we are clicking.
I think we only need to win 4 of the last 8, and one in the Big Ten tourney, to get in.
That Sandford kid @ Iowa single handedly took the life out of this team, and that can't happen. The team can not let one win or one loss dictate play moving forward. You go out and give it everything you got every game, and play within the system. We are missing a consistent 3rd man, and I want that 3rd man to be Gary. Gary is not good enough offensively to be our number 2 scoring threat and that alone is hurting us. Berke and/or Worster need to be that person and they aren't. Essegian can hit 3's, but he is not built to do anything more than that, Berke and Worster are... but they have been weak links offensively
I want payback against Iowa in the worst way.
I think they go 19-12. Hope they can get 20 in regular season. Ohio State will be tough to beat even at home. If they get to 19 wins I'd think they would need/want to get at least 1 win in the conference tournament to feel good about it's chances.
I think the odds are that they max out at 19. But the odds of winning 3 in a row, 2 against ranked opponents, and 1 on the road, were slim to none, and they did it.
So.
They are actually underdogs to Ohio State @home by most metrics which confuses me. Hopefully the team sees that and gives them extra momentumI think the odds are that they max out at 19. But the odds of winning 3 in a row, 2 against ranked opponents, and 1 on the road, were slim to none, and they did it.
So.
I think the odds are that they max out at 19. But the odds of winning 3 in a row, 2 against ranked opponents, and 1 on the road, were slim to none, and they did it.
So.
Winning 5 more and finishing 20-11 isn’t all that ridiculous. We have 8 games left, 5 of them are at home.
Everywhere I look... shows we have 45%-51% chance of winning. I feel that changes come game time, but as of today Ohio State is favored
Right...But there's always that 6 game skid in the back of one's mind that keeps me from going all in on 5 of 8. Wouldn't be shocked either way.
Our margin of error is razor thin with this team. 50/50 on making the tournament and really basically every game going forward.
We need 4 wins, if we get two more quad 1's we may only need 3 wins. Six quad 1 wins is going to be really hard to keep out
Beating Maryland and Michigan at home would basically seal the deal IMO. Then win the two we're supposed to Minnesota and Iowa and we are in. If we win more, it is for higher seeding... 5-12 seeds are are similar resumes IMO
No, Ohio st is not favored, if you can’t find a betting line that says they are. I tried to look it up and I could not yet find a line on this game. ESPN winning percentages do not determine who is (or is going to be) favored. I don’t think Vegas has released a line on this game yet. When they do I suspect Nebraska will be a 4-7 point favorite.
I’m going to say Our guys will be favored by 2 or 3 points. But they’ll be favored.
Could very well have 3 teams from Nebraska in the tourney. As of now 2 are predicted to play in the first 4 games in Dayton
That would be so cool to have UNO in the dance. They came close a few years ago. I live close to Baxter and usually go to games there. Haven’t had time this year.
For teams in the 10-11-12 seed range, I kind of like the idea getting put in a play-in game. Sure it's not conducive to going on a deep run to the Final Four, but I think it can be an advantage in the next round.
I believe at least one play-in team has made the Sweet 16 every year since the field expanded to 68.
Last year Colorado edged Boise State in a lackluster play-in game, then knocked off Florida and took Marquette to the wire in the next two rounds. Without the play-in game, I think they get bounced in the first round.
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