And 2+2=4
Excuse me. I just saw the article today and erroneously assumed it was recent. Most cases will be mild. That isn't earth shattering information. It's shocking though that so many people want to minimize the number of critically ill hospitalized people and deaths we likely will have.
It's already in all of those countries but is just getting started.
Iran is reporting just over 60 positively ID'd cases of Covid-19 with a 25% death rate. I would assume that they've had way more cases than they're officially admitting to. Italy's death rate so far is running above 3% but I would assume that some of the 230 recently reported cases will end in fatalities which would drive up their mortality rate. This is just a wee bit more severe than the common cold.
The CDC is telling us now to be prepared for school closures and work interruptions.
The delays and inaction of china, followed by quarantines, you're bound to have some effective scenaios at ground zero.
Still, good practice!
For sub 50 somethings, it may not be too bad of a deal as long as you don't have asthma or some other preexisting health condition. For the rest of us, this is very serious.
Former CDC director said that up to 50% of infections are symptom free...so we have an exceptionally contagious virus, but half of those infections become carriers only, and those with compromised symptoms are pretty much guaranteed to be exposed and it is very deadly to people older than 80 or with cardiovascular disease. Health care professionals are also risk because of the possibility of high virus loads and weakened systems due to overwork. I've always been confused with mortality numbers concerning people older than 80 and with comorbid conditions. A simple cold could easily become pneumonia in such people and I have to imagine millions of people fitting this pattern die every winter from illness. Young doctors aren't killed by their diseases though.Iran is reporting just over 60 positively ID'd cases of Covid-19 with a 25% death rate. I would assume that they've had way more cases than they're officially admitting to. Italy's death rate so far is running above 3% but I would assume that some of the 230 recently reported cases will end in fatalities which would drive up their mortality rate. This is just a wee bit more severe than the common cold.
The death rate for people younger than 50 is 0.2%, and that is with young people who actually showed up to a hospital. Up to 50% of these people will be carriers only according to the CDC or very mild symptoms. Doctors in such situations are susceptible to overwork and high virus loads...and with little immunity it can be deadly. Also 3k medical professionals have been sickened and we are looking a few very young ones dying...scary but not anywhere near spanish flu level.
If the germans hadnt bombed Honolulu,none of this would have happened.
Thats the hope, buying timeCDC: 80,000 people died of flu last winter in U.S., highest death toll in 40 years
By ASSOCIATED PRESS
SEPTEMBER 26, 2018
The 2017-2018 flu season was terrible, hopefully this Corona virus can be fought, but to what extent? When more cases reach/start in the US, the rubber meets the road, will people here be able to fight it off before a viable vaccine becomes available?
not picking on you, I just wanted to sort of argue this point to the rest of the board, that in some places, yes the US health care is absolutely top notch.. but it's not like that across the entirety of the United States.. I mean, has anyone been to Immanuel in Omaha in the last 5 years?
I have no idea what the death rate for flu or other illnesses are. For this it is;
My only problem with chinas numbers, they took a huge jump, said they were catching up, now they need people back to work, suddenly, the numbers are down.
It's pretty tough to know what China's numbers mean. The mortality rate (2.6%)thus far in the outbreak in Italy is probably what we could expect though. The really interesting thing to watch will be what happens with the spread of the virus in a more developed country like Italy.
The media I don't trust, their whole purpose in life is to generate ratings and get "clicks" They tend to over dramatize everything. However the CDC doesn't benefit from clicks and drama. When they issued a statement the other day that the US should prepare for significant impact, it got my attention. I don't think we will get to lock down mode and cities shutting down like china, but probably not a stupid idea to stock up a little on some extra food and water in case grocery stores are out of stock for awhile. Make plans in case schools are shut down for a week or so ect...
