As to your last paragraph, there's no question our military is running a psy ops with the drones. They don't let unknown vessels circle bases, especially nuclear bases and not know who's operating them. First, they run a F-16 past to see its not manned or a person is dead, then they would issue a warning and then they would shoot it down.
It's all a bullshit psy ops.
If the tariff thing takes off, you are correct, prices on many things are gonna skyrocket. Do we really think China is gonna pay for those price increases via tariffs?