Why do you get so worked up about hypothetical results? You are literally making excuses, in March, for losing a game to Cincinnati that is 5 months away. Playing in front of a crowd and a meaningless intra squad scrimmage, where the 3rd and 4th stringers will play more than the starters, that is how you think the Cincinnati game will be won or lost?
I see your Dabo Swiney and raise you a Ryan Day. He is 70-10 and won a title and played for another, has never finished outside the top 10 and he isn't playing a traditional scrimmage to end the spring.