Fact is none of us know and any one of our opinions is as valid and any other. The only thing certain is that there is a lot of baseball to be played before the committee even begins. But there are some things more likely to happen than not. The committee has decades long history of rewarding teams with high win counts and have a stellar RPI all taken against a tough SOS. They do this over and over again nearly without fail. It's not like they trip right down the RPI ladder with their selections but they come very close to it. The occasional RPI outlier makes it in as national seed or regional host but you can see it is just one or two who usually get in the top 16. They don't wrestle all that much with the main body of at large bids. The go with top records, top RPIs and SOSs. Makes their work easier to explain and draws the least complaints. Conference record? The ACC figures to have seven teams in. Right now three of them have a .500 or worse record in conference and at least a couple will still have a losing record on selection day. Happens every year. Clemson will not be one of them in even though they have a winning conference record. Why not? Because their RPI is 81. The RPI gods won't let them in. Clemson is out. All seven ACC teams in have an RPI 38 or better. Virginia figures to be in and they are .417 in conference right now. But they have an RPI 33. They're in. SEC? Same thing. The SEC figures to get nine teams in. Two or three of them will have losing conference records on selection day. Happens. Every. Year. So what about Nebraska? Today 30-16, RPI 20, SOS 18. Let's look at the Big Ten. Final records, RPIs and SOSs are from Warren Nolan Prediction Tables. List is numbered by expected B1G tournament seeding. 1. Illinois - 42-10, RPI 28, SOS 162 (That's right, 162 SOS) 2. Iowa - 36-13, 27/113 3. OSU - 39-14, 16/79 4. Maryland - 38-18, 40/100 5. MSU - 34-20, 29/49 6. Michigan - 33-23, 78/131 7. Nebraska - 37-19, RPI 19, SOS 20 8. Minnesota - 21-29, 130/86 If we get four bids it will come down to Maryland, MSU and us. It will most likely be us. Five bids and it will be between Maryland and MSU. I like MSU in that choice. The committee won't care about conference records. They never do. And this is all just my opinion. Of course, conference tourney results will add to the picture and, yes, I have a opinion about those results too.