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Critical Drive Theory and unjustifiable things

ButchCassidy85

Nebraska Legend
Gold Member
Aug 21, 2004
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Omaha, NE
Most coaches treat the first drive of each game, the last drive before halftime, the first drive of the 2nd half and the final drive of the game as the drives that are most crucial to achieving a positive outcome for any game. These four drives, out of the +/-12 a team averages per game, are where great coaches earn their paycheck since the first drive of each half is generally scripted based on the study, scouting and game-planning that took place before the game and the last drive of each half is usually under pressure, time constraints, etc and speaks to how good a coach/staff are with their in-game adjustments, match-up recognitions, "feel for the game", etc.

In year one against the last 6 P5 opponents of the season, with a horrible roster full of "soft" players, a horrible culture and a true frosh QB who didn't play the bulk of his senior year due to injury, in the 24 such drives described above the Huskers produced 14 TD's (58.3%), 9 punts (37.5%) and 1 FG (4.22%).

Now in year four, with a supposed vastly improved roster full of the "right kids" and an intact culture, along with a 4th year starting QB and 3 additional years of staff experience and familiarity with the Big Ten conference, against the last 6 P5 opponents the Huskers have delivered 10 Punts (41.7%), 8 TD's (33.3%), 2 turnover on downs (8.3%), 2 FG's (8.3%), 1 missed FG (4.2%) and 1 INT (4.2%).

And over their last 6 P5 games, the Huskers are 1-5 with an average margin of loss of 5.4 pts. In 2018 the Huskers went 3-3 in their last 6 P5 games with only a 3.7 pt average margin of loss. But the narrative is that we're "closer" now.

As they wind down year four, this team isn't appreciably better in any way relative to turnovers, penalties and ST's. They aren't any more successful with situational prep or production. We all know that short yardage and Red Zone are on-going train wrecks. Clock management still befuddles this staff. And most important, up on the scoreboard, the results aren't any better than where they trended toward at the end of season one (with all the crap Frost freely bad-mouthed that was supposedly holding them back).

That's who/what we just retained. And the joke is that EVERYONE freely admits that this wouldn't have been the case for any other HC not named Scott Frost. Some even revel in that...because attachment to the past is more desired than accountability and results.

From the day our HC went around his boss and named his successor, the University, and the AD office in particular, has been a case study in dysfunction and chaos. Sad to see us perpetuate this 25 year walk through the desert for the simple sake of keeping a guy who supposedly "wants it" as much or more than anyone else.

All you folks cheering the retention of an HC who checks off every "abject failure" box there is, please remember this thread and when Frost has us in the Big Ten CC game bump it and I'll eat my crow raw. Just don't come at me with 6-6 and a Pin Stripe Bowl invite as proof of anything. If that's your standard for success/achievement, we've got nothing else to talk about.

But prepare yourself, because when it goes the other way and Frost continues to coach, trend and produce at the level he's shown he's capable, you can damn sure bet that this post will get bumped as a reminder of how unjustifiable today's announcement really was.
 
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