D1Baseball.com NCAA Tourney Projection (5/6)

[Alum-Ni]

Link: http://www.d1baseball.com/analysis/field-of-64-projections-week-13/

Top Eight National Seeds
1. LSU
2. UCLA
3. Texas A&M
4. Louisville
5. Illinois
6. Vanderbilt
7. Florida State
8. Dallas Baptist

Last Five In
South Florida
Virginia
Mississippi
Notre Dame
Memphis

First Five Out
Indiana
North Carolina State
Tulane
Middle Tennessee State
Nebraska

Baton Rouge Regional
#1 LSU vs. #4 Alabama State
#2 Rice vs. #3 Southeastern Louisiana

Springfield Regional
#1 Missouri State vs. #4 Southeast Missouri State
#2 Arkansas vs. #3 Memphis

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Los Angeles Regional
#1 UCLA vs. #4 Cal State-Bakersfield
#2 Cal State-Fullerton vs. #3 Nevada

Stillwater Regional
#1 Oklahoma State vs. #4 Wright State
#2 California vs. #3 Oral Roberts

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College Station Regional
#1 Texas A&M vs. #4 Rider
#2 Oregon State vs. #3 Michigan State

Tempe Regional
#1 Arizona State vs. #4 San Diego
#2 UC-Santa Barbara vs. #3 Maryland

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Louisville Regional
#1 Louisville vs. #4 St. Louis
#2 Ohio State vs. #3 Kentucky

Iowa City Regional
#1 Iowa vs. #4 Central Michigan
#2 USC vs. #3 Notre Dame

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Champaign Regional
#1 Illinois vs. #4 Stony Brook
#2 Bradley vs. #3 Missouri

Coral Gables Regional
#1 Miami (FL) vs. #4 Columbia
#2 North Carolina-Wilmington vs. #3 Mississippi

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Nashville Regional
#1 Vanderbilt vs. #4 Navy
#2 College of Charleston vs. #3 East Carolina

Jupiter Regional
#1 Florida Atlantic vs. #4 St. John's
#2 North Carolina vs. #3 South Florida

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Tallahassee Regional
#1 Florida State vs. #4 Mercer
#2 Auburn vs. #3 North Florida

Gainesville Regional
#1 Florida vs. #4 South Alabama
#2 Radford vs. #3 Georgia Tech

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Dallas Regional
#1 Dallas Baptist vs. #4 Norfolk State
#2 Houston vs. #3 UC-Irvine

Fort Worth Regional
#1 Texas Christian vs. #4 Bryant
#2 Coastal Carolina vs. #3 Virginia

 

[Alum-Ni]

Link: http://www.collegesportsmadness.com/baseball/bracketology

College Sports Madness Baseball Tourney Projection (Updated May 4)

Top Eight National Seeds
1. UCLA
2. LSU
3. Texas A&M
4. Texas Christian
5. Miami (FL)
6. Louisville
7. Illinois
8. Florida State

Los Angeles Regional
#1 UCLA vs. #4 Cal State-Bakersfield
#2 UC-Irvine vs. #3 San Diego

Santa Barbara Regional
#1 UC-Santa Barbara vs. #4 Central Michigan
#2 Arizona State vs. #3 Nevada

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Tallahassee Regional
#1 Florida State vs. #4 Columbia
#2 Auburn vs. #3 Mississippi

Gainesville Regional
#1 Florida vs. #4 Mercer
#2 College of Charleston vs. #3 Maryland

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Coral Gables Regional
#1 Miami (FL) vs. #4 Stony Brook
#2 North Carolina-Wilmington vs. #3 East Carolina

Boca Raton Regional
#1 Florida Atlantic vs. #4 North Florida
#2 North Carolina vs. #3 South Florida

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Dallas Regional
#1 Dallas Baptist vs. #4 Southeast Missouri State
#2 Houston vs. #3 California

Fort Worth Regional
#1 Texas Christian vs. #4 Norfolk State
#2 Georgia Tech vs. #3 Nebraska

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College Station Regional
#1 Texas A&M vs. #4 Canisius
#2 Rice vs. #3 Oral Roberts

Los Angeles Regional
#1 USC vs. #4 St. John's
#2 Iowa vs. #3 Cal State-Fullerton

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Stillwater Regional
#1 Oklahoma State vs. #4 Wright State
#2 Oregon State vs. #3 Kentucky

Louisville Regional
#1 Louisville vs. #4 Bryant
#2 Radford vs. #3 Michigan State

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Champaign Regional
#1 Illinois vs. #4 Navy
#2 Missouri vs. #3 Notre Dame

Nashville Regional
#1 Vanderbilt vs. #4 South Alabama
#2 Coastal Carolina vs. #3 Virginia

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Springfield Regional
#1 Missouri State vs. #4 St. Louis
#2 Arkansas vs. #3 Ohio State

Baton Rouge Regional
#1 LSU vs. #4 Alabama State
#2 Southeastern Louisiana vs. #3 Tulane

 

[Truehuskerfan]

I frankly don't understand why d1baseball has Michigan State in and us out. They have a better conference record than us, but their RPI, SOS, and overall record are all worse than ours. Is the conference record worth that much?

 

[coolonetoo]

I frankly don't understand why d1baseball has Michigan State in and us out. They have a better conference record than us, but their RPI, SOS, and overall record are all worse than ours. Is the conference record worth that much?

They have a better record against the top 50. Duh.

 

[StoneColdHusker]

I can't see MSU getting in over NU, but then again I may just be a bit biased. NU is not in a very good position, and that is unfortunate. Think of all the close games they let slip away. A handfull more W's and we probably would be a LOCK.

 

[coolonetoo]

I can't see MSU getting in over NU, but then again I may just be a bit biased. NU is not in a very good position, and that is unfortunate. Think of all the close games they let slip away. A handfull more W's and we probably would be a LOCK.

The key stretch to me was the four straight tight-as-a-drum games versus Ohio State and Iowa. Win just two and we're a lock and probably in a good position to host with a strong finish. Instead, it was four excruciating Ls.

 

[k9_r]

The key stretch to me was the four straight tight-as-a-drum games versus Ohio State and Iowa. Win just two and we're a lock and probably in a good position to host with a strong finish. Instead, it was four excruciating Ls.

Yep. We made our bed now we have to lie in it. This bed is not all that uncomfortable, though. We're not in terrible shape... yet. We did pretty much erase our margin for error with those games, especially so coming after our Maryland debacle. But we're still in the mix.

Sweep Purdue, scratch out one win in Champaign and we'll be right back to mid 20s RPI. That's 'IN'. Lose one to Purdue and have to face the impossible - sweep Illinois. Where will that come from? So, gotta sweep PU.

BTW, this Purdue series will hit us harder than I was thinking. Their W/L record is just marginally worse then NW so, it will hit our SOS only a bit harder than did NW. But we'll take a hit on our side of the RPI as well. Our W/L record. Home wins are cheap, three of them only equal 2.1 wins. Our two road wins at NW equaled 2.6 wins. We're going to get a double ding this weekend.

The Illinois series will balance all that off, though.

 

[IowaHawkeyeFBnBB4Life]

Some B1G teams have slipped in the RPI the last week or so, with the potential for more to do so in these last few weeks. I really worry about this as I could see the B1G going from a five/six bid league to a three bid league if enough teams RPI slip into the 40's/50's and that'd be a shame.