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The year 4 comment is still a giant misnomer tho and doesn't really give an honest view. In baseball because of the off recruiting cycle, you don't get most of your first recruiting class on the diamond until year 3 (and that's without redshirts).
Otherwise I agree with everything you say. I will give Darin more time than usual tho, because he seems to recruit well, he represents the program well and he at least has that competitive spirit. I'm pretty optimistic that it will eventually come together with him in charge, I really believe that.
That being said, I'm positive you're 100% right that even if things continue with this trend, he'll be around for quite some time. It's the casualty of loving a secondary (or let's be honest, maybe even tertiary) sport. The casual fan doesn't care enough to really put any pressure on a program and generally the AD doesn't want to spend too much time dealing with them. MA is by all accounts a horrible coach and individual yet the casual fan still probably thinks he was a good guy that just suffered bad luck in the draft and the 'horrible fans' just wanted him gone "unfortunately".
Honestly, even if he absolutely tanks, I couldn't see him being fired in the next 2 years. And if he performs at the same level as last year, I'm actually guessing that's 3-4. That's the reality we face.
Yes.Well that, and owning Creighton...which is nice.
The recruiting excuse doesn't hold true when arguably(his first year may have been worse) his worst team consisted mostly of Erstad recruits.....coincidence? Doubtful....but it comes with the territory when the previous AD's vision was to hire someone who would be "around for awhile" rather than hiring the best candidate. Instead, we get guy who has never had to manage a college program. I do think his recruiting is getting better...not sure if that shows up this year, or in the following years. Not giving up on Erstad yet...he knows baseball, and I'm hoping he will adapt but he has been a disapointment thus far. If he can't get it done in the next few years hopefully he moves on to pro ball in which I think he may be a better fit. It's nice that Erstad says all the right things...but that's the only thing he has proven thus far. Well that, and owning Creighton...which is nice.