Predict the rest of the Husker season

[chicolby]

Based on this VERY unscientific poll of Husker fans, the team is most likely staring at defeat to Ohio State. A majority (60%) believe the Huskers will go down to Wisconsin. Somewhat surprising to me is that the next most likely loss comes in a week @ Indiana and a loss to Iowa is only projected by 13.8% (lower odds than a predicted home loss to Maryland.) I'm quite sure that wouldn't have been the case coming into the season.

If we were to aggregate the results, it would point to a 10-2 season for the Huskers. Let's see how it shakes out in reality.

 

[Pennsyhusker]

I honestly have no idea how our season will play out. I have no idea how good we really are since we have not played a single really good team. And we are 5-0 which is great, but we have let some very mediocre teams hang with us for too long. I think Tuco S. has a point about us playing down to the lesser opponents, but that is not helpful as an aid to predicting the season.

Jeans nailed it above: strange as it sounds, the Indiana game will be key. We could easily lose it as banged up as we are. But go there and shut down their potent offense to go 6-0? Saddle up the horses because we will have huge momentum!

So if we beat Indiana my wild guess is we go 11-1. Lose to Indiana and 8-4 or 7-5 becomes a real possibility.

 

[Truehuskerfan]

Sorry-I don't see how this team finishes 2-5 under any circumstances after starting 5-0. Indiana will not make that much difference for momentum either way.

 

[Pennsyhusker]

Sorry-I don't see how this team finishes 2-5 under any circumstances after starting 5-0. Indiana will not make that much difference for momentum either way.

Hope you are right. At least with regard to negative momentum should we lose to Indiana. But I do think beating IU on the road with an injury depleted squad would be a big boost to confidence for the rest of the season. Everyone knows IU has a very good offense. Shut them down and it really gives our defense some old fashioned mojo. And with a likely win at home against Purdue on the horizon.... well, 7-0 would be sweet.

 

[litespeedhuskerfan]

Our strength of schedule is 80 something in Sagarin ratings, and we've struggled way to much with many of those teams. Based on the first (almost) half of the season it would lead me to believe there are some losses forthcoming, but then again I never expected to go undefeated either. Our record at the end of the season will be a dramatic improvement over last season, but because of our schedule we're not going to command that much respect unless we beat Wisky. No reasonable person expects us to beat OSU, but if we could beat Wisky....You'd have to say it was a smashing success of the season because beating Wisky would mean we're probably going to beat Minny, Maryland and Iowa. That would be awesome.

 

[red rover 70]

Our strength of schedule is 80 something in Sagarin ratings, and we've struggled way to much with many of those teams. Based on the first (almost) half of the season it would lead me to believe there are some losses forthcoming, but then again I never expected to go undefeated either. Our record at the end of the season will be a dramatic improvement over last season, but because of our schedule we're not going to command that much respect unless we beat Wisky. No reasonable person expects us to beat OSU, but if we could beat Wisky....You'd have to say it was a smashing success of the season because beating Wisky would mean we're probably going to beat Minny, Maryland and Iowa. That would be awesome.

We're already 12th in the nation... that's respect. I think Bo and his buddies ripped the heart outta far too many in Husker Nation. I'm really starting to think nothing will suffice. Even if we beat Wisconsin and Ohio State and roll into the B1G Championship game against Michigan there would still be some expecting a loss to the Wolverines. If someone said during Spring ball that Nebraska would be 5-0 and ranked 12th I bet far too many would never believe it. They would just say it not possible. Well, it is possible and it's real.

 

[litespeedhuskerfan]

Is it possible to appreciate that we're 5-0 and ranked #12 in the country, AND realize at the same time we've played a schedule that Kansas State would be proud of back in the day at the same time? Thereby needing to see just a little bit more before everyone buys in hook line and sinker? We're all rooting for the same thing here Rover...don't forget that.

 

[Pennsyhusker]

I don't always agree with him, but I have to admit, rover is one of my favorite posters. His optimism is over the top, but I love it.

Carry on red rover....

 

[red rover 70]

Is it possible to appreciate that we're 5-0 and ranked #12 in the country, AND realize at the same time we've played a schedule that Kansas State would be proud of back in the day at the same time? Thereby needing to see just a little bit more before everyone buys in hook line and sinker? We're all rooting for the same thing here Rover...don't forget that.

Not even close. Kansas State really did play horrible teams in their non conference schedule. Fresno State, Wyoming and Oregon is a very respectable non conference schedule.

 

[scarletred]

Wisconsin's gonna be punch drunk with playing Michigan State, Michigan, Ohio State and Iowa before we travel to Camp Randall. We need to jump on them early and often to take full advantage of their brutal schedule.

You better hope we're healthy going in to Madison that is going to be the factor in winning in Madison.

With out Carter and Westercamp and a lineman or two it will be hard pressed to win on the road.

 

[LBremser]

We're already 12th in the nation... that's respect. I think Bo and his buddies ripped the heart outta far too many in Husker Nation. I'm really starting to think nothing will suffice. Even if we beat Wisconsin and Ohio State and roll into the B1G Championship game against Michigan there would still be some expecting a loss to the Wolverines. If someone said during Spring ball that Nebraska would be 5-0 and ranked 12th I bet far too many would never believe it. They would just say it not possible. Well, it is possible and it's real.

Sorry to throw some reality in here because I like your spirit, but our opponents this far have been, well, not so good. They are a combined 8-15 with only Wyoming having a winning record at 3-2. They have collectively beaten just 2 Power 5 school, and those are two of the worst (Virginia and Duke). We have struggled to take control of games and given up a lot of big plays on defense. Hate to say it, but I see 3-4 losses coming unless the defense really comes together soon.

 

[TruHusker]

Tommy uses him as a primary check down when the play breakdown.

Wow, you are good to be able to watch his eyes and follow his progressions. And you saw that changed when CC went out right? So Tommy changed his series of check downs just because of one personnel change. How much football have you actually been around?

 

[Truehuskerfan]

Is it possible to appreciate that we're 5-0 and ranked #12 in the country, AND realize at the same time we've played a schedule that Kansas State would be proud of back in the day at the same time? Thereby needing to see just a little bit more before everyone buys in hook line and sinker? We're all rooting for the same thing here Rover...don't forget that.

I'm quite sure Kansas State would have scheduled a team like Oregon back in their cupcake days would they? You can complain about Oregon not being that good this year, you can't complain about us putting together an easy schedule with them on it. When Oregon was put on the schedule this year in 2013, most of our fans immediately labeled it as an automatic loss-even 3 years away.

 

[Truehuskerfan]

Sorry to throw some reality in here because I like your spirit, but our opponents this far have been, well, not so good. They are a combined 8-15 with only Wyoming having a winning record at 3-2. They have collectively beaten just 2 Power 5 school, and those are two of the worst (Virginia and Duke). We have struggled to take control of games and given up a lot of big plays on defense. Hate to say it, but I see 3-4 losses coming unless the defense really comes together soon.

Northwestern's win over Iowa doesn't qualify as a win over a Power 5 school? We beat Northwestern, Northwestern beat Iowa. Why doesn't that qualify?

 

[hddude55]

I see most voters are predicting 10-2. I'd be happy with anything over 8 wins

 

[LBremser]

Northwestern beat Iowa. Why doesn't that qualify?

My bad, 3 wins over Power Five schools and 9-16 cumulative record.

 

[red rover 70]

Wow, you are good to be able to watch his eyes and follow his progressions. And you saw that changed when CC went out right? So Tommy changed his series of check downs just because of one personnel change. How much football have you actually been around?

Enough to see that Taylor Martinez wasn't even a real quarterback. He was an athlete playing the position. Any he didn't even understand that his running back was a check down. I thought it was funny when he finally threw it to Rex for the first time against Ohio State and the whole crowd cheered mockingly. If you can't understand that when the play breaks down he automatically looks for Carter then that's on you. And you probably thought Martinez was a great quarterback???

 

[TruHusker]

Enough to see that Taylor Martinez wasn't even a real quarterback. He was an athlete playing the position. Any he didn't even understand that his running back was a check down. I thought it was funny when he finally threw a it to Rex for the first time against Ohio State and the whole crowd cheered mockingly. If you can't understand that when the play breaks down he automatically looks for Carter then that's on you. And you probably thought Martinez was a great quarterback???

You are a brillant man, I am so impressed. How you go from saying you can tell the difference in TA when CC went down and now you bring up Taylor Martinez. I understand perfectly, I have worked with QB's in high school FB. Now get mad, bring something else into the discussion as a distraction and call me a name or two. I will say this, you do have quite the imagination dont you? On a serious note, and I mean this, you are positive about the Huskers.

 

[red rover 70]

You are a brillant man, I am so impressed. How you go from saying you can tell the difference in TA when CC went down and now you bring up Taylor Martinez. I understand perfectly, I have worked with QB's in high school FB. Now get mad, bring something else into the discussion as a distraction and call me a name or two. I will say this, you do have quite the imagination dont you? On a serious note, and I mean this, you are positive about the Huskers.

So you work with high school quarterbacks ...that's good so you'll totally understand how a TE is a perfect "security blanket" for a quarterback. Usually they are inside the tackle box and most the time set up within 10 yards of the line of scrimmage. There is no need for a quarterback to turn to throw to a back who most likely behind the LOS. The quarterbacks shoulders are square with the line and the pass is going for yards. Win/win in my book.

 

[red rover 70]

@TruHusker
So what are your quarterbacks taught to do with the ball when his progression breaks down???

1)Fall down in the fetal position.
2)Take a sack.
3)Throw the ball away.
4)Cry

 

[TruHusker]

So you work with high school quarterbacks ...that's good so you'll totally understand how a TE is a perfect "security blanket" for a quarterback. Usually they are inside the tackle box and most the time set up within 10 yards of the line of scrimmage. There is no need for a quarterback to turn to throw to a back who most likely behind the LOS. The quarterbacks shoulders are square with the line and the pass is going for yards. Win/win in my book.

Well, you assume the TE goes out on each pass play which is not always the case. None of your supposition has anything to do with your original statement how you could see the difference in TA check downs when CC went out. Lots of blather here but no substance. I should feel good though, I havent been called a bloner or whatever that is. Oh, you cant run many patterns staying comfined betwen the tackles unless you go vertical. Nice try but no cigar.

 

[red rover 70]

Well, you assume the TE goes out on each pass play which is not always the case. None of your supposition has anything to do with your original statement how you could see the difference in TA check downs when CC went out. Lots of blather here but no substance. I should feel good though, I havent been called a bloner or whatever that is. Oh, you cant run many patterns staying comfined betwen the tackles unless you go vertical. Nice try but no cigar.

Well if you're running the ball the then there's no need to worry. And even when they do run the ball a tight end will usually hold his block and then released in some cases with play action as you know with run/pass options. But let's talk straight up pass plays... Being a coach you sure don't understand when the play breaks down the receivers break their route and come back that includes the tight end and he's probably closer to the line of scrimmage than the other receivers. I guess I'm still all wet???

 

[Tuco Salamanca]

Put the shovel down

 

[red rover 70]

I guess I should take it as a compliment when others hang on every word I say and turn everything into an anal exercise.

I thought it sounded better then "Tommy uses him as a security blanket when the play goes to crap".

Oh well.

 

[red rover 70]

A TE is a safety valve for a Quarterback...

NO FRICKEN WAY!!!!

http://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424052748704082104575516261555177360

 

[TruHusker]

Well if you're running the ball the then there's no need to worry. And even when they do run the ball a tight end will usually hold his block and then released in some cases with play action as you know with run/pass options. But let's talk straight up pass plays... Being a coach you sure don't understand when the play breaks down the receivers break their route and come back that includes the tight end and he's probably closer to the line of scrimmage than the other receivers. I guess I'm still all wet???

Yes, you really are. But thats ok. No need to spend my time on this. Still waiting to hear you explain your original statement that you made. Maybe you can explain what presanp reads Tommy goes through and how the linebacker bites on motion or is caught with eyes in the backfield makes a difference. Google it

 

[red rover 70]

Tommy uses him as a primary check down when the play breakdown.

It really doesn't get any simpler then this explanation.

 

[red rover 70]

Yes, you really are. But thats ok. No need to spend my time on this. Still waiting to hear you explain your original statement that you made. Maybe you can explain what presanp reads Tommy goes through and how the linebacker bites on motion or is caught with eyes in the backfield makes a difference. Google it

It doesn't matter. When a play breaks down a quarterback is looking to make a play. And he looks for Carter. Notice how his play reverted back until the fourth quarter??? He's his security blanket that allows him to relax. Hopefully Carter can get back ASAP.