I don't know that. You don't know that. Rhule didn't know that. Nobody on earth knows that. The only thing 100% of everyone on earth knows is that the result of doing nothing will result in nothing.
What was the probability of scoring when doing nothing? I understand the low risk = lower probability of scoring. But I also understand that the lowest probability of scoring (zero) is doing nothing.
Sure any of the above. I don't care what plays you run. The risk reward thing is obvious. You're missing the point entirely, which is probably why you're buying that the whole thing was handled right.
It's two arguments...
1) I guess we can argue, as you stated, whether settling for a field goal to go to overtime or trying to win it in regulation was the right call. However, generally that argument is made when deciding whether to go for it on 4th and short, not with over a minute left with all the momentum and the defense on the ropes with all three timeouts. I don't think there's a fanbase on earth that would be okay with that if, in fact, that was the plan.
2) IF that was really the plan and how it was handled. This one isn't debatable. It was clear the plan flopped around and it was mismanaged. The clock was being "managed" as if settling for the field goal was the plan. Until it wasn't. With 13 seconds left, that "plan" left the building and he then decided to go for the win. To spell it out in crayon for you, he didn't manage the clock to go for the win in regulation. And he didn't call the plays to settle for the field goal. He did neither correctly. Clear as day he didn't have a plan and once he determined what it was, it was too late because he'd let the clock get to :13. It was beyond egregious and I can't believe you or anyone actually believes that it wasn't.