I believe home field is more of a 3 point advantage at most.
Nebraska is a 2 point favorite against Oregon.
- Thread starter red rover 70
- Start date
I heard a guy from Vegas Insider explain how the line gets set on the radio once. He said they start the line by applying at home field/stadium value to every stadium in the country. It's usually set on 3,5 or 7 point systems. He used Ryan Field as a 3 point and Camp Randall as a 7 point stadium for examples. I am guessing Memorial Stadium is either a 5 or 7 point stadium.
I had always heard 3 points. But I'm sure it changes on where the game is being played.
I''m not suprised at the Vegas odds at all...
I am completely shocked that ESPN has us at a 71% win probability however.
I am completely shocked that ESPN has us at a 71% win probability however.
Don't you find it interesting that a majority of money is expected to be on unranked Nebraska, coming off a 6-7 season over top 25 ranked Oregon known for putting up crazy numbers?
I do. If you trust Vegas Insider, it is showing 63% on Nebraska. Hell, I think even fans of Nebraska would be betting Oregon based on the sentiment on this board alone.
I do. If you trust Vegas Insider, it is showing 63% on Nebraska. Hell, I think even fans of Nebraska would be betting Oregon based on the sentiment on this board alone.
Don't you find it interesting that a majority of money is expected to be on unranked Nebraska, coming off a 6-7 season over top 25 ranked Oregon known for putting up crazy numbers?
I do. If you trust Vegas Insider, it is showing 63% on Nebraska. Hell, I think even fans of Nebraska would be betting Oregon based on the sentiment on this board alone.
I do. If you trust Vegas Insider, it is showing 63% on Nebraska. Hell, I think even fans of Nebraska would be betting Oregon based on the sentiment on this board alone.
It's beyond weird to me. I'd have thought Oregon was a 6.5 favorite. Shows what I know about CFB and betting, which I freely admit is about ZERO.
That is usually true, but not always. You should check out the book "The Odds" sometime. They follow some guys that gamble on sports for a living and they interview the guys that set lines at the casinos and they say there is alot more to it than that. They absolutely do try to beat the public and try to get action on games they feel good abut. They talked about how a line of 3 or 7 won't get as much action as a line of say 2.5 or 6.5. They gave a Super Bowl the Rams played in as an example, they didn't feel great about the line and didn't want a ton of action on the spread, so they set it at 7 to try to get the betters to bet other things (like the over/under and props). That's why you should always be weary of the line that looks too good to be true or out of the ordinary. Last years Illinois game would be a good example. How could Nebraska only be favored by 1 against Illinois, free money right?
Right now the money is on Nebraska meaning people are betting on Nebraska to cover the spread vs Oregon. I see the line has moved -3.5 and I've heard it moved to -4.
Vegas is in the business to make money (obviously) so they're going to set the line where they're going to get the most action, but want to opposite to happen.
Cool, thanks for the book title! I am going to check that out!
Also, if NU gets beat on Saturday it will be an "upset"...think about that for a minute.
Amen for someone who actually understands how Vegas works. I get so tired when I hear people go on and on about how Vegas wants 50-50 all the time. You hit the nail on the head. There are some lines that just beg you to take a team and more than not, those "easy" spreads end up losers. That's why I hate when I see Nebraska as a 2.5 favorite ever. It usually means a loss.
I don't see NU stopping duck speed on offense, tommy is gonna probably throw it 30 times.. Does Mich St Tommy show up, or Iowa Tommy?40+ points with + turnover margin and NU gets the W.. Gonna take at least 40, Our D front 7 is just too slow to shut down Oregon
If Michigan State safety grabs the interception thrown right at him in the end zone, we wouldn't be praising "Michigan State Tommy" - but you see what happens when we win?
I don't know about for sure. I may just stay away from the O/U's. I thought for sure Pitt/Penn St last week would have been under 48.5. I was wrong.
CBS Sports Inside College Football picks Nebraska to win. Sportsline says NEB 38-30. Brian, Rick and Aaron pick Nebraska. The redneck that was riding around on a tractor picked NEB. I'm not sure who he is. I don't watch this show very much.
My pick is NEB 56-41
My pick is NEB 56-41
I thought the exact same thing. Shoot they almost had the overs covered by halftime.
Does Nebraska try and run the ball? Keep the ball away from Oregon? Can Nebraska win in a shootout?
I'd say don't let Tommy beat ya. I'm not sure I would trust him to not make enough dumb decisions to beat himself. Let Ozigbo run for 6-7 yards a carry.
I'd say don't let Tommy beat ya. I'm not sure I would trust him to not make enough dumb decisions to beat himself. Let Ozigbo run for 6-7 yards a carry.
