With Minnesota defeating Michigan State and Maryland defeating Rutgers, Michigan State and Maryland both sit at 9-11.
That means the following scenarios get us into the conference tournament:
Scenario #1
- Nebraska sweeps Illinois
- Maryland goes no better than 1-2 at Indiana
- Michigan State goes no better than 1-2 vs. Ohio State
Resulting order:
1. Nebraska (10-12) .455
T2. Maryland (10-13) .435
T2. Michigan State (10-13) .435
Scenario #2
- Nebraska goes 2-1 at Illinois
- Maryland gets swept at Indiana
- Michigan State gets swept vs. Ohio State
Resulting order:
1. Nebraska (9-13) .409
T2. Maryland (9-14) .391
T2. Michigan State (9-14) .391
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There is a case where Nebraska and Iowa could tie for the 8th spot in the tournament, but Iowa would win on the third tiebreaker:
- Nebraska sweeps Illinois
- One of Maryland and Michigan State goes better than 1-2
- Iowa gets swept vs. Penn State
This would tie Nebraska with Iowa, and these teams split their season series in a Friday DH and cancelled third game.
The next tiebreaker is record vs. common opponents.
IOWA
1-1 vs. Indiana
2-1 at Illinois
2-1 vs. Ohio State
1-2 at Minnesota
TOTAL: 6-5
NEBRASKA
1-2 vs. Minnesota
1-2 at Ohio State
1-2 vs. Indiana
3-0 vs. Illinois in this scenario
TOTAL: 6-5
The third tiebreaker is higher RPI. Iowa is currently #63, Nebraska #111. Three wins for Nebraska and three losses for Iowa won't close that gap.
My assumption is the tiebreakers have not changed since 2015 as I couldn't find any newer information.
That means the following scenarios get us into the conference tournament:
Scenario #1
- Nebraska sweeps Illinois
- Maryland goes no better than 1-2 at Indiana
- Michigan State goes no better than 1-2 vs. Ohio State
Resulting order:
1. Nebraska (10-12) .455
T2. Maryland (10-13) .435
T2. Michigan State (10-13) .435
Scenario #2
- Nebraska goes 2-1 at Illinois
- Maryland gets swept at Indiana
- Michigan State gets swept vs. Ohio State
Resulting order:
1. Nebraska (9-13) .409
T2. Maryland (9-14) .391
T2. Michigan State (9-14) .391
========
There is a case where Nebraska and Iowa could tie for the 8th spot in the tournament, but Iowa would win on the third tiebreaker:
- Nebraska sweeps Illinois
- One of Maryland and Michigan State goes better than 1-2
- Iowa gets swept vs. Penn State
This would tie Nebraska with Iowa, and these teams split their season series in a Friday DH and cancelled third game.
The next tiebreaker is record vs. common opponents.
IOWA
1-1 vs. Indiana
2-1 at Illinois
2-1 vs. Ohio State
1-2 at Minnesota
TOTAL: 6-5
NEBRASKA
1-2 vs. Minnesota
1-2 at Ohio State
1-2 vs. Indiana
3-0 vs. Illinois in this scenario
TOTAL: 6-5
The third tiebreaker is higher RPI. Iowa is currently #63, Nebraska #111. Three wins for Nebraska and three losses for Iowa won't close that gap.
My assumption is the tiebreakers have not changed since 2015 as I couldn't find any newer information.