Postseason Baseball Chat re: Nebraska (5/7)

Discussion in 'Husker Baseball Board' started by Alum-Ni, May 7, 2019.

  1. Alum-Ni

    Alum-Ni Administrator
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    Postseason chat on Nebraska and the B1G:

    Link: https://d1baseball.com/chats/d1baseball-weekly-chat-may-6/

    Q: Iowa in the rankings, which is great....but dropping 8 RPI spots after losing yesterday despite taking the series? Michigan's resume is objectively less impressive, but they're almost certain to get in at this point while Iowa probably won't, especially with the Hawks' schedule the rest of the way. What gives with the numbers here?

    Aaron Fitt:
    Yeah, that stuff can be frustrating. Obviously, we like Iowa's resume more than Michigan's, that's why we ranked the Hawkeyes this week and not the Wolverines. We value high-end series wins, and Iowa has four nice ones (sweeping Illinois, at Oklahoma State, vs. Nebraska and vs. UC-Irvine). Michigan doesn't have a single series win against anything close to a regional team. But as for the RPI -- Iowa has 12 games against teams outside the Top 200, and those games continue to drag them down. If a bunch of teams you played in February go 0-3 on a weekend in May, it hurts you, even if you have a good weekend against a quality opponent yourself. So you're right, the RPI is really working against Iowa right now. Going to he a fascinating bubble case.

    Q: What's your thoughts on Nebraska now, given they keep slumping. Looks like they might not even make the postseason the way they've been playing, especially offensive-wise and their schedule is only going to get tougher.

    Aaron Fitt:
    Nebraska looked good for our postseason field last week, but you're right, losing a series to Northwestern at this juncture is pretty terrible. The RPI is now down to 47. What that said, the Huskers will have earned a spot in the postseason if they take the series from Arizona State and Michigan, there's no doubt about that. Both of those series are at home, too, so you have to like NU's chances.

    Q: Is Creighton still within striking distance of hosting? Perhaps if they win out?

    Aaron Fitt:
    Certainly still right in the mix -- they're still No. 25 in the RPI, with a solid 6-2 mark against the Top 50, and now they're back in first place in the Big East at 9-3, percentage points ahead of Xavier. I think Creighton's in pretty darn good shape, actually.

    Q: What margin of error does Iowa have moving forward with the RPI? Seems they have a regional worthy resume, but RPI is not too kind.

    Kendall Rogers:
    Little margin for error, but Iowa is going to rank really really well with the RAC (regional advisory committee) and the marquee series wins will certainly look impressive to the committee. Iowa's resume reminds me a lot of Washington last season, who finished at 50 in the RPI but had a strong standing in the Pac-12. Obviously Iowa's RPI is down to 57 after the weekend, so it's not the same, but that's the closest comparison I can think of at the moment.

    Q: What are Michigan's chances of hosting a regional?

    Kendall Rogers:
    Michigan could win the league and have an RPI within range give its opponents the final two weeks of the season. However, it's hard to see them hosting right now with Michigan's overall resume. It just lacks quality wins outside of one game against UCLA. That Big Ten race has captivated me down the stretch.

    Q: Regarding the Big Ten, I see Michigan, Illinois, Indiana and Iowa safely in with Nebraska with work to do. Agree? Minnesota got off to a tough start and I don't see RPI bolstering opportunities for them.

    Kendall Rogers:
    I think you're on the right track. I feel pretty good about the first three, and Iowa as well. Iowa's RPI might not be amazing, but that's a strong resume. Nebraska has some work to do IMO.
     
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  2. Alum-Ni

    Alum-Ni Administrator
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    Link: https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/2019-college-baseball-top-25-chat-5619/

    Q: Creighton's hosting ship sailed with the series loss to Xavier. Is their at-large ship still afloat?

    Teddy Cahill:
    Yes. Creighton is still looking very good, especially now that it's back into first place in the Big East. Now, the margin for error is small because the rest of the schedule is at home against teams outside the Top 100 in RPI. But if the Bluejays just take care of business over the next two weeks, they should be just fine. The magic threshold last year for mid-major types seemed to be Top 40 RPI, 35+ wins and a top-two finish in the regular season standings. Creighton is on track for all of that.

    Q: Is Nebraska out of the tournament for now? Surely their horrible play, especially hitting lately has knocked them out. They have some good non-conference wins but 9 of their 12 Big Ten wins are against the bottom teams. Plus possibly getting swept by Northwestern is pretty sad.

    Teddy Cahill:
    Nebraska is suddenly looking very bubbly. I wouldn't say out right now, but when we go to put together this week's Field of 64, we'll be taking a longer look at the Huskers. The good news is that it finishes with Arizona State and Michigan, so it can really improve that RPI quickly. The bad news is that those are two pretty good teams, though the Sun Devils come to Lincoln in a bit of a funk.
     
  3. RobsterMobster

    RobsterMobster Administrator
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    ASU is still a Top 50 team but not the quality team they looked to be at the beginning of the year. Still need 2/3 regardless. At this point I feel we need to go 4-2 to end the year after that disaster of a series vs Northwestern.
     
  4. HuskerFan31

    HuskerFan31 Administrator
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    I may go on suicide watch if Creighton hosts a Regional and we aren't even in one.
     
  5. sklarbodds

    sklarbodds Administrator
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    We can all drink the Kool-aid together.
     
  6. Alum-Ni

    Alum-Ni Administrator
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    I'd join you. Pretty ridiculous considering the league they play in and be able to earn a hosting gig (even to be in the discussion is baffling).

    Just shows how much things have stagnated at DONU.
     
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  7. HuskerFan31

    HuskerFan31 Administrator
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    I thought there was a rule that the stated (more or less) that a championship site couldn't be the site of another postseason round. Am I mistaken?
     
  8. coolonetoo

    coolonetoo Sophomore
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    Me, too, but I really don’t think Creighton has any shot at hosting. An RPI of 25 won’t cut it and there aren’t many opportunities left to improve it.

    As previously stated, I would be fine with Creighton hosting if Nebraska is a 2/3 seed in that regional. A 25-minute drive to the game and Red outnumbering blue 5:1? Sign me up for that!
     
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  9. Alum-Ni

    Alum-Ni Administrator
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    I think that used to be the case but the rule has since changed
     
  10. HuskerFan31

    HuskerFan31 Administrator
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    Can we all agree to pass a rule that says if you throw your weekend starters against your in state rival in their midweek you are prohibited from hosting?
     

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