CFB betting, whatever week we're in
- Thread starter JOHNNY N
- Start date
Like Arizona +7.5
Oregon ST +16
Boston college +16 might rethink this one.
BAMA -16
Purdue +10
What user name has the best win percentage? That'll let us know who knows their sh*t.
Probably too much work to track, but it'd be nice to give folks credit.
I have not looked at that. Personally, I like and hope people will call their shots on games as much as possible, even if not actually placing bets. I feel that tracking posters records would discourage that on the chance that they have a bad week of predictions.
Besides, anyone who visits the Main Board knows that the way to win big is to bet exactly opposite of any guarantees made by. @TitleistNole195r
I don't know who that would be. I can say with relative certainty that if you just fade me you'll probably make money.
Georgia -24......Kentucky is now the old Kentucky
Missouri/Boston College Over 54
Tulane +14
South Carolina +7
Air Force/Baylor Under 43.5
Missouri/Boston College Over 54
Tulane +14
South Carolina +7
Air Force/Baylor Under 43.5
My bets ( another light week)
Oregon State + 15
Bama - 15.5
I’d bet big if available Neb -28
Probably not gonna play again this week.
I've been sitting on UCF v. TCU, Baylor v. AForce, and UNLV v. Kansas but I need
UNLV to move to 7 1/2 and the other two to stay where they are. Also South Florida v. So. Miss.
If I can get the UNLV line to move by Sat morning, I'm playing a 7 teamer. Everything I play will either have 1/2 odds or I'm passing.
Nice bro. Stay patient and do your thing. You’re the gambling guru around these parts so appreciate your posts
Anyone know anything about Northwestern State? They’re 37 point dogs to South Alabama.. Played a parlay of them and ASU. Lotta points for a team like South Alabama.
I never bet ND because I straight up can't stand them. I would think they cover the spread though.
I think everyone is on Bama . I like BC because they can get physical . The Beavers seem like a no brainer .
tonight:
UNLV +9, OVER 57.5
Kst -7 (this line make no sense to me so I had to take it)
tomorrow:
west va/pitt OVER 63.5
Florida +3.5 vs aTm
BC +16 @ mizzou
wisconsin +16.5 (this also makes no sense to me, had to take it)
ole miss -21.5 @ wake forest
colorado st +7.5 vs CU
fresno -19 vs NMSt
more to come (as ever)
reminder all wagers are $50 unless otherwise noted
UNLV +9, OVER 57.5
Kst -7 (this line make no sense to me so I had to take it)
tomorrow:
west va/pitt OVER 63.5
Florida +3.5 vs aTm
BC +16 @ mizzou
wisconsin +16.5 (this also makes no sense to me, had to take it)
ole miss -21.5 @ wake forest
colorado st +7.5 vs CU
fresno -19 vs NMSt
more to come (as ever)
reminder all wagers are $50 unless otherwise noted
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That’s your business how much you wager, $55 to win $50.
Last week, as we know, Bama was really struggling for 3 qtrs against So Florida, through 3 quarters the Tide had 13 penalties and 3 turnovers. That's very unlike Bama, but Deboers is not yet Saban. They likely come out breathing fire from a wicked week of practice. Both Bama and GA have next weekend off in preparation of their meeting on 9/28. If the Tide get up early, not sure how much DeBoer will want to put on film for Georgia.
I can't play the CSU-CU game cause my dislike for the Buffs overrules my thought process. LOL
Good luck!!
I think it's good and important context
there are plenty of $5> bettors here
not judging
If I get in a funk that is what I do. I also do usually around 3-5 $5 5 team parlays just for fun. Gambling is fun no matter the dollar value for me. I've found a good zone for me betting usually $25-50 a game. Sometimes I go higher if I am up and I really really like something I see. Either way, I love this thread and like the banter and to see what other folks who love football are going with.
I think every single bettor here (hopefully) knows their comfort level. A good rule is: If it makes you uncomfortable to make a certain amount wager, you're probably wagering too much.
As we all know, gambling is really fun, its also very challenging. There is no such thing as a sure thing, of course it could be "this week" but it tends not to play out longterm. Games that looked to be fairly easy thus far, have not been that way. I.E. FSU, Notre Dame, Bama, Oregon (twice), etc.
If you're comfortable wagering $ 5 - $ 10 dollars a game that's awesome. If you're more in the
$ 50- $ 100 range, that's awesome too. I make standard wagers because that has worked for me for a long time. Of course, there are exceptions like the Derby, BC, but generally I'm always gonna limit my exposure regardless of how I sit financially.
I play parlays exclusively, and yes, there are some on here who say that's not the way to go because it defies conventional wisdom, but I'm not a conventional guy and have made it profitable. Last year I tweaked my methodology at the end of the year into what I call a "base" with a stair step approach.
I could use kongs 8 team selection and explain how "I" do that, but I doubt many guys would be interested. It amounts to smaller wagers, but a higher ceiling when I'm right, it also limits the loss exposure in the event I miss a game or so along the way. As somewhat of an expert in "exotic" wagers at the track, which involves a lot of horses/teams, it's something I've employed for decades and the math always seem to play out longterm.
Weekend plays:
Unlv +9.5
KSU -6.5
Bama -16.5
Mizzou -16.5
Oregon state+16.5
Tulane +13.5
ND moneyline
Ole Miss -23.5
Last 6 are in a parlay. Taking a shot….zero chance it hit. May play a few individually. I really like Oregon State and Tulane, which means Oregon and Oklahoma are easy money for anyone reading
Unlv +9.5
KSU -6.5
Bama -16.5
Mizzou -16.5
Oregon state+16.5
Tulane +13.5
ND moneyline
Ole Miss -23.5
Last 6 are in a parlay. Taking a shot….zero chance it hit. May play a few individually. I really like Oregon State and Tulane, which means Oregon and Oklahoma are easy money for anyone reading
I always look for teams that are getting too much credit early in the year. Teams likes Georgia tech and BC are getting a lot of credit for beating Florida state…should they? Same story with Illinois. Everyone is patting them on the back for beating Kansas at home. In a close game. But after last night? Should we? I’m tempted to take the points against Illinois. We’ll see.
I’m also trying to untangle the whole LSU/USC situation. Same with South Carolina/kentucky. Georgia is tempting to take today. Same with LSU. Unless Kentucky is pretty good and USCe is really good. Then they’re both bad takes.
The reason why Illinois is Central Michigan allowed 52 points against Florida International last week..
Not criticizing the pick. Just thinking out loud and what I look for early on. I’ll probably stay away from that game. I wouldn’t mind Illinois covering. The better they look, the better a win vs them would look for Nebraska. Good luck!
FSU is already 0-2 in the ACC, so for them, its now or never to even hint at a Playoff spot, as unlikely as I see that happening. I haven't played that game however.
I also thought that BYU was a good bet (but didn't play them) cause Wyoming looks weak.
CU should have a lot more success offensively against CSU. Wouldn't be surprised to see CU really roll them today.
Good luck!
• Alabama -16
• Florida St -6½
• Texas A&M -3 (makes me nervous, line started at -4.5)
• Oregon St +17½
• Oklahoma -12½
• Notre Dame -7 (bought down from-7.5)
• Boston Coll +14½
• Air Force/Baylor U 41 (only because someone else on this board posted it & looked good).
• Florida St -6½
• Texas A&M -3 (makes me nervous, line started at -4.5)
• Oregon St +17½
• Oklahoma -12½
• Notre Dame -7 (bought down from-7.5)
• Boston Coll +14½
• Air Force/Baylor U 41 (only because someone else on this board posted it & looked good).
They're still hungover from that annilihation that was Georgia. They are fast approaching a
"can't lose again" situation, but the schedule says they will lose a couple more times.
They're probably one "unscheduled" loss from just throwing in the towel in a 6-6 or 7-5 seaon.
Don't forget, in the preseason prediction show Nick Saban picked them the #3 team in the country. Right now there are 0-2 in the ACC.
