CFB betting, whatever week we're in

[itseasyas1-2-3]

Does this eventually get corrected? By corrected, I mean Vegas can't have Wyoming & NC State to continue to not cover the spread, right?

Everything corrects eventually. Some teams are still outperforming expectations and others just continue to reel. In the past, Vegas usually got almost all the teams right after about 3 weeks, but thus far it hasn't happened.

Keep in mind some of those wide margins beating the spread by Tenn and Miss are in games they were favored by 40 points and won by 60-70 points.

This is not meant as a guide on teams to bet on or against, I'm just pointing out the best and worst performing teams in the first 4 weeks, doesn't mean it will continue.

Most guys on here don't buy into how I do things, so I'm not gonna waste my time repeating some of it again.

 

[Tuco Salamanca]

So I took $290 and placed $5 bets on all 58 college games on the book I use, all ATS, no ML, no totals. Probably stupid and I will probably lose all $290 but I thought it would be fun. Best case scenario, in my mind, is that I break even.

 

[leodisflowers]

So I took $290 and placed $5 bets on all 58 college games on the book I use, all ATS, no ML, no totals. Probably stupid and I will probably lose all $290 but I thought it would be fun. Best case scenario, in my mind, is that I break even.

This is awesome! I actually might do this next weekend as it sounds fun as hell. That's real gambling!

 

[Tuco Salamanca]

Thursday game - Army -13 vs Temple
Friday games - Va Tech +19 1/2 vs Miami
Washington +3 vs Rutgers

 

[scarletred]

Taking Rutgers 2.5
Indiana -7
Michigan -9
USC -15.5
OVER on the KENTUCKY/OLE MISS. 53

 

[BTF69]

don't take that

major let down spot coming off a very emotional road win

state penn by a billion

I feel this is what is going to happen.

PSU probably jumps out quick. Everyone gets to see that the Illini actually suck and that NU just picked a bad time to forget how to play football.

I won't be shocked if Illinois struggles to get 14 points.

 

[scarletred]

I feel this is what is going to happen.

PSU probably jumps out quick. Everyone gets to see that the Illini actually suck and that NU just picked a bad time to forget how to play football.

I won't be shocked if Illinois struggles to get 14 points.

The fact that it’s a penn st night game could be more of the reason the spread is high more than a Illini let down.

 

[litespeedhuskerfan]

Cowherds sidekick took us and layed the 10

 

[leodisflowers]

Life is too short to bet the under. The overs I like. Gonna do just some fun 10 a game.

Miami vs. Va Tech - 54.5
Kentucky vs. Ole Miss - 53.5
Okie St Vs. KSU - 55.5
Louisville vs ND - 45.5
Ohio St vs. MSU - 48
Oregon vs. UCLA 55

 

[itseasyas1-2-3]

Life is too short to bet the under. The overs I like. Gonna do just some fun 10 a game.

Miami vs. Va Tech - 54.5
Kentucky vs. Ole Miss - 53.5
Okie St Vs. KSU - 55.5
Louisville vs ND - 45.5
Ohio St vs. MSU - 48
Oregon vs. UCLA 55

Historically since 2020, these are the results of games with the above OVERs. (Top to bottom):

10-5
8-6
9-8
10-3
2-2-1
8-5-1

The total is 47-29 or "statistically" you have a 62% chance of hitting these. (Not bad!).

Louisville and ND, by percentage, have the highest likelihood of hitting.

 

[ridge222]

Alright boys, I have been God awful lately so load up on the other side on these to make you mortgage payments for the month.

UConn -5.5
NC State -5.5
Wake Forest -3
San Diego State/Central Michigan under 53.5
North Texas -6.5

 

[king_kong_]

don't really love the board this weekend

alas. so far, I have:

Miami -17.5 vs Va Tech

Maryland +7 (and Maryland ML +230) @ indiana
KU -2 vs TCU
UGA -1.5 @ Bama
Penn st -18 vs ILL
Ole Miss -17 vs UK
Minn +9 @ Mich
UNC +2.5 @ Duke
Wazzu +7 @ Boise St
UCLA +25.5 vs Oregon

3-8 this weekend

 

[itseasyas1-2-3]

Alright boys, I have been God awful lately so load up on the other side on these to make you mortgage payments for the month.

UConn -5.5
NC State -5.5
Wake Forest -3
San Diego State/Central Michigan under 53.5
North Texas -6.5

Hang in there, at one time or another we've all had crappy weeks.

Vegas has Wake Forest pegged pretty good so far this year.
Vegas has not been good with NC State so far, at this time, appear overrated by about 1+TD's.
North Texas has been very good in the OVERS.

I'm not playing any of these, so good luck ridge!

 

[HuskerO]

So I took $290 and placed $5 bets on all 58 college games on the book I use, all ATS, no ML, no totals. Probably stupid and I will probably lose all $290 but I thought it would be fun. Best case scenario, in my mind, is that I break even.

Well, you got 1 right so far so now worst case is only losing $285!

 

[cruelhalo]

Lately I've been taking the specialty bets.

Nebraska first to 10
Nebraska first to 20
Tennessee first to 10
Tennessee first to 20

KSU and Notre Dame fvked me on the 1st half spread.

 

[Ohio_husker]

For this week

Nebraska (3-1) -10 @ Purdue (1-2)
Washington (3-1) @ Rutgers (3-0) -2.5
Minnesota (2-2) @ 12 Michigan (3-1) -9.5
2 Georgia (3-0) -1.5 @ 4 Alabama (3-0)


Tuco you should list your position on every single game!

 

[SomedayHusker]

Indiana + Nebraska parlay ML -130
Kentucky ML +525

 

[cruelhalo]

Today's early game bets:

Parlay
Nebraska v Purdue [UNDER 47.5]
Nebraska [WIN]
Nebraska [-10]

Kentucky v Mississippi [-8.5 1st half]

Parlay
Indiana [-4.5 1st half]
Michigan [1st to 10 points]
Nebraska [-6.5 1st half]

 

[schuele]

Gophers recover an onside kick with a chance to beat Michigan or send the game to OT. But - stop me if you’ve heard this one before - B1G refs flag Michigan’s opponent for a phantom penalty.

 

[king_kong_]

Indiana + Nebraska parlay ML -130
Kentucky ML +525

Good picks today, scumbag!

 

[SomedayHusker]

Good picks today, scumbag!

 

[SomedayHusker]

Trying out a “comeback win” strategy in NFL this week with live bets on teams I like that are trailing. Here’s what I’ve placed so far all in the 3rd quarter.

Texans: +125 ML
Rams: +400 ML
Steelers: +350 ML

 

[SomedayHusker]

Raiders ML +210 live

 

[Tuco Salamanca]

For this week

Nebraska (3-1) -10 @ Purdue (1-2)
Washington (3-1) @ Rutgers (3-0) -2.5
Minnesota (2-2) @ 12 Michigan (3-1) -9.5
2 Georgia (3-0) -1.5 @ 4 Alabama (3-0)


Tuco you should list your position on every single game!

I will just post the results from the weekend - I am not going to list the lines.
I miscounted the number of games, it was actually only 52.
I finished 28-23-1 - 55.8% - Basically broke even.
I may do this again this week. I have an In Service day tomorrow, so depending on the topic, I may have time to research the games.

UCLA - W
Utah - L
Washington St - L
Texas Tech - W
Florida St L
Wyoming W
New Mexico St - L
LSU - W
Alabama - W
Illinois - W
Memphis - L
Ohio St - W
Clemson - W
Iowa ST - W
Troy - L
North Texas - W
Rice - L
La Tech - L
Bowling Green - L
Colorado -W
Mississippi St -W
Duke -L
E. Carolina - W
Ohio U - W
Kent -L
Ga Southern - W
Miami Oh -L
San Diego St - W
Wake Forest - L
Kansas - L
Marshall - W
Texas A&M -W
Notre Dame - W
UNLV - W
Oklahoma - W
Wisconsin - L
Texas St - L
James Madison - W
Ole Miss - L
Maryland - L
UAB - L
Nebraska - W
NC State - W
Oklahoma St - L
Boston College - L
UConn - W
Tulane - W
Baylor - L
Michigan - L
Friday
Washington - Push
Va Tech - W
Thursday
Army - W

 

[leodisflowers]

Liberty -3.5 - Cancelled
USC -15
UNC +2.5
Over 54.5 on Indiana and Maryland

Overs
Miami vs. Va Tech - 54.5
Kentucky vs. Ole Miss - 53.5
Okie St Vs. KSU - 55.5
Louisville vs ND - 45.5
Ohio St vs. MSU - 48
Oregon vs. UCLA 55

 

[Tuco Salamanca]

Week 6 picks - All vs spread (49 games)

Thursday

Troy +14 1/2 vs Texas St
UTEP +10 vs Sam Houston St

Friday

Jacksonville St -13 1/2 at Kennesaw
Houston +17 at TCU
Oregon -23 1/2 vs Michigan St
UNLV - 4 1/2 vs Syracuse

Saturday

Pitt -2 1/2 at UNC
SMU +7 at Louisville
E Carolina - 7 1/2 at Charlotte
Florida -1 vs UCF
Tulane -14 at UAB
Auburn +23 1/2 at Georgia
Ole Miss - 9 at South Carolina
Clemson -14 1/2 at Florida St
Old Dominion +5 at Coastal Carolina
NC St -5 vs Wake Forest
Ball St + 7 1/2 vs W. Michigan
Marshall -1 1/2 vs App St
Toledo - 6 1/2 vs Miami OH
Duke +8 at Georgia Tech
Boston College +4 at Virginia
Northern Ill - 17 1/2 vs UMass
Air Force +9 vs Navy
Bowling Green -14 at Akron
Alabama - 23 1/2 at Vanderbilt
Indiana -13 1/2 at Northwestern
Boise St -26 vs Utah St
San Jose St - 7 vs Nevada
Arizona St - 3 vs Kansas
Miami FL -12 at California
Army - 10 1/2 at Tulsa
Va Tech - 6 at Stanford
Baylor +13 1/2 at Iowa St
Tennessee -13 1/2 at Arkansas
Arizona - 5 vs Texas Tech
Texas A&M - 1 1/2 vs Missouri
UConn -14 vs Temple
Oklahoma St - 4 vs West Virginia
James Madison -15 at Louisiana - Monroe
Louisiana Lafayette -14 1/2 at Southern Miss
Ohio St -20 1/2 vs Iowa
Nebraska - 7 vs Rutgers
South Alabama - 3 1/2 at Arkansas St
Michigan +3 at Washington
USC - 8 1/2 at Minnesota
Wisconsin -12 1/2 vs Purdue
UCLA +28 1/2 at Penn St
Oregon St - 13 1/2 vs Colorado St
San Diego St - 2 1/2 vs Hawaii

 

[itseasyas1-2-3]

Hang in there, at one time or another we've all had crappy weeks.

Vegas has Wake Forest pegged pretty good so far this year.
Vegas has not been good with NC State so far, at this time, appear overrated by about 1+TD's.
North Texas has been very good in the OVERS.

I'm not playing any of these, so good luck ridge!

Wake Forest was favored by 3 pts and won by 3 pts;
NC State was favored by 14.5 pts and won by 14, failed to cover against the spread, now (0-5) but Vegas is getting closer;
North Texas game the OVERS were 66.5, they covered the OVERS with 72 pts.

 

[leodisflowers]

@king_kong_ I like your board this week. I'm with for sure on these ones, but dealing with some little one issues so not researching much this week!

Auburn +23 1/2 at Georgia
Ole Miss - 9 at South Carolina
Clemson -14 1/2 at Florida St
NC St -5 vs Wake Forest
Boston College +4 at Virginia

 

[Ohio_husker]

Week 5 results
Most wins were 3 each betting on Nebraska, Rutgers, and North Carolina
Michigan were the biggest Losers 3 times

This weeks betting record was outstanding with a 49 - 36 - 2 record * Liberty game I did not count as it was cancelled.

Overall the board has improved to 139-118-3

Spoiler: Week 5

Nebraska -10 @ Purdue (W)(W)(W)
Rutgers -2.5 vs Washington (W)(W)(W)
Washington +3 vs Rutgers (PUSH)
Michigan -9.5 vs Minnesota(L)(L)(L)
Minnesota +9 vs Michigan (W)
Illinois +18 @ Penn State (W)
Penn st -18 vs ILL (L)
Georgia -1.5 @ Alabama (L)(L)
Va Tech +19 1/2 vs Miami (W)
Miami -17.5 vs Va Tech (L)
UGA -1.5 @ Bama (L)
Ole Miss -17 vs UK (L)
Oklahoma - 1.5 @ Auburn (W)
Liberty -3.5 (CANCELLED)
USC -15 vs Wisconsin (W)(W)
UCLA +25.5 vs Oregon (W)
Unc + 2.5 @Duke x2 (W)(W)(W)
Army -13 vs Temple (W)
Indiana -7 vs Maryland (W)
Maryland +7 @ Indiana (L)
UConn -5.5 vs Buffalo(W)
NC State -5.5 vs Northern Illinois (W)
Wake Forest -3 vs Louisiana (L)
North Texas -6.5 vs Tulsa (W)
KU -2 vs TCU (L)
Wazzu +7 @ Boise St (L)

 

[RBigredMax]

this heavy favorite parlay went 0-4, including an outright loss by FIU to an FCS team

so bad I'm actually kind of impressed

Regardless of who posts their bets - don’t you think this should be a no-judgement zone so people continue to do it?

If we shame people for bets no one will post?

 

[Tuco Salamanca]

Regardless of who posts their bets - don’t you think this should be a no-judgement zone so people continue to do it?

If we shame people for bets no one will post?

We are 11 pages in and those picks were more than a week ago and he is still posting. Everything is going to be ok.

 

[cruelhalo]

Indiana -13.5 at Northwestern seems oddly low. Same with Clemson-14.5 at FSU. Other games I like are:

USC -8 at Minnesota
Washington -3 v Michigan
ASU -3 v Kansas

 

[1Lucky1]

Marshall minus 3 at home vs App St
Florida plus 2 1/2 at home against Ucf

These are the games I like right now.

2‐1 last week
Won Unc and Oklahoma
Lost Utah game

 

[king_kong_]

Regardless of who posts their bets - don’t you think this should be a no-judgement zone so people continue to do it?

If we shame people for bets no one will post?

no. I will never stop shaming that poster until he rights his wrong and idgaf what anyone feels about it

 

[ridge222]

I am fine with being shamed for shitty picks, but if you do, my preferred pronouns are Your Majesty or El Conquistador.

 

[TXN4HUSKERS]

Indiana -13.5 at Northwestern seems oddly low. Same with Clemson-14.5 at FSU. Other games I like are:

USC -8 at Minnesota
Washington -3 v Michigan
ASU -3 v Kansas

To me I’m all over Indiana -13.5!!! Bet of the week for me…. Indiana can score! And I just don’t see NW being able to keep up at all ..

The only thing to watch is Indiana Qb Rourke health… it looked to me like he torqued up the knee a little at the end of the Md game… just something to watch

I hate Michigan but I think they cover if not win outright. The big ten protects them w calls.

I also kind of like Clemson -14.5 at dumpster fire fsu
And I’d lean Rutgers +7 (hope I’m wrong!)

 

[king_kong_]

I haven’t looked at the board this week but I can feel a record number of wagers on the horizon

I’m already risking severe imbalance with @Ohio_husker’s tally

Only @Tuco Salamanca can offset the oncoming deluge lol

 

[Big bo fan]

To me I’m all over Indiana -13.5!!! Bet of the week for me…. Indiana can score! And I just don’t see NW being able to keep up at all ..

The only thing to watch is Indiana Qb Rourke health… it looked to me like he torqued up the knee a little at the end of the Md game… just something to watch

I hate Michigan but I think they cover if not win outright. The big ten protects them w calls.

I also kind of like Clemson -14.5 at dumpster fire fsu
And I’d lean Rutgers +7 (hope I’m wrong!)

Nebraska wins 24-20 you would win both ways

 

[king_kong_]

Week 6 picks - All vs spread (49 games)

Thursday

Troy +14 1/2 vs Texas St
UTEP +10 vs Sam Houston St

Friday

Jacksonville St -13 1/2 at Kennesaw
Houston +17 at TCU
Oregon -23 1/2 vs Michigan St
UNLV - 4 1/2 vs Syracuse

Saturday

Pitt -2 1/2 at UNC
SMU +7 at Louisville
E Carolina - 7 1/2 at Charlotte
Florida -1 vs UCF
Tulane -14 at UAB
Auburn +23 1/2 at Georgia
Ole Miss - 9 at South Carolina
Clemson -14 1/2 at Florida St
Old Dominion +5 at Coastal Carolina
NC St -5 vs Wake Forest
Ball St + 7 1/2 vs W. Michigan
Marshall -1 1/2 vs App St
Toledo - 6 1/2 vs Miami OH
Duke +8 at Georgia Tech
Boston College +4 at Virginia
Northern Ill - 17 1/2 vs UMass
Air Force +9 vs Navy
Bowling Green -14 at Akron
Alabama - 23 1/2 at Vanderbilt
Indiana -13 1/2 at Northwestern
Boise St -26 vs Utah St
San Jose St - 7 vs Nevada
Arizona St - 3 vs Kansas
Miami FL -12 at California
Army - 10 1/2 at Tulsa
Va Tech - 6 at Stanford
Baylor +13 1/2 at Iowa St
Tennessee -13 1/2 at Arkansas
Arizona - 5 vs Texas Tech
Texas A&M - 1 1/2 vs Missouri
UConn -14 vs Temple
Oklahoma St - 4 vs West Virginia
James Madison -15 at Louisiana - Monroe
Louisiana Lafayette -14 1/2 at Southern Miss
Ohio St -20 1/2 vs Iowa
Nebraska - 7 vs Rutgers
South Alabama - 3 1/2 at Arkansas St
Michigan +3 at Washington
USC - 8 1/2 at Minnesota
Wisconsin -12 1/2 vs Purdue
UCLA +28 1/2 at Penn St
Oregon St - 13 1/2 vs Colorado St
San Diego St - 2 1/2 vs Hawaii

UNLV now -6.5 on Friday night vs Cuse

I don’t really understand that one

 

[TXN4HUSKERS]

Nebraska wins 24-20 you would win both ways

Funny as that is my current score prediction!