I was able to talk to the brother of a player of a starting Wisconsin offensive player. I rarely have any inside information, but I thought I'd pass this along.
There are double digit positives on the Wisconsin team right now. At least 2 QBs and 1 OL starter. Not all of these have been confirmed by PCR. However, what was really interesting is the information I got on clarification of the B1G rules.
Just to recap the rules put in place by the B1G...
1. Dual test system, the 1st test has a high sensitivity (negative = true negative) and the 2nd test has a high specificity (positive = true positive).
2. Team positivity rate (Green 0-2%, Orange 2-5%, Red >5%)
3. Population positivity rate (Green 0-3.5, Orange 3.5-7.5, Red >7.5)
To halt practice/competition, red/red must be achieved and there is a 7-day sit out period for the whole organization. Individuals testing positive will have a 21-day sit out period.
Where this gets interesting is the 7 day rolling average. You can test up to 170 people within your organization to be counted to your team rate. There is no strict rule on who gets tested in this number. That is ultimately up to the team. So if a team wants to test their 85 man roster, 25 coaches & personnel, and they have 10 positives... You've got an 8.3% (10/120) positivity rate. However, you can go grab 50 more staff members, walk-ons, etc. to bring that number down to 5.8% (10/170) assuming no more positives. You can then remove those with a known positive test from your testing pool for the next day. Even with a day of 8-10% of your team infected - you SHOULD be able to get it below 5% by the end of the week unless you have a true outbreak with new players popping positive daily.
Now, there's also not a rule that says you can't test your known positives. So if Wisconsin doesn't like their chances this week with a 4th string QB and a couple OL starters out (hypothetically), they could keep testing those known positives, drive up their positivity rate and essentially void the game. It doesn't change how long those individuals are out, 21 days regardless, but it does make their rate look much worse on paper & gives that team an out.
Sorry for the length, just thought this was interesting. Fingers crossed the game gets played. GBR!
There are double digit positives on the Wisconsin team right now. At least 2 QBs and 1 OL starter. Not all of these have been confirmed by PCR. However, what was really interesting is the information I got on clarification of the B1G rules.
Just to recap the rules put in place by the B1G...
1. Dual test system, the 1st test has a high sensitivity (negative = true negative) and the 2nd test has a high specificity (positive = true positive).
2. Team positivity rate (Green 0-2%, Orange 2-5%, Red >5%)
3. Population positivity rate (Green 0-3.5, Orange 3.5-7.5, Red >7.5)
To halt practice/competition, red/red must be achieved and there is a 7-day sit out period for the whole organization. Individuals testing positive will have a 21-day sit out period.
Where this gets interesting is the 7 day rolling average. You can test up to 170 people within your organization to be counted to your team rate. There is no strict rule on who gets tested in this number. That is ultimately up to the team. So if a team wants to test their 85 man roster, 25 coaches & personnel, and they have 10 positives... You've got an 8.3% (10/120) positivity rate. However, you can go grab 50 more staff members, walk-ons, etc. to bring that number down to 5.8% (10/170) assuming no more positives. You can then remove those with a known positive test from your testing pool for the next day. Even with a day of 8-10% of your team infected - you SHOULD be able to get it below 5% by the end of the week unless you have a true outbreak with new players popping positive daily.
Now, there's also not a rule that says you can't test your known positives. So if Wisconsin doesn't like their chances this week with a 4th string QB and a couple OL starters out (hypothetically), they could keep testing those known positives, drive up their positivity rate and essentially void the game. It doesn't change how long those individuals are out, 21 days regardless, but it does make their rate look much worse on paper & gives that team an out.
Sorry for the length, just thought this was interesting. Fingers crossed the game gets played. GBR!
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