Im looking for a near guaranteed non taxable return, thought maybe some type of municipal ETF , I know Ill give up greatly on potential return but Im looking for diversification. Any input would be appreciated.
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Are you that worried about taxes on the dividends? If not just put half in QQQ and half in SPY. That way you can mirror the overall movements of the two main stock indexes. Both have very low expense ratios. If you’re then feeling confident enough to time the market you can switch to their inverses when the bear market takes hold. I would avoid leveraged ETFs personally unless it’s a short term thing and you are very confident as those can turn your portfolio upside down pretty quickly.
Just to be clear I’m not a financial advisor of any kind so I may not know what I’m talking about.
Did you miss the diversification part? I agree with you, but he did say diversification, so am assuming he already has something similar to qqq or spy. Both great investments, btw.
Diversification is more than just stock market diversification. He is talking about asset allocation diversification... something other than stocks.
There are three risks with municipal bond funds:Im looking for a near guaranteed non taxable return, thought maybe some type of municipal ETF , I know Ill give up greatly on potential return but Im looking for diversification. Any input would be appreciated.
There are three risks with municipal bond funds:
1. Default risk - if the portfolio is all investment grade, weighted fairly heavily with "A" and above bonds, this risk will be minimal
2. Interest rate risk - when bond rates rise, as they have been for the past few months, the market value of existing bonds will decline. In theory that decline will eventually be balanced out with the reinvestment of maturing bond proceeds into higher yielding bonds, but it can take years for the values to rebalance if rate keep rising.
3. Some municipal bonds are free from federal income tax, but they are AMT bonds and the interest is subject to the alternative minimum tax calculation.
IBMK is an ETF which invests only in investment grade, non-AMT bonds with maturities of 2022, so it probably meets your criteria of nearly guaranteed, but the yield is just 1.45%. There may be similar ETFs with target maturity dates longer than 2022 which would increase the yield some, but with what you are asking the yields are going to be very modest.
Understandable, there can be less obvious downsides to getting very conservative with retirement savings. 1) You may live a lot longer than you thought or 2) Your cost of living suddenly increases (most commonly due to medical issues). When people plan and budget they tend to imagine their cost of living will stay the same. It almost always increases.Well Ill be winding down my career and dont need more money. I understand the concepts that are being put forward regarding long term ebbs and flows in the market, dollar cost ave etc, but when your not working or plan to work again capital preservation and certainty becomes a goal.
I knew of a business person here in Lincoln who retired in his early 60s in the late 1990s, when the markets crashed early 2000s he had to scamble to find employment to to live after havin been set, thats what Im guarding against.
I have familiarity with alot of types of investments but not on these very low risk vehicles and am not finding much on them.
Have you looked at the tax 20 and 22 act in Puerto Rico?Well Ill be winding down my career and dont need more money. I understand the concepts that are being put forward regarding long term ebbs and flows in the market, dollar cost ave etc, but when your not working or plan to work again capital preservation and certainty becomes a goal.
I knew of a business person here in Lincoln who retired in his early 60s in the late 1990s, when the markets crashed early 2000s he had to scamble to find employment to to live after havin been set, thats what Im guarding against.
I have familiarity with alot of types of investments but not on these very low risk vehicles and am not finding much on them.
He said earlier that he doesn't need any more money, which is why he doesn't care about growth and is also very tax conscious (probably a higher rate).Understandable, there can be less obvious downsides to getting very conservative with retirement savings. 1) You may live a lot longer than you thought or 2) Your cost of living suddenly increases (most commonly due to medical issues). When people plan and budget they tend to imagine their cost of living will stay the same. It almost always increases.
Easy for me to say at 35, but I'd rather have my retirement funds still earning returns with a potential to outgrow my RMD. If you're truly investing and not gambling, and if you truly don't need more money, you shouldn't be exposed to busting out due to a year or two of bear market.
I guess I have questions about this story of the guy. Why did he suddenly have no money due to a down market unless he sold in the middle of a down market? A loss is not a loss until you lock it in by selling. If he was into a well-diversified collection of large caps, any losses should have reversed and then some within a few years. Sounds like a case of eggs in one basket.
By all means do what you're comfortable with, it just kills me to see people look at down markets as permanent. If you don't NEED the money TODAY the worst thing you can do is sell in a dip. You see these headlines about how people like Bezos or Zuck "lost billions" because their stock dipped for a week. No they didn't. Nor did they "gain billions" when it was up. Just like I'm not worth the alleged price of my house. It's not worth anything until you sell it, and the going rate on that day could be quite different.
Well the Puerto Rico thing is interesting, if you dont mind it would be interesting to hear about your plans.Have you looked at the tax 20 and 22 act in Puerto Rico?
https://www.forbes.com/sites/janetn...-americans-to-its-own-emigrants/#51bab3df2735
I'm in the process of moving there now.
Puerto Rico is an interesting situation. They are a US Territory, so everyone there is a US Citizen, but they do not pay US Taxes. Federal taxes are instead paid to the "Hacienda" or the "House". Spanish is the predominant language, but there is always somebody that speaks English. PR is in a weird no mans land, in that they have their own government, but yet use the US dollar. Like many other latin countries, there is corruption (this exists everywhere). But this has lead to the island being broke and dependent on the the US Govt annual budget distribution (I heard 20 billion) and tax revenues mostly coming from sales taxes (high at 10-11%).Well the Puerto Rico thing is interesting, if you dont mind it would be interesting to hear about your plans.
I’m willing to bet you’ll feel differently in 15 years. I’ve also seen others who have had their retirement funds decimated by large market drops and had to go back to work. The closer you get to retirement the more conservative you get about risk/reward.Understandable, there can be less obvious downsides to getting very conservative with retirement savings. 1) You may live a lot longer than you thought or 2) Your cost of living suddenly increases (most commonly due to medical issues). When people plan and budget they tend to imagine their cost of living will stay the same. It almost always increases.
Easy for me to say at 35, but I'd rather have my retirement funds still earning returns with a potential to outgrow my RMD. If you're truly investing and not gambling, and if you truly don't need more money, you shouldn't be exposed to busting out due to a year or two of bear market.
I guess I have questions about this story of the guy. Why did he suddenly have no money due to a down market unless he sold in the middle of a down market? A loss is not a loss until you lock it in by selling. If he was into a well-diversified collection of large caps, any losses should have reversed and then some within a few years. Sounds like a case of eggs in one basket.
By all means do what you're comfortable with, it just kills me to see people look at down markets as permanent. If you don't NEED the money TODAY the worst thing you can do is sell in a dip. You see these headlines about how people like Bezos or Zuck "lost billions" because their stock dipped for a week. No they didn't. Nor did they "gain billions" when it was up. Just like I'm not worth the alleged price of my house. It's not worth anything until you sell it, and the going rate on that day could be quite different.
How does that have anything to do with the OP's request?The DOG ETF, it goes inverse to the DOW