ESPN Power Index Shorts Husker 2017 stock

[Cornicator]

The biggest factor for the FPI is returning offensive and defensive production. Nebraska returns players who only scored 12 of their 43 offensive touchdowns last season. They also lost their 3 leading tacklers, leading sack guy, and dude who led the team in tackles for loss.

The FPI projections aren't completely off base.
However, I do believe the Northwestern and Minnesota projections are slightly comical .

I think Coach "Row the Boat" is going to struggle mightily at Minnesota. They don't have a good QB on their roster capable of mustering the forward pass.. And while Northwestern should be a good team in 2017, Nebraska will be favored in that football game.

 

[swissticuffs]

I have no interest in any content from ESpiN outside live sports.

Having said I can easily see where this is coming from. On paper only the team does not look that impressive.

Same story as before..... winning real games not simulated ones are all that matter.

 

[chicolby]

While I agree that Nebraska should win more than 6 games, hopefully closer to 9 or 10, I can see how a predictive model would suggest a lower number. Starting a new QB, likely one who came from a lower level program who didn't have much success at the lower level program, combined with losing the top running back, wide receiver and tight end could easily result in a tough season, especially when coupled with a new defensive scheme and coach.

Now, we are mostly banking on an upgrade at the QB position, the new defensive system and coach providing an upgrade and hopefully an improvement in the running game.

But when a predictive model is implemented, it has to enter historical results when these types of changes are implemented. I am sure over time, the losses and change in systems/coaches typically results in a struggle, so don't hate the predictive computers.

That said, any predictive model is based on percentages and when looking at the big picture are likely very accurate but on a given team by team perspective can obviously be wrong. I'm sure computers wouldn't have predicted the seasons by Penn State and Wisconsin last year.

 

[inWV]

The biggest factor for the FPI is returning offensive and defensive production. Nebraska returns players who only scored 12 of their 43 offensive touchdowns last season. They also lost their 3 leading tacklers, leading sack guy, and dude who led the team in tackles for loss.

I did not know the primary metrics for the FPI. Obviously factoring those things in is legit, if you are going to produce such an index. So the question is how well and how quickly during the season NU reloads.

 

[Charlie Marlow]

It really seems based off of our last two games.

 

[scarletred]

Obviously they didn't put any emphasis on past history Nebraska has won 9 games or more every year from 1962- 2016 except for 7 years.