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FPI win probability distribution after week 1

zar45

zar45

Defensive Coordinator
Jun 13, 2016
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After week 1, FPI gives us 52.6% probability of winning 6 games, down from 55.9%. Probability of winning increased significantly against La Tech, ILL, NW, Purdue, and Iowa. Probability of winning decreased significantly against Colorado. The single most likely outcome is 6 wins by a hair.
 
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