CFB betting week 6

[TXN4HUSKERS]

I’m not gambling right now but I watch a shit ton of football… but fucj I wish I woulda put money on the Texas state, Sam Houston state and Houston.

I still love Indiana and Michigan too

 

[BetterRed]

So glad I stayed away from the Friday night games. I can't figure out both Houston and TCU. Theh S following is what I'm going with.

Navy -9 Air Force
Clemson -15 Florida State
South Alabama -3 Arkansas State
Iowa State -11 Baylor
South Carolina +9 Ole Miss
Toledo -6.5 Miami-Ohio
Wisky/Purdue U 47

 

[PeliniTheCrutch]

Ohio State.

That’s all I got.

 

[Walleye79]

Cuse got alot of help tonight

 

[TXN4HUSKERS]

I was all over the Texas teams…
Texas state Sam Houston and Houston
But my heart just wants the Husker win

 

[cruelhalo]

I live in FTW just miles away from Tcu. The vibe here is the fans are restless.. tickets fir the game were basically free. No faith

I lived in Highland Village until July (moved to Florida) and my TCU goons were very excited for the season. My Hard Rock account took a beating tonight.

 

[cruelhalo]

Dude, I know how it goes!

I have Jax State...they go up 21-3

Then

Let up a kickoff for a TD
Fumble for a TD
Miss a FG before half.

21-17

Ya, I'm taking a beating. Had the Brewers and the money line last night.

 

[TXN4HUSKERS]

I lived in Highland Village until July (moved to Florida) and my TCU goons were very excited for the season. My Hard Rock account took a beating tonight.

Before Fort Worth I lived across lake lewisville from there..
I’m pretty tied into TCU in different ways and root for them.

 

[TXN4HUSKERS]

I lived in Highland Village until July (moved to Florida) and my TCU goons were very excited for the season. My Hard Rock account took a beating tonight.

And then you weren’t far from the Husker watch bar there.. Vitty’s!

 

[SomedayHusker]

Ole Miss, Wisconsin, Tennessee ML -130
Washington, Ole Miss ML +133
Washington ML -120
Cal ML +310
No team to score 3x in a row for NU v Rutgers + 166

 

[Tuco Salamanca]

Week 6 picks - All vs spread (49 games)

Thursday

Troy +14 1/2 vs Texas St
UTEP +10 vs Sam Houston St

Friday

Jacksonville St -13 1/2 at Kennesaw
Houston +17 at TCU
Oregon -23 1/2 vs Michigan St
UNLV - 4 1/2 vs Syracuse

Saturday

Pitt -2 1/2 at UNC
SMU +7 at Louisville
E Carolina - 7 1/2 at Charlotte
Florida -1 vs UCF
Tulane -14 at UAB
Auburn +23 1/2 at Georgia
Ole Miss - 9 at South Carolina
Clemson -14 1/2 at Florida St
Old Dominion +5 at Coastal Carolina
NC St -5 vs Wake Forest
Ball St + 7 1/2 vs W. Michigan
Marshall -1 1/2 vs App St
Toledo - 6 1/2 vs Miami OH
Duke +8 at Georgia Tech
Boston College +4 at Virginia
Northern Ill - 17 1/2 vs UMass
Air Force +9 vs Navy
Bowling Green -14 at Akron
Alabama - 23 1/2 at Vanderbilt
Indiana -13 1/2 at Northwestern
Boise St -26 vs Utah St
San Jose St - 7 vs Nevada
Arizona St - 3 vs Kansas
Miami FL -12 at California
Army - 10 1/2 at Tulsa
Va Tech - 6 at Stanford
Baylor +13 1/2 at Iowa St
Tennessee -13 1/2 at Arkansas
Arizona - 5 vs Texas Tech
Texas A&M - 1 1/2 vs Missouri
UConn -14 vs Temple
Oklahoma St - 4 vs West Virginia
James Madison -15 at Louisiana - Monroe
Louisiana Lafayette -14 1/2 at Southern Miss
Ohio St -20 1/2 vs Iowa
Nebraska - 7 vs Rutgers
South Alabama - 3 1/2 at Arkansas St
Michigan +3 at Washington
USC - 8 1/2 at Minnesota
Wisconsin -12 1/2 vs Purdue
UCLA +28 1/2 at Penn St
Oregon St - 13 1/2 vs Colorado St
San Diego St - 2 1/2 vs Hawaii

Tough week. 23-26.

50-49-2 for the two week period.

 

[itseasyas1-2-3]

Tough week. 23-26.

50-49-2 for the two week period.

I think we'd all be hard pressed to be much above .500 with that many games.

You thought about taking all double digit dogs to cover and all single digit favorites to cover, or vise versa?

What does that result look like, cause I haven't looked yet?

**Edited**
I might mess around with something like that today just for the heck of it.
I bet there's something there.

 

[Tuco Salamanca]

I think we'd all be hard pressed to be much above .500 with that many games.

You thought about taking all double digit dogs to cover and all single digit favorites to cover, or vise versa?

What does that result look like, cause I haven't looked yet?

I’m not sure what that would look like. I think I’m gonna do one more week, since I’m still basically even.

 

[itseasyas1-2-3]

I’m not sure what that would look like. I think I’m gonna do one more week, since I’m still basically even.

I'll mess around with all those games from this weekend to see IF there is a way for the overall percentage to be raised.

It looks like you and I are dealing with a few differentials on the spread, maybe a 1/2 or 1 pt diff, but I'll use your spreads to see what I can come up with.

I'm always a sucker for trying something contrarian. LOL

 

[shine003]

Tough week. 23-26.

50-49-2 for the two week period.

Any idea what your record would if you took the points for every game? I’ve always heard amateur public preferentially bets favorites…definitely true with me and I’m a little under .500 the last couple of years. Just curious how it would actually play out to take every underdog

Edit: I didn’t see the question from the above poster that was of the same vein although a different strategy

 

[itseasyas1-2-3]

Any idea what your record would if you took the points for every game? I’ve always heard amateur public preferentially bets favorites…definitely true with me and I’m a little under .500 the last couple of years. Just curious how it would actually play out to take every underdog

Edit: I didn’t see the question from the above poster that was of the same vein although a different strategy

I'm in the process of doing what I posted earlier, but your question will be answered by whatever results I get, and I'll post them, then we'll all know.

 

[itseasyas1-2-3]

Tough week. 23-26.

50-49-2 for the two week period.

I wrote all the results down, and changed the spread on my sheet to match your spreads and came up with this as a total:

Double digit underdogs that covered 12, double digit underdogs that did cover were 14.

Single digit favorites that did cover were 14, single digit favorites that did not cover 8.

There was one push, so the total was all 49 games.

So, after the fact, if a guy took double digit underdogs to cover and single digit favorites to cover you could finish 28-20-1.

Double digit underdogs covered at home 9 times, failed to cover 6 times, (60%);
Double digit underdogs covered on the road 6 times, failed to cover 4 times, (60%);

Single digit favorties covered at home 9 times, failed to cover 6 times, (60%);
Single digit favorites covered on the road 3 times, failed to cover 5 times, (37.5%).
{{This would include the road surprises for both Bama and Tennessee}}

No surprise, the best results are at home in either case.

 

[BetterRed]

I went 8-5, but I still lost cuz South Carolina fked me in two parlays. Never going with them cocks again, and I mean that figuratively.

 

[Tuco Salamanca]

I'll mess around with all those games from this weekend to see IF there is a way for the overall percentage to be raised.

It looks like you and I are dealing with a few differentials on the spread, maybe a 1/2 or 1 pt diff, but I'll use your spreads to see what I can come up with.

I'm always a sucker for trying something contrarian. LOL

I made my picks on Monday, so that may account for the fluctuation in lines.

 

[1Lucky1]

2‐0 again this week.
Marshall over app state
Florida over ucf
4 ‐0 since I started posting my picks in here.
Not as good beforehand. Maybe I found my wishing well !

 

[1Lucky1]

As long as this continues I'm posting my picks here every week.

 

[Ohio_husker]

Week 6 Results

Board record for the week was 47-44-3 we all know who the push was
Season record is 186-162-6

Most wins was Clemson covering a clearly bad FSU for 6 wins and Indiana covering a clearly bad Northwestern for 5 wins
Syracuse over favored UNLV was responsible for 3 losses as well as Washington beating Michigan

Spoiler: Week 6

Thursday

Troy +14 1/2 vs Texas St (L)
UTEP +10 vs Sam Houston St (L)

Friday

Jacksonville St -13 1/2 at Kennesaw (W)
Houston +17 at TCU (W)
Oregon -23 1/2 vs Michigan St (L)
UNLV - 4 1/2 vs Syracuse x3 (L)(L)(L)
Syracuse +6.5 vs UNLV (W)

Saturday

Pitt -2 1/2 at UNC (W)
SMU +7 at Louisville (W)
Louisville -7 vs SMU (L)
E Carolina - 7 1/2 at Charlotte (L)
Florida -1 vs UCF x2 (W)(W)
Tulane -14 at UAB (W)
Auburn +23 1/2 at Georgia x2 (W)(W)
Ole Miss - 9 at South Carolina x2 (W)(W)
South Carolina +9.5 vs Ole Miss (L)(L)
Clemson -14 1/2 at Florida St x5 (W)(W)(W)(W)(W)(W)
Old Dominion +5 at Coastal Carolina (L)
NC St -5 vs Wake Forest x2 (L)(L)
Ball St + 7 1/2 vs W. Michigan (W)
Marshall -1 1/2 vs App St 2@ -3 (W)(W)(W)
Toledo - 6 1/2 vs Miami OH (W)(W)
Duke +8 at Georgia Tech 1@+9.5 (L)(L)
Boston College +4 at Virginia x2 (L)(L)
Northern Ill - 17 1/2 vs UMass (L)
Air Force +9 vs Navy (L)
Navy -10 @ Air Force (W)(W)
Bowling Green -14 at Akron (L)
Alabama - 23 1/2 at Vanderbilt (L)
Indiana -13 1/2 at Northwestern x5 (W)(W)(W)(W)(W)
Northwestern +13.5 vs Indiana (L)
Boise St -26 vs Utah St (W)
San Jose St - 7 vs Nevada (L)
Arizona St - 3 vs Kansas x2 (W)(W)
Miami FL -12 at California 1@ -10 (L)(L)
California +10 vs Miami FL (W)
Army - 10 1/2 at Tulsa (W)
Va Tech - 6 at Stanford (W)
Stanford +8.5 vs Virginia Tech (L)
Baylor +13 1/2 at Iowa St (L)
Iowa St -11 vs Baylor (W)
Tennessee -13 1/2 at Arkansas (L)
Arizona - 5 vs Texas Tech (L)
Texas A&M - 1 1/2 vs Missouri(W)
Missouri +2.5 vs Texas A&M (L)
UConn -14 vs Temple 1@-16.5 (L)(L)
Oklahoma St - 4 vs West Virginia (L)
James Madison -15 at Louisiana - Monroe (L)
Louisiana Lafayette -14 1/2 at Southern Miss (L)
Ohio St -20 1/2 vs Iowa 1@ -18.5 (W)(W)(W)
Iowa +18.5 @ Ohio State (L)
Nebraska - 7 vs Rutgers x2 (P)(P)
Ruthers +7 vs Nebraska (P)
South Alabama - 3 1/2 at Arkansas St (L) (L)
Michigan +3 at Washington x3 (L)(L)(L)
USC - 8 1/2 at Minnesota x2 (L)(L)
Minnesota +8.5 vs USC 1@+8 (W)(W)
Wisconsin -12 1/2 vs Purdue (W)
UCLA +28 1/2 at Penn St (W)
Oregon St - 13 1/2 vs Colorado St (L)
San Diego St - 2 1/2 vs Hawaii (W)


186-162-6
47-44-3

 

[king_kong_]

 

[leodisflowers]

View embedded media

Bet these teams. About to flip.

 

[king_kong_]

 

[Tuco Salamanca]

I finished my picks for the weekday games this week.

Tues
Liberty Bibbberty - 17 vs Florida Int'l

Wed
New Mexico St +20 1/2 at Jacksonville St

Thurs
James Madison - 9 1/2 vs Coastal Carolina
Louisiana Tech - 4 1/2 vs MTSU
UTEP +19 1/2 at Western Kentucky

Fri
Memphis - 7 at USF - Game will be cancelled I am sure
Maryland -10 vs Northwestern
UNLV -18 1/2 at Utah St
Utah - 6 1/2 at Arizona St

Now for Saturday

Kent St +6 1/2 vs. Ball St
Clemson -20 at Wake Forest
North Carolina +6 vs Ga Tech
Missouri - 27 at UMASS
Alabama -21 vs South Cackalacky
Toledo -9 1/2 at Buffalo
Washington +2 1/2 at Iowa
Wisconsin +2 1/2 at Rutgers
Army -26 vs UAB
Eastern Michigan +3 vs Miami (OH)
Akron +9 1/2 at Western Michigan
UCF -3 vs Cincinnati
Virginia +7 1/2 vs Louisville
Bowling Green -3 vs Northern Illinois
Pittsburgh -3 vs Cal
USC + 5 1/2 vs Penn St
Notre Dame -23 1/2 vs Stanford
Illinois -19 vs Purdue
Wyoming +2 1/2 vs San Diego St
Colorado St +2 vs San Jose St
Oklahoma +14 1/2 vs Texas
Old Dominion + 1 1/2 at Georgia St
BYU -5 vs Arizona
Central Michigan +3 vs Ohio
Miss St +33 1/2 at Georgia
UL Monroe -6 1/2 vs Southern Miss
Air Force +6 1/2 at New Mexico
Florida +16 at Tennessee
Florida Atlantic +7 vs North Texas
Texas St -14 vs Arkansas St
Washington St - 3 1/2 at Fresno
Rice + 6 vs UTSA
Louisiana -10 1/2 vs App St
LSU + 3 1/2 vs Ole Miss - should have went with Ole Miss but LSU at night at home........
Oregon +3 1/2 vs Ohio St
Oregon St - 4 at Nevada
Kentucky -13 1/2 vs Vandy
West Virginia +3 vs Iowa St
Georgia Southern + 2 1/2 vs Marshall
Syracuse -4 1/2 at NC St
UCLA +5 1/2 vs Minnesota
Colorado +4 1/2 vs Kansas St
Boise St - 20 1/2 at Hawaii


52 games. This is the last time I do this for a bit. Too much research ha ha

 

[king_kong_]

here's what I have already locked in for this weekend:

iowa -2.5 vs UW
UNC +6 vs GTech
Kent St +6.5 vs Ball St (these teams are a combined 1-9. yuck)
OU +14.5 vs UT
LSU +3.5 vs Ole Miss
West Va +3 vs iowa st
UCLA +5 vs minn

 

[Tuco Salamanca]

I think you meant Boise - 20 1/2 v. Hawaii.

I like mine better, but yes. I will make the edit

 

[Hford]

West coasters can't believe how tough Autzen is to play at. I think Day should just run the ball down their throats with his $20M payroll. I don't think Oregon can match up at the LOS.

 

[itseasyas1-2-3]

here's what I have already locked in for this weekend:

iowa -2.5 vs UW
UNC +6 vs GTech
Kent St +6.5 vs Ball St (these teams are a combined 1-9. yuck)
OU +14.5 vs UT
LSU +3.5 vs Ole Miss
West Va +3 vs iowa st
UCLA +5 vs minn

UCLA at 1-4 record and despite not covering Week 1 v. Hawaii, has now (edited) covered 4 straight games ATS against good teams like Indiana, LSU, Oregon and Penn State, combined 20-1 records. (edit. I originally mistype not instead of now). Corrected.)

Kent State is avg 14.8 ppg and giving up 42.0 ppg and Ball State is averaging 25.0 ppg
and giving up 48.2 ppg. A real battle of juggernauts.

West Virginia averaging 33 ppg and Iowa State allowing only 10 ppg.

Looks like Mississippi's early schedule of Furman, Middle Tennessee, Wake Forest, Ga Southern did not have this team ready for good competition as they were then beaten at home by Kentucky, then rebounded with a good road win against South Carolina. With OU and GA still on the schedule, this game likely determines Ole Miss' postseason prospects.

You wouldn't think in a huge rivalry game like this Texas would look past OU, but the Horns do play Georgia next week in a huge game. Funny thing is, the week after their GA game, the Horns travel to giant killer Vandy the next week. LOL

kong, none of this is meant to sway you or anyone else, just some fun reading material.

 

[king_kong_]

UCLA at 1-4 record and despite not covering Week 1 v. Hawaii, has now (edited) covered 4 straight games ATS against good teams like Indiana, LSU, Oregon and Penn State. (edit. I originally mistype not instead of now). Corrected.

Kent State is avg 14.8 ppg and giving up 42.0 ppg and Ball State is averaging 25.0 ppg
and giving up 48.2 ppg. A real battle of juggernauts.

West Virginia averaging 33 ppg and Iowa State allowing only 10 ppg.

Looks like Mississippi's early schedule of Furman, Middle Tennessee, Wake Forest, Ga Southern did not have this team ready for good competition as they were then beaten at home by Kentucky, then rebounded with a good road win against South Carolina. With OU and GA still on the schedule, this game likely determines Ole Miss' postseason prospects.

You wouldn't think in a huge rivalry game like this Texas would look past OU, but the Horns do play Georgia next week in a huge game. Funny thing is, the week after their GA game, the Horns travel to giant killer Vandy on the road the next week. LOL

kong, none of this is meant to sway you or anyone else, just some fun reading material.

my west virginia pick is based solely on these uniforms



and that MAC game, man. ball st shouldn't be favored by 6.5 on the road against a high school team.

UCLA plays really hard for their coach. they just don't have the horses.

 

[ridge222]

Okay, I like the underdogs in the big games this weekend and Pitt.

Pitt -3, Cal coming of tough loss to the U and their third long trip of the season so far.
USC +4.5 USC is a different animal at home and Sandusky St hasn't shown a ton of offense this offense this year outside of the Kent St. game
Oklahoma +14.5 Lot of points for a rivalry game, think OU gets a back door cover
Oregon +3 Gabriel hasn't play great this year so far, but this is the first team with an offense that may push OSU a bit.
LSU +3.5 LSU at home at night is tough, plus is see Dart having 1 or 2 turnovers

 

[BTF69]

You want free money?

Wisconsin first quarter getting .5 vs Rutgers. Lock city.
Plus, after you hit that, you can take the live line on Wisconsin and win even more.

I also love Wash/Iowa over 42. That game has 28 to 24.5 written all over for a sweet half point cover.

 

[king_kong_]

Adds:

UK -13.5 vs Vandy
CSU +1 vs SJSU
CU-KSU OVER 56.5