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Proof Location Matters to Recruits

DWS

Junior
Gold Member
Aug 25, 2001
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I keep hearing how relationships, facilities, fan base, etc matter so much to recruits. But is that really true?

A few days ago I went through the rivals database for 2016 and picked out a few of the key recruiting states (I didn't have time to go through every state) to see where recruits landed.
Here's what I found:

Georgia: 29 of 32 four star prospects stayed in region
The recruits who left the region went to : USC (2) and Mich (1)

Ohio: 13 of 14 four star prospects stayed in region
The recruits who left the region went to : Aub (1)

Texas: 39 of 43 four star prospects stayed in region
The recruits who left the region went to : FSU (1), Ore St (1), Ala (1), Stan(1)

Florida: 41 of 46 four star prospects stayed in region
The recruits who left the region went to : Ohio St (3), Mich (2)

California: 35 of 50 four star prospects stayed in region
The recruits who left the region went to : Neb (3), Oklahoma (3), Notre Dame (2),
Alabama (1), Mich (2), BYU (1), Col (1), Louisville (1)

Louisiana: 17 of 17 four star prospects stayed in region

165 of 188 recruits stayed in region (88%)

Relationship with coaches normally serve as a tiebreaker for recruits when deciding between local football programs. For example, if a Georgie prospect is recruited by Alabama, Florida St, Auburn, Clemson, and Georgia, none of these locations will be particularly far from home. Therefore relationships will probably play a big role. For a prospect to choose a school outside their region, they must have an amazing/unique relationship to the coaches or have some other extraordinary reason. Maybe a chance to play for a team with National Title aspirations.
 
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