And probably why his teams generally do well in the tourney.
OK so that win has to be better than MSU's win over Baylor like the poster was saying.
Very true...but he projects on the RIGHT NOW....and those are the facts RIGHT NOW.
I'm not arguing that...he's a master...I like him...but lock over us based on THIS year is faulty
NET and Kenpom have Michigan St ahead of us by quite a bit
Yes this thread is based on a confusing, at best, thesis. NET and Kenpom do in fact have MSU ahead of Nebraska by a substantial margin; but at the same time today's Lunardi brackets moved MSU down and Nebraska up to the same #9 seed. Neither team is in his last 4 in/avoid byes listings so this "one a lock not the other" idea is confusing to me as well. Sure looks like Lunardi is using his eyes and not simply following the ratings, especially if the eye test is broader than a single head to head meeting months ago.
i concur 100%. he was the first finding a niche on the blowtorch sports network and has maximized the opportunity. his bloviations are meaningless though other than for their visibility. the net is far more compelling.
www.ncaa.com
KENPOM is a joke. Michigan St lost two games in a row - at home - and only dropped to #20. Someone was saying it's a power poll and predicated on mathematical formulas. The dude needs to go back to school. The only thing that shows is Michigan St has a rough OOC and knew how to lose those games.
You may think KenPom is a joke but the Selection Committee doesn't; must be doing something right. Does it have faults? Yes, like all math/stats formulae, including the NET, but it is still used and weighed by the Committee.
For these three, it doesn't differ much from their NET rankings.
THIS......5 or so years ago, 13-5 in a great conference...we are apparently easy to dismiss
Well... we actually ARE easy to dismiss. It sucks but we have zero national respect. I think maybe Hoiberg gets a little respect that Miles didn't and it does feel like we're a little more in the national conversation this year. Who doesn't love a fun underdog in the tourney?
Our “Big Wins” are at home . That’s the difference , period .....Bu I don't for the LIFE OF ME get how he can have MSU as a lock over us, when:
-we beat them head to head
-we are AHEAD of them in the league
-we have a better record....
It boils me up, I tell ya...
Lunardi is the basketball god when it comes to predicting. He literally has predicted the entire field correctly several times over the years. You can bash ESPN all you want. But bashing Lunardi on this subject is stupid.
that's such baloney. look at his mid season predictions and compare them to the endgame. that's what were talking about today, not the selection show prediction.
He was before the Committee (a) began using metrics such as the NET, KenPom, Sagarin, and similar models, and (b) periodically disclosed its methods and disclosed standings. After that time, Lunardi has become considerably less accurate. His recent record is not good. He's riding the coattails of his bygone accuracy.
Michigan St has lost 3 conference games at home and one of those is to Ohio St which is ranked 13th out of 14 in the conference.
names matter. we can b&m about it but ku, msu, uk are always going to get favorable placement over N, k-state, and auburn.
This is true. We would get preferential treatment in FB over all of these schools. Is what it is. You can't be as shitty as NU has been at basketball over the years and think you get treated the same way as a blue blood.
while names matter, I'm talking about the NET and KenPom which is based on mathematical formulas. explain why or how Michigan St is ranked above Nebraska in KenPom 20 v. 38
Because that is subjective to an opinion and the human element will try to include things such as home court, fans, coming off a big win; coming off a big loss; lost a player; gained a good player; etc. The mathematical formula attempts to be impartial. But something is wrong with these mathematical formulas that put Michigan St in front of Nebraska by 18 spots.
